---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Jefferson County 1
  
Jefferson County      
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 92.5394

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Musselman ( 6- 8, 91.7) 9- 5 321 A Preston ( 0-12, 82.3) 19- 4 402 H Hedgesville ( 7- 5, 95.7) 5-12 405 A John Marshall ( 8- 3, 91.5) 6-12 405 A St Albans ( 3- 7, 88.1) 17- 6 405 A Wheeling Park ( 1- 9, 83.7) 15- 6 408 H Musselman ( 6- 8, 91.7) 12- 8 422 H Martinsburg (11- 6, 95.0) 11-10 428 A Martinsburg (11- 6, 95.0) 0- 1 512 H Musselman ( 6- 8, 91.7) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Musselman               9- 5       4     0    +      3.64
   321 A Preston                19- 4      15    10           0.00
   402 H Hedgesville             5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.34
   405 A John Marshall           6-12      -6     1    --    -5.53
   405 A St Albans              17- 6      11     4           1.05
   405 A Wheeling Park          15- 6       9     8           0.00
   408 H Musselman              12- 8       4     1    +      2.64
   422 H Martinsburg            11-10       1    -2    +      2.91
   512 H Musselman               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A John Marshall           6-12      -6     1    --    -5.53
   402 H Hedgesville             5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.34
   512 H Musselman               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Musselman               9- 5       4     0    +      3.64
   408 H Musselman              12- 8       4     1    +      2.64
   422 H Martinsburg            11-10       1    -2    +      2.91

Jefferson County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Buckhannon-Upshur Buckhannon-Upshur tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Buckhannon-Upshur
Charleston Catholic Jefferson County   Jefferson County
Fairmont Jefferson County tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Jefferson County
George Washington George Washington tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) George Washington
Harrison County Co-Op Jefferson County   Jefferson County
Hedgesville Hedgesville Hedgesville  
John Marshall John Marshall John Marshall  
Martinsburg Martinsburg Martinsburg   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Morgantown Morgantown insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 2) Morgantown
Musselman Jefferson County Jefferson County  
Preston Jefferson County Jefferson County  
St Albans Jefferson County Jefferson County  
University School Morgan University School Morgan University School Morgan   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Wheeling Park Jefferson County Jefferson County  

PowerWise = 7


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Musselman       ( 6- 8, 91.7)     9- 5       -8.22       9.43       0.50         1.11            10.99
   0 A Preston         ( 0-12, 82.3)    19- 4      -17.65       1.00       0.50         1.11             1.66
   0 H Hedgesville     ( 7- 5, 95.7)     5-12       -4.20      13.45      -0.50         1.11            -5.20
   0 A John Marshall   ( 8- 3, 91.5)     6-12       -8.39       9.26       0.50         1.11            -8.74
   0 A St Albans       ( 3- 7, 88.1)    17- 6      -11.81       5.84       0.50         1.11             7.02
   0 A Wheeling Park   ( 1- 9, 83.7)    15- 6      -16.24       1.41       0.50         1.11             2.11
   0 H Musselman       ( 6- 8, 91.7)    12- 8       -8.22       9.43      -0.50         1.11             9.88
   0 H Martinsburg     (11- 6, 95.0)    11-10       -4.95      12.70      -0.50         1.11            13.50
   0 A Martinsburg     (11- 6, 95.0)     0- 1       -4.95      12.70       0.50         1.11            -4.92
   0 H Musselman       ( 6- 8, 91.7)     8- 9       -8.22       9.43      -0.50         1.11            -9.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        16.65

winning pts = 45.1628 losing points = -28.5126

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------