Fayetteville
W-L: ( 9- 1) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Mt St Mary ( 0- 4, 91.6) 16- 4 315 A Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 11-12 315 A Mt St Mary ( 0- 4, 91.6) 14- 2 316 A Pulaski Academy ( 0- 4, 91.6) 19- 4 405 H Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 13- 9 406 H Pulaski Academy ( 0- 4, 91.6) 10- 0 414 H Rogers ( 0- 4, 94.4) 17- 2 417 A Rogers ( 0- 4, 94.4) 14-10 418 H Episcopal Collegiate ( 1- 3, 97.4) 9- 7 426 A Episcopal Collegiate ( 1- 3, 97.4) 7- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Mt St Mary 16- 4 12 10 0.00
315 A Salt County 11-12 -1 1 -1.61
315 A Mt St Mary 14- 2 12 7 0.00
316 A Pulaski Academy 19- 4 15 7 0.00
405 H Salt County 13- 9 4 3 0.73
406 H Pulaski Academy 10- 0 10 10 0.00
414 H Rogers 17- 2 15 7 0.00
417 A Rogers 14-10 4 4 -0.18
418 H Episcopal Collegiate 9- 7 2 4 -1.80
426 A Episcopal Collegiate 7- 3 4 1 + 2.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Episcopal Collegiate 7- 3 4 1 + 2.86 |
Fayetteville Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Episcopal Collegiate | Fayetteville | Fayetteville | ||
| Pulaski Academy | Fayetteville | Fayetteville | ||
| Rogers | Fayetteville | Fayetteville | ||
| Salt County | Fayetteville | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Fayetteville | |
| Mt St Mary | Fayetteville | Fayetteville |
PowerWise = 5
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 6.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mt St Mary ( 0- 4, 91.6) 16- 4 -8.27 1.00 -1.33 0.60 -0.20
0 A Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 11-12 -1.94 6.33 1.33 0.60 -0.36
0 A Mt St Mary ( 0- 4, 91.6) 14- 2 -8.27 1.00 1.33 0.60 1.40
0 A Pulaski Academ ( 0- 4, 91.6) 19- 4 -8.27 1.00 1.33 0.60 1.40
0 H Salt County ( 8- 2, 98.0) 13- 9 -1.94 6.33 -1.33 0.60 3.00
0 H Pulaski Academ ( 0- 4, 91.6) 10- 0 -8.27 1.00 -1.33 0.60 -0.20
0 H Rogers ( 0- 4, 94.4) 17- 2 -5.52 2.76 -1.33 0.60 0.85
0 A Rogers ( 0- 4, 94.4) 14-10 -5.52 2.76 1.33 0.60 2.45
0 H Episcopal Coll ( 1- 3, 97.4) 9- 7 -2.47 5.80 -1.33 0.60 2.68
0 A Episcopal Coll ( 1- 3, 97.4) 7- 3 -2.47 5.80 1.33 0.60 4.28
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15.31
|
winning pts = 15.6707 losing points = -0.3636
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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