---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Houlton 1
  
Houlton               
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 85.6390

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 422 H Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 8- 7 425 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 5-14 426 H Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 2- 9 428 A Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 8-18 505 H Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 3-13 507 H Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 6-18 512 A MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 11- 5 514 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 13-10 517 H Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 4-17 519 A Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 3-17 524 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 7-17 604 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 12-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Winslow/Lawrence        8- 7       1     4    -     -2.93
   425 A Erskine Academy         5-14      -9    -5          -0.09
   426 H Lincoln Academy         2- 9      -7    -6           0.00
   428 A Messalonskee            8-18     -10    -5           0.00
   505 H Maranacook/Winthrop     3-13     -10    -9           0.00
   507 H Bangor                  6-18     -12    -4          -1.49
   512 A MCI/Nokomis            11- 5       6     4           0.95
   514 H Brewer/Hampden         13-10       3     1    +      2.34
   517 H Cony                    4-17     -13    -6           0.00
   519 A Camden Hills Regional   3-17     -14    -7           0.00
   524 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale      7-17     -10    -5          -0.13
   604 H Brewer/Hampden         12-10       2     1           1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Winslow/Lawrence        8- 7       1     4    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Brewer/Hampden         13-10       3     1    +      2.34

Houlton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor Bangor  
Biddeford Biddeford   Biddeford
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle   Bonny Eagle
Brewer/Hampden Houlton Houlton  
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheverus
Cony Cony Cony  
Deering Houlton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Houlton
Edward Little Houlton tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Houlton
Erskine Academy Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   Fryeburg Academy
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale  
Gorham Gorham   Gorham
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Houlton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Houlton
Greely Greely Greely   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kennebunk Kennebunk   Kennebunk
Lake Region Lake Region tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Region
Lewiston Lewiston tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Lewiston
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy  
Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Marshwood Marshwood   Marshwood
Massabesic Massabesic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Massabesic
MCI/Nokomis Houlton Houlton  
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Morse-Boothbay Morse-Boothbay insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) Morse-Boothbay
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   7- 0 vs 1- 6
Mount Blue Mount Blue insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) Mount Blue
Noble Houlton   Houlton
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Yarmouth Academy
Oceanside Oceanside   Oceanside
Oxford Hills Comp Oxford Hills Comp tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Oxford Hills Comp
Portland Portland   Portland
Sanford Sanford   Sanford
Scarborough Scarborough   Scarborough
South Portland South Portland   South Portland
St Dominic Academy Houlton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Houlton
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Traip Academy   Traip Academy
Waynflete School Waynflete School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Waynflete School
Wells Wells insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wells
Westbrook Westbrook tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westbrook
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Windham
Winslow/Lawrence Houlton Houlton  
Yarmouth Yarmouth   Yarmouth
York York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) York

PowerWise = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Winslow/Lawren  ( 0-13, 82.2)     8- 7      -17.67       1.07      -0.51         1.23             0.69
   0 A Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 90.0)     5-14       -9.86       8.89       0.51         1.23           -11.50
   0 H Lincoln Academ  (10- 4, 92.5)     2- 9       -7.39      11.36      -0.51         1.23            -9.72
   0 A Messalonskee    ( 8- 8, 90.4)     8-18       -9.53       9.21       0.51         1.23           -11.09
   0 H Maranacook/Win  (11- 4, 94.7)     3-13       -5.15      13.60      -0.51         1.23            -6.97
   0 H Bangor          ( 9- 6, 89.7)     6-18      -10.23       8.51      -0.51         1.23           -13.22
   0 A MCI/Nokomis     ( 1-12, 81.1)    11- 5      -18.75       1.00       0.51         1.23             1.86
   0 H Brewer/Hampden  ( 3-12, 85.5)    13-10      -14.41       4.34      -0.51         1.23             4.71
   0 H Cony            (11- 4, 92.2)     4-17       -7.66      11.09      -0.51         1.23           -10.05
   0 A Camden Hills R  (12- 5, 92.5)     3-17       -7.36      11.39       0.51         1.23            -8.42
   0 H Gardiner-Hall-  ( 9- 6, 91.0)     7-17       -8.87       9.87      -0.51         1.23           -11.55
   0 H Brewer/Hampden  ( 3-12, 85.5)    12-10      -14.41       4.34      -0.51         1.23             4.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -70.56

winning pts = 11.9602 losing points = -82.5215

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------