Aubrey Rogers
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 71.5153Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Canterbury School (12- 3, 79.4) 4-15 213 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 2-14 214 A Estero (10- 6, 72.8) 12- 9 218 A Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 4-17 220 H Gulf Coast (14- 4, 82.9) 1-15 224 A Palmetto Ridge ( 2-11, 63.5) 22- 1 228 H Immokalee ( 0-12, 59.3) 17- 0 303 H Venice ( 6-10, 73.3) 3- 9 304 A Lely ( 2- 7, 67.2) 13- 2 306 A Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 1-16 317 H Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 9-10 319 A Bishop Verot ( 6-10, 74.7) 5-11 321 A Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 8- 9 325 A Cape Coral ( 6- 6, 68.1) 10- 6 331 H Bishop Verot ( 6-10, 74.7) 8-15 401 H Estero (10- 6, 72.8) 11-15 403 H Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 4-14 410 A Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 4-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Canterbury School 4-15 -11 -7 0.00
213 H Fort Myers 2-14 -12 -3 -1.82
214 A Estero 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.74
218 A Barron Collier 4-17 -13 -4 -0.55
220 H Gulf Coast 1-15 -14 -11 0.00
224 A Palmetto Ridge 22- 1 21 8 0.00
228 H Immokalee 17- 0 17 13 0.00
303 H Venice 3- 9 -6 -1 - -3.66
304 A Lely 13- 2 11 4 1.10
306 A Naples 1-16 -15 -9 0.00
317 H Barron Collier 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.54
319 A Bishop Verot 5-11 -6 -4 -1.40
321 A Barron Collier 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.45
325 A Cape Coral 10- 6 4 3 1.04
331 H Bishop Verot 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.31
401 H Estero 11-15 -4 -1 - -3.17
403 H Naples 4-14 -10 -8 0.00
410 A Naples 4-19 -15 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Venice 3- 9 -6 -1 - -3.66 331 H Bishop Verot 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.31 401 H Estero 11-15 -4 -1 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Estero 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.74 317 H Barron Collier 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.54 321 A Barron Collier 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.45 |
Aubrey Rogers Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | ||
| Alonso | Alonso | Alonso | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | American Heritage Planta | |
| Angeline Academy | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Apopka | Apopka | Apopka | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Archbishop McCarthy | |
| Atlantic Coast | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | Barron Collier | ||
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Beachside | Beachside | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | ||
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | ||
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Boone | Boone | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz | ||
| Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Calvary Christian Academ | |
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvary Christian HS | |
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cape Coral | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Colonial | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cooper City | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Coral Glades | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Coral Reef | Coral Reef | Coral Reef | ||
| Coral Shores | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Coral Springs | Coral Springs | Coral Springs | ||
| Countryside | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | ||
| Cypress Lake | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Discovery | Discovery | Discovery | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Durant | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| East River | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Eastside | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Edgewater | Edgewater | Edgewater | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Estero | Estero | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Estero | |
| Evans | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Forest | Forest | Forest | ||
| Fort Myers | Fort Myers | Fort Myers | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gateway | Aubrey Rogers | insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) | Aubrey Rogers | |
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Aubrey Rogers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aubrey Rogers | |
| Hagerty | Hagerty | Hagerty | ||
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Horizon | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | IMG Academy | |
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Innovation | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Key West | Key West | Key West | ||
| Keys Gate | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | Lake Howell | ||
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | ||
| Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | ||
| Lake Nona | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Lakeland | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lakewood Ranch | |
| Land O Lakes | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Largo | Aubrey Rogers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aubrey Rogers | |
| Leesburg | Leesburg | Leesburg | ||
| Lely | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Lourdes Academy | Lourdes Academy | ||
| Lyman | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Maclay | Maclay | Maclay | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manatee | |
| Mandarin | Mandarin | Mandarin | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Marco Island Academy | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Marco Island Academy | |
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Matanzas | Matanzas | ||
| Melbourne | Melbourne | Melbourne | ||
| Menendez | Menendez | Menendez | ||
| Merritt Island | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Miami Country Day | |
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Naples | Naples | Naples | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | Navarre | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | North Bay Haven | North Bay Haven | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Northeast St Petersburg | Northeast St Petersburg | ||
| Northside Christian | Northside Christian | Northside Christian | ||
| NSU University School | NSU University School | NSU University School | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Okeechobee | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Olympia | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Orangewood Christian | Orangewood Christian | ||
| Osceola | Osceola | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Osceola | |
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Out-of-Door Academy | |
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Palmer Trinity | Palmer Trinity | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Park Vista | Park Vista | Park Vista | ||
| Parrish Community | Parrish Community | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Parrish Community | |
| Pasco | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Paxon Institute | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Pensacola | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| River Ridge | River Ridge | River Ridge | ||
| Riverdale | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Riverside | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Santa Fe | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Sarasota | Sarasota | Sarasota 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Satellite | Satellite | Satellite | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | ||
| Sebastian River | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Seminole | Seminole | Seminole | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| South Lake | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| South Plantation | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| St Brendan | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| St Cloud | St Cloud | St Cloud | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| St Petersburg | St Petersburg | St Petersburg | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | St Petersburg Catholic | St Petersburg Catholic | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Stephens Episcopal | |
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Sunlake | Sunlake | Sunlake | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | ||
| Venice | Venice | Venice | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School | Aubrey Rogers | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Aubrey Rogers | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wekiva | Wekiva | Wekiva | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| West Boca Raton | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| West Broward | West Broward | West Broward | ||
| West Florida | West Florida | West Florida | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| Western | Western | Western | ||
| Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | ||
| Wharton | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS | ||
| Windermere Prep | Windermere Prep | Windermere Prep | ||
| Winter Haven | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Winter Springs | Winter Springs | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | ||
| Wolfson | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers |
PowerWise = 70
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Canterbury Sch (12- 3, 79.4) 4-15 -20.50 21.60 -0.45 0.80 -16.69
0 H Fort Myers (12- 2, 75.1) 2-14 -24.75 17.35 -0.45 0.80 -20.08
0 A Estero (10- 6, 72.8) 12- 9 -27.10 15.00 0.45 0.80 12.31
0 A Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 4-17 -24.39 17.71 0.45 0.80 -19.07
0 H Gulf Coast (14- 4, 82.9) 1-15 -17.03 25.07 -0.45 0.80 -13.93
0 A Palmetto Ridge ( 2-11, 63.5) 22- 1 -36.39 5.71 0.45 0.80 4.91
0 H Immokalee ( 0-12, 59.3) 17- 0 -40.57 1.53 -0.45 0.80 0.85
0 H Venice ( 6-10, 73.3) 3- 9 -26.59 15.51 -0.45 0.80 -21.55
0 A Lely ( 2- 7, 67.2) 13- 2 -32.74 9.36 0.45 0.80 7.82
0 A Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 1-16 -20.24 21.86 0.45 0.80 -15.76
0 H Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 9-10 -24.39 17.71 -0.45 0.80 -19.79
0 A Bishop Verot ( 6-10, 74.7) 5-11 -25.24 16.86 0.45 0.80 -19.74
0 A Barron Collier ( 9- 7, 75.5) 8- 9 -24.39 17.71 0.45 0.80 -19.07
0 A Cape Coral ( 6- 6, 68.1) 10- 6 -31.80 10.30 0.45 0.80 8.57
0 H Bishop Verot ( 6-10, 74.7) 8-15 -25.24 16.86 -0.45 0.80 -20.47
0 H Estero (10- 6, 72.8) 11-15 -27.10 15.00 -0.45 0.80 -21.95
0 H Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 4-14 -20.24 21.86 -0.45 0.80 -16.49
0 A Naples (12- 6, 79.7) 4-19 -20.24 21.86 0.45 0.80 -15.76
------
-205.88
|
winning pts = 34.4603 losing points = -240.3403
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------