---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Lapeer 1
  
Lapeer                
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 75.6558

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 5-16 327 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 2-11 408 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 6-10 415 H Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 2-21 423 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 0-25 428 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 2-12 505 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 2- 8 512 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 16- 6 522 A Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 0-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Midland                 5-16     -11    -5          -0.24
   327 A Swartz Creek            2-11      -9   -10           0.00
   408 H Flushing                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.84
   415 H Saginaw Heritage        2-21     -19   -11           0.00
   423 A Saginaw Heritage        0-25     -25   -13           0.00
   428 A Flushing                2-12     -10    -2    -     -2.60
   505 H Midland                 2- 8      -6    -4          -1.49
   512 H Lake Fenton            16- 6      10    -2    +++    7.16
   522 A Rochester Stoney Creek  0-14     -14   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Flushing                6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.84
   428 A Flushing                2-12     -10    -2    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Lake Fenton            16- 6      10    -2    +++    7.16

Lapeer Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel   Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Lapeer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lapeer
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Lapeer   Lapeer
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Davison insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Davison
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fenton-Linden Co-Op
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Flushing Flushing Flushing  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett Haslett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haslett
Henry Ford II Lapeer   Lapeer
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Holly-Brandon Co-Op insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Holly-Brandon Co-Op
Holt Holt   Holt
Howell Howell insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo Central Kalamazoo Central   Kalamazoo Central
Lake Fenton Lapeer Lapeer  
Lake Orion Lake Orion insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Orion
Lakeview Lapeer   Lapeer
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Midland Midland  
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United   South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena St Catherine of Siena   St Catherine of Siena
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Lapeer   Lapeer
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Zeeland East

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)     5-16      -20.11       9.08       0.62         1.79           -34.82
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     2-11      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.79           -25.48
   0 H Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)     6-10      -22.46       6.73      -0.62         1.79           -41.25
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     2-21      -12.16      17.03      -0.62         1.79           -22.83
   0 A Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     0-25      -12.16      17.03       0.62         1.79           -20.62
   0 A Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)     2-12      -22.46       6.73       0.62         1.79           -39.03
   0 H Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)     2- 8      -20.11       9.08      -0.62         1.79           -37.04
   0 H Lake Fenton     ( 4- 8, 78.4)    16- 6      -21.47       7.73      -0.62         1.79            12.70
   0 A Rochester Ston  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     0-14      -13.13      16.06       0.62         1.79           -22.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -230.73

winning pts = 12.6962 losing points = -243.4258

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------