---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Howell 1
  
Howell                
W-L: ( 9-11) PR = 84.2228

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 9-10 403 A Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 8- 4 407 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 19- 2 409 H Kalamazoo Central ( 1- 9, 76.2) 15- 4 411 A Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 10-12 414 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 15-10 416 H Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 10-13 418 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 15-10 423 A Northville (10-10, 86.9) 6-18 424 A Brighton B ( 4- 1, 83.6) 12-11 426 A Grand Rapids Christian ( 7-10, 86.6) 5-17 428 H Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 4-15 430 A Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 7- 6 503 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 3- 7 503 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 4- 8 505 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 16-13 507 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 7- 8 509 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 16- 3 512 H Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 9- 9 514 A Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 14-16 516 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 14-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Swartz Creek            9-10      -1     0          -0.82
   403 A Dexter                  8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.96
   407 H Flushing               19- 2      17     7           0.00
   409 H Kalamazoo Central      15- 4      11     9           0.00
   411 A Livonia United         10-12      -2     1    -     -2.63
   414 H Canton                 15-10       5     3           1.72
   416 H Novi                   10-13      -3    -2          -0.58
   418 H Canton                 15-10       5     3           1.72
   423 A Northville              6-18     -12    -3          -1.73
   424 A Brighton B             12-11       1     0           1.04
   426 A Grand Rapids Christian  5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.04
   428 H Hartland                4-15     -11    -9           0.00
   430 A Plymouth                7- 6       1     1          -0.34
   503 A Saginaw Heritage        3- 7      -4    -4           0.14
   503 A Troy Athens             4- 8      -4    -3          -0.94
   505 A Grand Blanc            16-13       3    -1    +      3.84
   507 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.05
   509 H Salem                  16- 3      13     3           1.65
   512 H Divine Child            9- 9       0     1          -0.56
   514 A Okemos                 14-16      -2    -2          -0.34
   516 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 14-19      -5    -2    -     -3.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Livonia United         10-12      -2     1    -     -2.63
   426 A Grand Rapids Christian  5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.04
   507 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.05
   516 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 14-19      -5    -2    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Dexter                  8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.96
   505 A Grand Blanc            16-13       3    -1    +      3.84

Howell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Howell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Howell
Ann Arbor Huron Howell Howell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ann Arbor Pioneer Howell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 4) Howell
Ann Arbor Skyline Howell Howell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Avondale Howell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howell
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Howell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howell
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Brighton Brighton Brighton   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Brighton B Howell Howell  
Byron Center Byron Center insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Caledonia
Canton Howell Howell  
Cass Tech Howell Howell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Howell tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Howell
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   3- 0 vs 0- 2
Davison Howell Howell   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) DeWitt
Dexter Howell Howell  
Divine Child Divine Child tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing Howell insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 3) Howell
Farmington Howell insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Howell
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op  
Flint Powers Catholic Howell insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 4) Howell
Flushing Howell Howell  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Howell Howell  
Grand Haven Howell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howell
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   5- 0 vs 1- 3
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian  
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howell
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett Haslett Haslett   3- 0 vs 0- 2
Henry Ford II Howell   Howell
Holland West Ottawa Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howell
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Howell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Howell
Holt Holt Holt   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howell
Kalamazoo Central Howell Howell  
Lake Fenton Howell insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Howell
Lake Orion Lake Orion insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lake Orion
Lakeview Howell   Howell
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly  
Lapeer Howell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Howell
Livonia United Livonia United Livonia United  
Lowell Lowell insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Lowell
Marian Marian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy Mercy   5- 0 vs 0- 4
Midland Howell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Howell
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northview
Northville Northville Northville  
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi Novi  
Okemos Okemos Okemos  
Oxford Oxford Oxford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Plymouth Howell Howell  
Portage Northern Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 0 vs 1- 2
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howell
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockford
Royal Oak Howell tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Howell
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Howell Howell  
Saline Saline tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Howell   Howell
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) Howell
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Howell Howell   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens  
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Howell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Howell
Warren Regina Howell   Howell
Waterford United Howell   Howell
West Bloomfield Howell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) Howell
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Zeeland East Howell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howell

PowerWise = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     9-10      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         0.77           -11.87
   0 A Dexter          (10- 6, 84.6)     8- 4      -15.33      13.86       0.62         0.77            11.09
   0 H Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)    19- 2      -22.46       6.73      -0.62         0.77             4.68
   0 H Kalamazoo Cent  ( 1- 9, 76.2)    15- 4      -23.66       5.53      -0.62         0.77             3.76
   0 A Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)    10-12      -16.92      12.27       0.62         0.77           -12.49
   0 H Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)    15-10      -18.34      10.86      -0.62         0.77             7.84
   0 H Novi            ( 9-10, 87.3)    10-13      -12.64      16.55      -0.62         0.77           -10.15
   0 H Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)    15-10      -18.34      10.86      -0.62         0.77             7.84
   0 A Northville      (10-10, 86.9)     6-18      -13.02      16.17       0.62         0.77            -9.50
   0 A Brighton B      ( 4- 1, 83.6)    12-11      -16.25      12.94       0.62         0.77            10.38
   0 A Grand Rapids C  ( 7-10, 86.6)     5-17      -13.34      15.85       0.62         0.77            -9.74
   0 H Hartland        (20- 6, 93.8)     4-15       -6.14      23.06      -0.62         0.77            -5.17
   0 A Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)     7- 6      -17.64      11.55       0.62         0.77             9.32
   0 A Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     3- 7      -12.16      17.03       0.62         0.77            -8.84
   0 A Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)     4- 8      -13.24      15.95       0.62         0.77            -9.67
   0 A Grand Blanc     ( 9-11, 84.4)    16-13      -15.46      13.73       0.62         0.77            10.99
   0 A Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     7- 8      -17.34      11.85       0.62         0.77           -12.81
   0 H Salem           ( 5-15, 81.5)    16- 3      -18.41      10.78      -0.62         0.77             7.78
   0 A Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)    14-16      -14.64      14.55       0.62         0.77           -10.74
   0 A Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    14-19      -14.33      14.86       0.62         0.77           -10.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -37.78

winning pts = 73.6829 losing points = -111.4675

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------