Traverse City Centra
W-L: (13- 3) PR = 89.5569Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Forest Hills Northern/ ( 6-15, 88.8) 12-11 405 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 14- 5 409 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 18-10 411 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 14- 9 417 A Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 14-13 419 N East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 13- 3 419 A Waterford United ( 2- 8, 77.1) 13- 3 419 A Grand Haven ( 5-11, 83.4) 12- 0 423 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 9-21 425 A Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 15- 9 428 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 20- 1 430 A Grand Rapids Christian ( 7-10, 86.6) 15- 7 503 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 12-13 508 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 19- 6 509 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 18-11 517 H Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Forest Hills Northern/ 12-11 1 0 0.90
405 A East Lansing 14- 5 9 5 0.00
409 A DeWitt 18-10 8 4 0.85
411 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri 14- 9 5 6 0.00
417 A Portage Northern 14-13 1 1 0.01
419 N East Lansing 13- 3 10 6 0.00
419 A Waterford United 13- 3 10 12 0.00
419 A Grand Haven 12- 0 12 6 0.00
423 A Mattawan 9-21 -12 -3 -1.88
425 A Grandville 15- 9 6 2 + 2.71
428 A Midland 20- 1 19 9 0.00
430 A Grand Rapids Christian 15- 7 8 2 + 2.63
503 H Holt 12-13 -1 1 -1.71
508 H Midland 19- 6 13 10 0.00
509 H Hudsonville 18-11 7 1 ++ 4.47
517 H Portage Northern 6-14 -8 2 --- -7.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Portage Northern 6-14 -8 2 --- -7.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H Hudsonville 18-11 7 1 ++ 4.47 425 A Grandville 15- 9 6 2 + 2.71 430 A Grand Rapids Christian 15- 7 8 2 + 2.63 |
Traverse City Central Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Traverse City Central | |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Avondale | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Bedford | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Byron Center | |
| Caledonia | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Canton | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Cass Tech | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Clarkston | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Comstock Park | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | ||
| Davison | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Traverse City Central | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Dexter | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Divine Child | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Lansing | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Farmington | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Flushing | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Hills Central | |
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Grand Blanc | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Grand Haven | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Grandville | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Hartland | Hartland | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 0) | Haslett | |
| Henry Ford II | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Holt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Howell | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Hudsonville | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Jenison | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Lake Fenton | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lakeview | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) | Traverse City Central | |
| Lapeer | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Livonia United | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Lowell | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Marian | Marian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 7- 2)( 8- 0) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 7- 0) | Northview | |
| Northville | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Novi | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Okemos | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 3- 3 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Oxford | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Plymouth | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Portage Northern | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 7- 2)( 6- 3) | Traverse City Central | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Rochester Adams | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Rochester HS | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Rockford | |
| Royal Oak | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Salem | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Saline | Saline | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Lyon United | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Catherine of Siena | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Swartz Creek | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Tecumseh | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Troy | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy Athens | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| University Liggett | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Warren Regina | Traverse City Central | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Waterford United | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| West Bloomfield | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 6- 0 vs 0- 6 |
PowerWise = 72
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Forest Hills N ( 6-15, 88.8) 12-11 -11.06 18.13 0.62 1.01 18.85
0 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 14- 5 -16.12 13.08 0.62 1.01 13.77
0 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 18-10 -15.12 14.07 0.62 1.01 14.77
0 A Ann Arbor Fath ( 3-15, 83.2) 14- 9 -16.70 12.50 0.62 1.01 13.18
0 A Portage Northe (12-10, 87.9) 14-13 -11.96 17.23 0.62 1.01 17.95
0 N East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 13- 3 -16.12 13.08 -0.00 1.01 13.14
0 A Waterford Unit ( 2- 8, 77.1) 13- 3 -22.80 6.39 0.62 1.01 7.05
0 A Grand Haven ( 5-11, 83.4) 12- 0 -16.50 12.69 0.62 1.01 13.38
0 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 9-21 -7.84 21.35 0.62 1.01 -7.26
0 A Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 15- 9 -13.25 15.94 0.62 1.01 16.65
0 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 20- 1 -20.11 9.08 0.62 1.01 9.75
0 A Grand Rapids C ( 7-10, 86.6) 15- 7 -13.34 15.85 0.62 1.01 16.56
0 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 12-13 -10.43 18.76 -0.62 1.01 -11.11
0 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 19- 6 -20.11 9.08 -0.62 1.01 8.51
0 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 18-11 -10.25 18.94 -0.62 1.01 18.41
0 H Portage Northe (12-10, 87.9) 6-14 -11.96 17.23 -0.62 1.01 -12.64
------
150.97
|
winning pts = 181.9739 losing points = -31.0066
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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