---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Hillcrest 1
  
Hillcrest             
W-L: ( 9-12) PR = 77.3135

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 310 A Viewmont (15- 4, 82.2) 3-15 311 A Bear River (21- 0, 88.0) 3-18 314 A Roy ( 3-13, 75.1) 6- 2 317 A Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 9- 6 319 A Wasatch (11- 7, 83.5) 7-16 324 A West Field ( 2-17, 70.4) 10- 7 326 A Wasatch (11- 7, 83.5) 5-13 328 A Springville ( 7- 9, 78.3) 7-17 331 A Jordan ( 5-11, 72.0) 10- 4 403 A Corner Canyon ( 6-13, 84.8) 3-19 404 A Brighton (13- 6, 88.9) 3-16 414 A Copper Hills ( 7-10, 80.4) 5-15 421 A Juan Diego Catholic ( 1-13, 71.3) 15- 3 428 A Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 2-15 429 A Highland (13- 5, 84.7) 11-14 501 H Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 11-10 506 A Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 10-15 508 A Juan Diego Catholic ( 1-13, 71.3) 12- 1 513 H Green Canyon ( 3-13, 73.0) 9- 8 515 H Hurricane (13- 4, 78.1) 10- 5 517 A Payson (12- 8, 83.3) 8-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Viewmont                3-15     -12    -5           0.00
   311 A Bear River              3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   314 A Roy                     6- 2       4     2    +      2.38
   317 A Uintah                  9- 6       3     5          -1.91
   319 A Wasatch                 7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   324 A West Field             10- 7       3     6    -     -2.00
   326 A Wasatch                 5-13      -8    -7           0.00
   328 A Springville             7-17     -10    -2    -     -3.45
   331 A Jordan                 10- 4       6     5           0.26
   403 A Corner Canyon           3-19     -16    -8           0.00
   404 A Brighton                3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   414 A Copper Hills            5-15     -10    -4          -1.41
   421 A Juan Diego Catholic    15- 3      12     5           0.00
   428 A Waterford               2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   429 A Highland               11-14      -3    -8    +      2.00
   501 H Judge Memorial         11-10       1    -2    +      3.05
   506 A Judge Memorial         10-15      -5    -3          -1.86
   508 A Juan Diego Catholic    12- 1      11     5           0.00
   513 H Green Canyon            9- 8       1     5    -     -3.89
   515 H Hurricane              10- 5       5     0    ++     5.19
   517 A Payson                  8-17      -9    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A West Field             10- 7       3     6    -     -2.00
   328 A Springville             7-17     -10    -2    -     -3.45
   513 H Green Canyon            9- 8       1     5    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Hurricane              10- 5       5     0    ++     5.19
   314 A Roy                     6- 2       4     2    +      2.38
   429 A Highland               11-14      -3    -8    +      2.00
   501 H Judge Memorial         11-10       1    -2    +      3.05

Hillcrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Alta
American Fork American Fork tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) American Fork
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham Bingham   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bonneville Hillcrest insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Hillcrest
Bountiful Bountiful insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Bountiful
Box Elder Box Elder insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Box Elder
Brighton Brighton Brighton  
Canyon View Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Cedar Hillcrest insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hillcrest
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley Cedar Valley   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Clearfield Clearfield insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Clearfield
Copper Hills Copper Hills Copper Hills  
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon Corner Canyon  
Crimson Cliffs Hillcrest Hillcrest   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Davis Davis insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Davis
Desert Hills Hillcrest Hillcrest   2- 2 vs 0- 4
East Hillcrest Hillcrest   2- 3 vs 0- 4
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fremont Fremont tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fremont
Green Canyon Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Herriman Herriman tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Herriman
Highland Highland Highland  
Hurricane Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Jordan Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Juan Diego Catholic Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Judge Memorial Judge Memorial tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 3) Judge Memorial
Layton Layton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Layton
Lehi Lehi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lehi
Logan Hillcrest tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Hillcrest
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) Maple Mountain
Mountain Crest Hillcrest Hillcrest   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Mountain View Hillcrest Hillcrest   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Northridge Hillcrest Hillcrest   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Olympus Olympus Olympus   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Orem Hillcrest tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 3) Hillcrest
Park City Park City Park City   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Payson Payson Payson  
Pine View Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pleasant Grove
Provo Provo insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) Provo
Ridgeline Ridgeline tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Ridgeline
Riverton Riverton Riverton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Roy Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Salem Hills Salem Hills Salem Hills   6- 0 vs 0- 5
Sky View Hillcrest insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Hillcrest
Skyline Skyline insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge Skyridge   3- 0 vs 0- 2
Snow Canyon Hillcrest insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Hillcrest
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) Spanish Fork
Springville Springville Springville  
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Syracuse
Timpanogos Timpanogos tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) Timpanogos
Timpview Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hillcrest
Uintah Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Viewmont Viewmont Viewmont  
Wasatch Wasatch Wasatch  
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Weber Weber tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Weber
West Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hillcrest
West Field Hillcrest Hillcrest  
West Jordan West Jordan West Jordan   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Westlake Westlake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross Woods Cross   5- 0 vs 1- 3

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Viewmont        (15- 4, 82.2)     3-15      -17.70      20.25       0.55         0.85           -14.53
   0 A Bear River      (21- 0, 88.0)     3-18      -11.86      26.08       0.55         0.85            -9.59
   0 A Roy             ( 3-13, 75.1)     6- 2      -24.75      13.19       0.55         0.85            11.64
   0 A Uintah          ( 3-16, 71.9)     9- 6      -28.04       9.90       0.55         0.85             8.86
   0 A Wasatch         (11- 7, 83.5)     7-16      -16.39      21.55       0.55         0.85           -13.42
   0 A West Field      ( 2-17, 70.4)    10- 7      -29.45       8.49       0.55         0.85             7.66
   0 A Wasatch         (11- 7, 83.5)     5-13      -16.39      21.55       0.55         0.85           -13.42
   0 A Springville     ( 7- 9, 78.3)     7-17      -21.59      16.36       0.55         0.85           -17.82
   0 A Jordan          ( 5-11, 72.0)    10- 4      -27.88      10.07       0.55         0.85             8.99
   0 A Corner Canyon   ( 6-13, 84.8)     3-19      -15.14      22.81       0.55         0.85           -12.36
   0 A Brighton        (13- 6, 88.9)     3-16      -11.03      26.92       0.55         0.85            -8.88
   0 A Copper Hills    ( 7-10, 80.4)     5-15      -19.55      18.40       0.55         0.85           -16.10
   0 A Juan Diego Cat  ( 1-13, 71.3)    15- 3      -28.60       9.34       0.55         0.85             8.38
   0 A Waterford       (14- 4, 86.5)     2-15      -13.43      24.52       0.55         0.85           -10.91
   0 A Highland        (13- 5, 84.7)    11-14      -15.18      22.77       0.55         0.85           -12.39
   0 H Judge Memorial  ( 8- 8, 79.9)    11-10      -19.99      17.96      -0.55         0.85            14.75
   0 A Judge Memorial  ( 8- 8, 79.9)    10-15      -19.99      17.96       0.55         0.85           -16.47
   0 A Juan Diego Cat  ( 1-13, 71.3)    12- 1      -28.60       9.34       0.55         0.85             8.38
   0 H Green Canyon    ( 3-13, 73.0)     9- 8      -26.93      11.02      -0.55         0.85             8.87
   0 H Hurricane       (13- 4, 78.1)    10- 5      -21.84      16.10      -0.55         0.85            13.18
   0 A Payson          (12- 8, 83.3)     8-17      -16.56      21.38       0.55         0.85           -13.57
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -68.76

winning pts = 90.7038 losing points = -159.4599

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------