---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Aptos 1
  
Aptos                 
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 77.0808

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Notre Dame Salinas ( 0- 4, 67.2) 12- 2 310 H Soquel ( 1- 2, 73.6) 12- 6 313 H Monterey ( 2-11, 75.5) 8- 3 321 H Monte Vista Christian ( 7-10, 77.5) 13-11 324 A Santa Cruz ( 3- 6, 70.1) 20- 5 326 A York School ( 0- 1, 72.0) 14- 1 331 A Santa Catalina School ( 2- 3, 74.5) 10- 6 403 A Notre Dame Salinas ( 0- 4, 67.2) 21- 2 404 H Archbishop Mitty ( 6-11, 87.3) 3-18 416 H Soquel ( 1- 2, 73.6) 19- 8 423 A Monterey ( 2-11, 75.5) 13-15 424 A Salinas ( 7- 7, 77.8) 9-17 428 H Santa Cruz ( 3- 6, 70.1) 11- 1 501 A Scotts Valley ( 9- 4, 81.4) 10-23 508 A Monte Vista Christian ( 7-10, 77.5) 12-18 509 H Scotts Valley ( 9- 4, 81.4) 14-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Notre Dame Salinas     12- 2      10    10           0.00
   310 H Soquel                 12- 6       6     4           1.09
   313 H Monterey                8- 3       5     2    +      2.99
   321 H Monte Vista Christian  13-11       2     0    +      2.05
   324 A Santa Cruz             20- 5      15     7           0.00
   326 A York School            14- 1      13     5           0.30
   331 A Santa Catalina School  10- 6       4     2           1.81
   403 A Notre Dame Salinas     21- 2      19     9           0.00
   404 H Archbishop Mitty        3-18     -15   -10           0.00
   416 H Soquel                 19- 8      11     4           1.09
   423 A Monterey               13-15      -2     1    -     -3.19
   424 A Salinas                 9-17      -8    -1    -     -3.90
   428 H Santa Cruz             11- 1      10     7           0.00
   501 A Scotts Valley          10-23     -13    -5          -0.26
   508 A Monte Vista Christian  12-18      -6    -1    --    -4.13
   509 H Scotts Valley          14-16      -2    -4           1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Monte Vista Christian  12-18      -6    -1    --    -4.13
   423 A Monterey               13-15      -2     1    -     -3.19
   424 A Salinas                 9-17      -8    -1    -     -3.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Monterey                8- 3       5     2    +      2.99
   321 H Monte Vista Christian  13-11       2     0    +      2.05

Aptos Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Aptos   Aptos
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Aptos   Aptos
Athenian Aptos   Aptos
Bay School Bay School   Bay School
Bentley Aptos   Aptos
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson School Branson School   Branson School
California San Ramon California San Ramon   California San Ramon
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Carondelet Carondelet   Carondelet
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Charter Aptos   Aptos
College Park College Park   College Park
Convent-Sacred Heart Aptos   Aptos
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
El Cerrito Aptos   Aptos
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Aptos   Aptos
Head-Royce School Aptos   Aptos
International Aptos   Aptos
Justin-Siena Justin-Siena   Justin-Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick-Wilmerding Lick-Wilmerding   Lick-Wilmerding
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Aptos   Aptos
Napa Aptos   Aptos
Newark Memorial Aptos   Aptos
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Oakland Aptos   Aptos
Oakland Tech Aptos   Aptos
Petaluma Aptos   Aptos
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Domenico San Domenico   San Domenico
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Aptos   Aptos
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Skyline Aptos   Aptos
Sonoma Academy Aptos   Aptos
Sonoma Valley Aptos   Aptos
St Vincent de Paul Aptos   Aptos
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University HS SF University HS SF   University HS SF
Urban School Urban School   Urban School
Vintage Aptos   Aptos
Washington Fremont Aptos   Aptos
Windsor Aptos   Aptos
Ygnacio Valley Aptos   Aptos
Academy of Our Lady of P Aptos   Aptos
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Bonita Vista   Bonita Vista
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Canyon Hills   Canyon Hills
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Castle Park   Castle Park
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Aptos   Aptos
Classical Academy Aptos   Aptos
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Aptos   Aptos
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
El Camino El Camino   El Camino
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Fallbrook   Fallbrook
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School   Francis Parker School
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Aptos   Aptos
Helix Charter Aptos   Aptos
Hilltop Aptos   Aptos
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Aptos   Aptos
Mar Vista Aptos   Aptos
Mater Dei Chula Vista Mater Dei Chula Vista   Mater Dei Chula Vista
Mira Mesa Mira Mesa   Mira Mesa
Mission Bay Mission Bay   Mission Bay
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Mission Vista Aptos   Aptos
Monte Vista Spring Valle Aptos   Aptos
Morse Aptos   Aptos
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Olympian   Olympian
Otay Ranch Aptos   Aptos
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Aptos   Aptos
Ramona Aptos   Aptos
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   Rancho Buena Vista
Sage Creek Sage Creek   Sage Creek
San Diego Aptos   Aptos
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro San Ysidro   San Ysidro
Santana Aptos   Aptos
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
Southwest Aptos   Aptos
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
Tri City Christian Tri City Christian   Tri City Christian
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Valhalla   Valhalla
Valley Center Aptos   Aptos
Vista Aptos   Aptos
West Hills Aptos   Aptos
Westview Westview   Westview
Aragon Aptos insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Aptos
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty  
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Carmel Carmel Carmel   4- 0 vs 2- 4
Castilleja Castilleja   Castilleja
Gilroy Aptos   Aptos
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Aptos Aptos   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Harker School Harker School   Harker School
Hillsdale Hillsdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillsdale
Leland Leland   Leland
Lincoln San Jose Aptos   Aptos
Live Oak Live Oak insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Menlo-Atherton
Mercy Burlingame Mercy Burlingame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy Burlingame
Monte Vista Christian Monte Vista Christian tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Monte Vista Christian
Monterey Aptos insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Aptos
Mountain View Mountain View tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Mountain View
Notre Dame Belmont Notre Dame Belmont   Notre Dame Belmont
Notre Dame Salinas Aptos Aptos  
Notre Dame San Jose Notre Dame San Jose   Notre Dame San Jose
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Aptos insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Aptos
Presentation Aptos   Aptos
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedral Sacred Heart Cathedral   Sacred Heart Cathedral
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas Salinas  
Santa Catalina School Aptos Aptos  
Santa Cruz Aptos Aptos  
Saratoga Saratoga   Saratoga
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley Scotts Valley  
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Sobrato Aptos   Aptos
Soquel Aptos Aptos  
St Francis Mtn View St Francis Mtn View insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Francis Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School Stevenson School   4- 0 vs 2- 4
Wilcox Aptos   Aptos
Willow Glen Aptos   Aptos
Woodside Woodside   Woodside
York School Aptos Aptos  
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Aptos   Aptos
Rio Americano Aptos   Aptos
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Francis Sacramento St Francis Sacramento   St Francis Sacramento
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek
Alexander Hamilton Aptos   Aptos
Birmingham Charter Aptos   Aptos
El Camino Real Aptos   Aptos
GALA Aptos   Aptos
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University HS LA Aptos   Aptos
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Aptos   Aptos
Calabasas Aptos   Aptos
California Whittier Aptos   Aptos
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Aptos   Aptos
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Aptos   Aptos
Chadwick School Chadwick School   Chadwick School
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Aptos   Aptos
Corona Aptos   Aptos
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Dana Hills Aptos   Aptos
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Downey   Downey
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena Aptos   Aptos
El Rancho El Rancho   El Rancho
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
El Toro El Toro   El Toro
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza   Esperanza
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Glendale   Glendale
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Aptos   Aptos
Hemet Aptos   Aptos
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Heritage Christian Aptos   Aptos
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Aptos   Aptos
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada La Canada   La Canada
Laguna Beach Laguna Beach   Laguna Beach
Laguna Hills Laguna Hills   Laguna Hills
Lakewood Aptos   Aptos
Liberty Aptos   Aptos
Long Beach Poly Aptos   Aptos
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Lynwood Aptos   Aptos
Marlborough Marlborough   Marlborough
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Aptos   Aptos
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo   Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Aptos   Aptos
Nordhoff Aptos   Aptos
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Oaks Notre Dame Sherman Oaks   Notre Dame Sherman Oaks
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Paloma Valley   Paloma Valley
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Portola   Portola
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Aptos   Aptos
Rosary Academy Aptos   Aptos
Royal Royal   Royal
Sage Hill Sage Hill   Sage Hill
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Santa Margarita   Santa Margarita
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Aptos   Aptos
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Margarets St Margarets   St Margarets
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
Tustin Aptos   Aptos
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Placentia Aptos   Aptos
Valencia Santa Clarita Valencia Santa Clarita   Valencia Santa Clarita
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westridge School Westridge School   Westridge School
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson   Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Bullard Bullard   Bullard
Edison Fresno Edison Fresno   Edison Fresno
Fresno Aptos   Aptos
Garces Memorial Garces Memorial   Garces Memorial
Hoover Fresno Hoover Fresno   Hoover Fresno
McLane McLane   McLane
Roosevelt Roosevelt   Roosevelt
San Joaquin Memorial San Joaquin Memorial   San Joaquin Memorial
Sanger Sanger   Sanger
Sunnyside Aptos   Aptos

PowerWise = 95


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Notre Dame Sal  ( 0- 4, 67.2)    12- 2      -32.66       3.98      -0.41         1.00             3.58
   0 H Soquel          ( 1- 2, 73.6)    12- 6      -26.32      10.32      -0.41         1.00             9.95
   0 H Monterey        ( 2-11, 75.5)     8- 3      -24.42      12.23      -0.41         1.00            11.86
   0 H Monte Vista Ch  ( 7-10, 77.5)    13-11      -22.36      14.28      -0.41         1.00            13.92
   0 A Santa Cruz      ( 3- 6, 70.1)    20- 5      -29.83       6.81       0.41         1.00             7.25
   0 A York School     ( 0- 1, 72.0)    14- 1      -27.93       8.71       0.41         1.00             9.15
   0 A Santa Catalina  ( 2- 3, 74.5)    10- 6      -25.42      11.22       0.41         1.00            11.67
   0 A Notre Dame Sal  ( 0- 4, 67.2)    21- 2      -32.66       3.98       0.41         1.00             4.41
   0 H Archbishop Mit  ( 6-11, 87.3)     3-18      -12.64      24.01      -0.41         1.00           -13.09
   0 H Soquel          ( 1- 2, 73.6)    19- 8      -26.32      10.32      -0.41         1.00             9.95
   0 A Monterey        ( 2-11, 75.5)    13-15      -24.42      12.23       0.41         1.00           -24.09
   0 A Salinas         ( 7- 7, 77.8)     9-17      -22.13      14.51       0.41         1.00           -21.79
   0 H Santa Cruz      ( 3- 6, 70.1)    11- 1      -29.83       6.81      -0.41         1.00             6.42
   0 A Scotts Valley   ( 9- 4, 81.4)    10-23      -18.49      18.15       0.41         1.00           -18.14
   0 A Monte Vista Ch  ( 7-10, 77.5)    12-18      -22.36      14.28       0.41         1.00           -22.02
   0 H Scotts Valley   ( 9- 4, 81.4)    14-16      -18.49      18.15      -0.41         1.00           -18.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -29.95

winning pts = 88.1473 losing points = -118.0937

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------