Aurora
W-L: ( 0-19) PR = 71.7163Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Stow-Munroe Falls ( 4-16, 81.3) 1-20 402 H St Vincent-St Mary (17- 2, 83.1) 5-13 405 A Lakewood ( 1-15, 71.9) 9-10 408 H Revere (13- 8, 89.9) 0-17 410 H Southeast ( 1- 6, 75.9) 5-12 411 A Poland Seminary (13- 4, 82.2) 3-13 414 A Solon (11- 7, 84.1) 1-11 415 A Brecksville-Broadview (14- 5, 88.1) 0-16 417 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 1-18 422 A Kent Roosevelt ( 5-14, 79.0) 7-14 424 A Kenston (13- 4, 85.4) 4-16 426 A Riverside ( 9-10, 82.2) 4-16 429 A Hudson (21- 1, 97.0) 0-19 430 A West Geauga ( 3-11, 73.6) 5- 6 501 A Padua Franciscan ( 5- 8, 79.7) 3-14 505 A Mentor (10- 9, 80.6) 1- 9 506 H Wadsworth ( 8-11, 83.4) 2-19 508 A Highland (12- 7, 84.2) 7-19 514 A Gilmour Academy ( 8- 8, 84.0) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Stow-Munroe Falls 1-20 -19 -10 0.00
402 H St Vincent-St Mary 5-13 -8 -11 0.00
405 A Lakewood 9-10 -1 -1 -0.15
408 H Revere 0-17 -17 -17 0.00
410 H Southeast 5-12 -7 -4 -1.43
411 A Poland Seminary 3-13 -10 -11 0.00
414 A Solon 1-11 -10 -13 0.00
415 A Brecksville-Broadview 0-16 -16 -17 0.00
417 H Copley 1-18 -17 -16 0.00
422 A Kent Roosevelt 7-14 -7 -8 0.00
424 A Kenston 4-16 -12 -14 0.00
426 A Riverside 4-16 -12 -11 0.00
429 A Hudson 0-19 -19 -26 0.00
430 A West Geauga 5- 6 -1 -3 1.57
501 A Padua Franciscan 3-14 -11 -9 0.00
505 A Mentor 1- 9 -8 -10 0.00
506 H Wadsworth 2-19 -17 -11 0.00
508 A Highland 7-19 -12 -13 0.00
514 A Gilmour Academy 1-17 -16 -13 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Aurora Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Anderson | Anderson | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Anthony Wayne | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Anthony Wayne | |
| Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban 2- 6 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Archbishop McNicholas | Archbishop McNicholas | Archbishop McNicholas | ||
| Avon | Avon | Avon 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Avon Lake | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Bay | Bay | Bay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Beaumont School | Beaumont School | Beaumont School 2- 5 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Bellbrook | Bellbrook | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bexley | |
| Big Walnut | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | ||
| Bishop Hartley | Bishop Hartley | Bishop Hartley | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Boardman | insuffient: ( 0- 6)( 1- 5) | Boardman | |
| Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Buckeye Valley | Buckeye Valley | ||
| Canfield | Canfield | Canfield 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Cardinal Mooney | |
| Carroll | Carroll | Carroll | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Chaminade-Julienne | Chaminade-Julienne | Chaminade-Julienne | ||
| Chardon | Chardon | Chardon 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Chillicothe | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Cincinnati CDS | Cincinnati CDS | Cincinnati CDS | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | ||
| Clay | Clay | Clay | ||
| Cleveland Heights | Cleveland Heights | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cleveland Heights | |
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | ||
| Columbus SG | Columbus SG | Columbus SG | ||
| Copley | Copley | Copley | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Cuyahoga Valley Christia 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | ||
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dublin Coffman | |
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dublin Jerome | |
| Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairmont | Fairmont | Fairmont | ||
| Findlay | Findlay | Findlay | ||
| Gahanna Lincoln | Gahanna Lincoln | Gahanna Lincoln | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | ||
| GlenOak | GlenOak | GlenOak 3- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Granville | Granville | Granville | ||
| Green | Green | tied - ( 0- 7) ( 0- 7) | Green | |
| Grove City | Grove City | Grove City | ||
| Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hathaway Brown B | Hathaway Brown B | Hathaway Brown B | ||
| Hawken School | Hawken School | Hawken School 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Highland | Highland | Highland | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Hilliard Bradley | Hilliard Bradley | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | ||
| Holy Name | Holy Name | Holy Name 2- 5 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson | ||
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | Indian Hill | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Jackson Massillon | |
| Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | ||
| Kenston | Kenston | Kenston | ||
| Kent Roosevelt | Kent Roosevelt | Kent Roosevelt | ||
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Lake | Lake | Lake 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lake Catholic | Lake Catholic | Lake Catholic 4- 3 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood | ||
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Laurel School | Laurel School | Laurel School 2- 5 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Lima | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Little Miami | Little Miami | Little Miami | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Louisville | |
| Loveland | Loveland | Loveland | ||
| Madeira | Madeira | Madeira | ||
| Magnificat | Magnificat | Magnificat 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Marysville | Marysville | ||
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Maumee Valley CDS | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Medina | Medina | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Medina | |
| Mentor | Mentor | Mentor | ||
| Mercy McAuley | Mercy McAuley | Mercy McAuley | ||
| Miami Valley School | Miami Valley School | Miami Valley School | ||
| Miamisburg | Miamisburg | Miamisburg | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Albany | |
| Newark | Newark | Newark | ||
| Northmont | Northmont | Northmont | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Oak Hills | Oak Hills | Oak Hills | ||
| Oakwood | Oakwood | Oakwood | ||
| Olentangy | Olentangy | Olentangy | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Olentangy Liberty | |
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Orange | Orange | Orange 2- 6 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | ||
| Padua Franciscan | Padua Franciscan | Padua Franciscan | ||
| Perrysburg | Perrysburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Perrysburg | |
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Poland Seminary | Poland Seminary | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Revere | Revere | Revere | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Rocky River | Rocky River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rocky River | |
| Roger Bacon | Roger Bacon | Roger Bacon | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | ||
| Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Shaker Heights | |
| Solon | Solon | Solon | ||
| Southeast | Southeast | Southeast | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | ||
| St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | ||
| St Ursula Toledo | St Ursula Toledo | St Ursula Toledo | ||
| St Vincent-St Mary | St Vincent-St Mary | St Vincent-St Mary | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Stow-Munroe Falls | Stow-Munroe Falls | ||
| Strongsville | Strongsville | Strongsville 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Summit CDS | Summit CDS | Summit CDS | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Sylvania Northview | Sylvania Northview | ||
| Sylvania Southview | Sylvania Southview | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sylvania Southview | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tippecanoe | Tippecanoe | Tippecanoe | ||
| Toledo Central Catholic | Toledo Central Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toledo Central Catholic | |
| Turpin | Turpin | Turpin | ||
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Wadsworth | Wadsworth | Wadsworth | ||
| Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Waynesville | Waynesville | Waynesville | ||
| Wellington School | Wellington School | Wellington School | ||
| West Geauga | West Geauga | West Geauga | ||
| Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Westerville Central | Aurora | Aurora | ||
| Westerville North | Westerville North | Westerville North | ||
| Westerville South | Westerville South | Westerville South | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming |
PowerWise = 4
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Stow-Munroe Fa ( 4-16, 81.3) 1-20 -18.60 13.08 0.66 0.88 -15.80
0 H St Vincent-St (17- 2, 83.1) 5-13 -16.84 14.85 -0.66 0.88 -15.42
0 A Lakewood ( 1-15, 71.9) 9-10 -28.00 3.68 0.66 0.88 -24.08
0 H Revere (13- 8, 89.9) 0-17 -10.04 21.64 -0.66 0.88 -9.43
0 H Southeast ( 1- 6, 75.9) 5-12 -23.95 7.73 -0.66 0.88 -21.68
0 A Poland Seminar (13- 4, 82.2) 3-13 -17.67 14.01 0.66 0.88 -14.98
0 A Solon (11- 7, 84.1) 1-11 -15.76 15.92 0.66 0.88 -13.30
0 A Brecksville-Br (14- 5, 88.1) 0-16 -11.76 19.92 0.66 0.88 -9.78
0 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 1-18 -11.15 20.53 -0.66 0.88 -10.41
0 A Kent Roosevelt ( 5-14, 79.0) 7-14 -20.86 10.83 0.66 0.88 -17.79
0 A Kenston (13- 4, 85.4) 4-16 -14.47 17.21 0.66 0.88 -12.16
0 A Riverside ( 9-10, 82.2) 4-16 -17.70 13.99 0.66 0.88 -15.00
0 A Hudson (21- 1, 97.0) 0-19 -2.88 28.80 0.66 0.88 -1.96
0 A West Geauga ( 3-11, 73.6) 5- 6 -26.27 5.41 0.66 0.88 -22.56
0 A Padua Francisc ( 5- 8, 79.7) 3-14 -20.25 11.43 0.66 0.88 -17.25
0 A Mentor (10- 9, 80.6) 1- 9 -19.25 12.43 0.66 0.88 -16.37
0 H Wadsworth ( 8-11, 83.4) 2-19 -16.47 15.22 -0.66 0.88 -15.09
0 A Highland (12- 7, 84.2) 7-19 -15.67 16.01 0.66 0.88 -13.22
0 A Gilmour Academ ( 8- 8, 84.0) 1-17 -15.93 15.76 0.66 0.88 -13.45
------
-279.74
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -279.7351
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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