---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Desert Hills 1
  
Desert Hills          
W-L: ( 5-12) PR = 72.3413

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Jordan ( 5-11, 72.0) 3- 8 315 H Wasatch (11- 7, 83.5) 1-25 315 A Northridge ( 3-13, 75.2) 4-11 318 A Crimson Cliffs ( 1-14, 69.6) 15- 6 325 H Pine View ( 3-10, 72.8) 6- 5 327 H Hurricane (13- 4, 78.1) 2-17 401 A Snow Canyon ( 8- 9, 73.6) 7-10 404 H Cedar ( 8- 8, 74.7) 7-13 408 A Canyon View (11- 3, 76.6) 9-12 411 H Crimson Cliffs ( 1-14, 69.6) 10- 1 417 A Pine View ( 3-10, 72.8) 1- 3 422 A Hurricane (13- 4, 78.1) 3-11 425 H Snow Canyon ( 8- 9, 73.6) 9- 6 429 A Cedar ( 8- 8, 74.7) 3-11 502 H Canyon View (11- 3, 76.6) 8-11 513 A Jordan ( 5-11, 72.0) 6- 3 515 A Bear River (21- 0, 88.0) 2-25

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Jordan                  3- 8      -5     1    --    -5.87
   315 H Wasatch                 1-25     -24   -11           0.00
   315 A Northridge              4-11      -7    -3          -1.57
   318 A Crimson Cliffs         15- 6       9     2    +      2.86
   325 H Pine View               6- 5       1     0           0.87
   327 H Hurricane               2-17     -15    -5           0.00
   401 A Snow Canyon             7-10      -3    -2          -1.17
   404 H Cedar                   7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.19
   408 A Canyon View             9-12      -3    -5           1.78
   411 H Crimson Cliffs         10- 1       9     3           1.76
   417 A Pine View               1- 3      -2    -1          -1.03
   422 A Hurricane               3-11      -8    -6           0.00
   425 H Snow Canyon             9- 6       3    -1    +      3.73
   429 A Cedar                   3-11      -8    -3    -     -2.09
   502 H Canyon View             8-11      -3    -4           0.68
   513 A Jordan                  6- 3       3     0    +      3.23
   515 A Bear River              2-25     -23   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Jordan                  3- 8      -5     1    --    -5.87
   404 H Cedar                   7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.19
   429 A Cedar                   3-11      -8    -3    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Crimson Cliffs         15- 6       9     2    +      2.86
   425 H Snow Canyon             9- 6       3    -1    +      3.73
   513 A Jordan                  6- 3       3     0    +      3.23

Desert Hills Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta   Alta
American Fork American Fork tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American Fork
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bingham
Bonneville Bonneville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bonneville
Bountiful Bountiful insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bountiful
Box Elder Box Elder insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Box Elder
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Canyon View Canyon View Canyon View  
Cedar Cedar Cedar  
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Cedar Valley
Clearfield Clearfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clearfield
Copper Hills Copper Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Copper Hills
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon   Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Desert Hills Desert Hills  
Davis Davis   Davis
East Desert Hills   Desert Hills
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fremont Fremont   Fremont
Green Canyon Green Canyon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Canyon
Herriman Herriman   Herriman
Highland Highland   Highland
Hillcrest Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Hillcrest
Hurricane Hurricane Hurricane  
Jordan Desert Hills insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Desert Hills
Juan Diego Catholic Desert Hills tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Desert Hills
Judge Memorial Judge Memorial tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Judge Memorial
Layton Layton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Layton
Lehi Lehi   Lehi
Logan Logan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Logan
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maple Mountain
Mountain Crest Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mountain Crest
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Desert Hills insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Desert Hills
Northridge Northridge Northridge  
Olympus Olympus   Olympus
Orem Orem tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) Orem
Park City Park City   Park City
Payson Payson   Payson
Pine View Desert Hills Desert Hills   2- 4 vs 0- 5
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove   Pleasant Grove
Provo Provo Provo   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Ridgeline Ridgeline insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ridgeline
Riverton Riverton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverton
Roy Roy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roy
Salem Hills Salem Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salem Hills
Sky View Sky View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sky View
Skyline Skyline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge   Skyridge
Snow Canyon Snow Canyon tied - ( 3- 6) ( 3- 4) Snow Canyon
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Spanish Fork
Springville Springville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Springville
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Timpanogos Timpanogos insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Timpanogos
Timpview Timpview tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Timpview
Uintah Desert Hills insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Desert Hills
Viewmont Viewmont insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Viewmont
Wasatch Wasatch Wasatch  
Waterford Waterford insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Waterford
Weber Weber   Weber
West Desert Hills   Desert Hills
West Field Desert Hills insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Desert Hills
West Jordan West Jordan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Jordan
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woods Cross

PowerWise = 9


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jordan          ( 5-11, 72.0)     3- 8      -27.88      10.07      -0.55         1.05           -29.75
   0 H Wasatch         (11- 7, 83.5)     1-25      -16.39      21.55      -0.55         1.05           -17.73
   0 A Northridge      ( 3-13, 75.2)     4-11      -24.68      13.27       0.55         1.05           -25.25
   0 A Crimson Cliffs  ( 1-14, 69.6)    15- 6      -30.25       7.70       0.55         1.05             8.63
   0 H Pine View       ( 3-10, 72.8)     6- 5      -27.14      10.81      -0.55         1.05            10.74
   0 H Hurricane       (13- 4, 78.1)     2-17      -21.84      16.10      -0.55         1.05           -23.44
   0 A Snow Canyon     ( 8- 9, 73.6)     7-10      -26.28      11.67       0.55         1.05           -26.93
   0 H Cedar           ( 8- 8, 74.7)     7-13      -25.20      12.75      -0.55         1.05           -26.94
   0 A Canyon View     (11- 3, 76.6)     9-12      -23.33      14.62       0.55         1.05           -23.84
   0 H Crimson Cliffs  ( 1-14, 69.6)    10- 1      -30.25       7.70      -0.55         1.05             7.48
   0 A Pine View       ( 3-10, 72.8)     1- 3      -27.14      10.81       0.55         1.05           -27.83
   0 A Hurricane       (13- 4, 78.1)     3-11      -21.84      16.10       0.55         1.05           -22.29
   0 H Snow Canyon     ( 8- 9, 73.6)     9- 6      -26.28      11.67      -0.55         1.05            11.63
   0 A Cedar           ( 8- 8, 74.7)     3-11      -25.20      12.75       0.55         1.05           -25.80
   0 H Canyon View     (11- 3, 76.6)     8-11      -23.33      14.62      -0.55         1.05           -24.99
   0 A Jordan          ( 5-11, 72.0)     6- 3      -27.88      10.07       0.55         1.05            11.11
   0 A Bear River      (21- 0, 88.0)     2-25      -11.86      26.08       0.55         1.05           -11.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -237.03

winning pts = 49.5914 losing points = -286.6216

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------