Shelby County
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 79.7957Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 5-10 308 A Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 5- 4 311 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 5-16 313 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 10- 9 320 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 6-20 324 A Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 12- 2 328 A Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 9-10 329 A Dixie Heights ( 0- 6, 71.6) 16- 2 409 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 3- 7 417 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 9-10 421 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 6- 8 424 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 9- 8 429 A Christian Academy ( 6- 8, 84.8) 5-13 508 N North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Atherton 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.76
308 A Ryle 5- 4 1 2 -0.60
311 A Cooper 5-16 -11 -4 -1.32
313 H South Oldham 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.42
320 A Oldham County 6-20 -14 -7 0.00
324 A Tates Creek 12- 2 10 3 1.95
328 A Woodford County 9-10 -1 -1 -0.06
329 A Dixie Heights 16- 2 14 7 0.00
409 A North Oldham 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.40
417 H Collins 9-10 -1 -2 1.25
421 H Frederick Douglass 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.22
424 H North Oldham 9- 8 1 -1 1.95
429 A Christian Academy 5-13 -8 -6 0.00
508 N North Oldham 10-11 -1 -2 0.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Atherton 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.76 421 H Frederick Douglass 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H South Oldham 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.42 |
Shelby County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | Assumption 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Atherton | Atherton | Atherton | ||
| Ballard | Ballard | insuffient: ( 2- 6)( 3- 3) | Ballard | |
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Bryan Station | Shelby County | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Shelby County | |
| Central Hardin | Shelby County | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Shelby County | |
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | Christian Academy | ||
| Collins | Collins | Collins | ||
| Cooper | Cooper | Cooper | ||
| Dixie Heights | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Eastern | |
| Fern Creek | Fern Creek | Fern Creek | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Shelby County | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Shelby County | |
| Greenwood | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville Collegiate | |
| Male | Shelby County | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 3) | Shelby County | |
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy 6- 1 vs 3- 6 | ||
| North Oldham | North Oldham | North Oldham | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 6- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | Oldham County | ||
| Owensboro | Shelby County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Shelby County | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 7- 0 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | ||
| Ryle | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School 4- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Scott County | Shelby County | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Shelby County | |
| South Oldham | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| South Warren | Shelby County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Shelby County | |
| St Henry | St Henry | St Henry | ||
| Tates Creek | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 5-10 -19.05 9.25 -0.82 0.97 -19.32
0 A Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 5- 4 -22.52 5.77 0.82 0.97 6.41
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 5-16 -17.24 11.05 0.82 0.97 -15.96
0 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 10- 9 -15.86 12.44 -0.82 0.97 11.29
0 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 6-20 -14.42 13.88 0.82 0.97 -13.22
0 A Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 12- 2 -23.98 4.32 0.82 0.97 5.00
0 A Woodford Count ( 5- 9, 79.9) 9-10 -19.99 8.31 0.82 0.97 -18.63
0 A Dixie Heights ( 0- 6, 71.6) 16- 2 -28.30 1.00 0.82 0.97 1.77
0 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 3- 7 -18.33 9.96 0.82 0.97 -17.02
0 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 9-10 -17.04 11.26 -0.82 0.97 -17.36
0 H Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 6- 8 -19.50 8.79 -0.82 0.97 -19.76
0 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 9- 8 -18.33 9.96 -0.82 0.97 8.89
0 A Christian Acad ( 6- 8, 84.8) 5-13 -15.10 13.20 0.82 0.97 -13.88
0 N North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 10-11 -18.33 9.96 -0.00 0.97 -17.82
------
-119.60
|
winning pts = 33.3574 losing points = -152.9615
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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