---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:38 PDT

safe3step girls Episcopal Collegiate 1
  
Episcopal Collegiate  
W-L: ( 1- 3) PR = 97.4303

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 8-15 417 H Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 10- 5 418 A Fayetteville ( 9- 1, 99.9) 7- 9 426 H Fayetteville ( 9- 1, 99.9) 3- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Salt County             8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.14
   417 H Salt County            10- 5       5     1    ++     4.20
   418 A Fayetteville            7- 9      -2    -4           1.80
   426 H Fayetteville            3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Salt County             8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.14
   426 H Fayetteville            3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Salt County            10- 5       5     1    ++     4.20

Episcopal Collegiate Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Fayetteville Fayetteville Fayetteville  
Pulaski Academy Episcopal Collegiate insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Episcopal Collegiate
Rogers Episcopal Collegiate insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Episcopal Collegiate
Salt County Salt County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salt County
Mt St Mary Episcopal Collegiate insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Episcopal Collegiate

PowerWise = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.00

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Salt County     ( 8- 2, 98.0)     8-15       -1.94       6.33       1.33         1.50            -0.91
   0 H Salt County     ( 8- 2, 98.0)    10- 5       -1.94       6.33      -1.33         1.50             7.50
   0 A Fayetteville    ( 9- 1, 99.9)     7- 9       -0.00       8.27       1.33         1.50            -2.00
   0 H Fayetteville    ( 9- 1, 99.9)     3- 7       -0.00       8.27      -1.33         1.50            -2.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         2.59

winning pts = 7.4992 losing points = -4.9089

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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