North Lincoln
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 74.9211Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 11-10 304 H Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 4- 9 311 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 7-12 313 A Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 7 318 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 4- 9 325 H Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 9- 6 327 A Community School David (11- 7, 81.2) 9-16 401 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 9- 8 403 H South Mecklenburg (10- 6, 82.0) 6-17 408 A Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 2-14 410 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 7-10 424 H Southlake Christian ( 8- 5, 79.7) 6-16 429 H Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 18- 2 501 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 7- 6 506 A Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 18- 6 507 A South Iredell ( 8-12, 77.1) 5-12 515 A West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 8- 4 519 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H TC Roberson 11-10 1 -1 + 2.42
304 H Asheville HS 4- 9 -5 -6 0.00
311 A Hickory 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.12
313 A Watauga 16- 7 9 7 0.00
318 A St Stephens 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.27
325 H Patton 9- 6 3 3 -0.21
327 A Community School David 9-16 -7 -7 0.00
401 A TC Roberson 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.03
403 H South Mecklenburg 6-17 -11 -7 0.00
408 A Asheville HS 2-14 -12 -7 0.00
410 H Hickory 7-10 -3 -2 -0.73
424 H Southlake Christian 6-16 -10 -4 -0.54
429 H Watauga 18- 2 16 8 0.00
501 H St Stephens 7- 6 1 0 1.12
506 A Patton 18- 6 12 3 + 2.40
507 A South Iredell 5-12 -7 -2 - -2.55
515 A West Stokes 8- 4 4 6 -1.00
519 A Hickory 11-12 -1 -3 1.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A St Stephens 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.27 311 A Hickory 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.12 507 A South Iredell 5-12 -7 -2 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H TC Roberson 11-10 1 -1 + 2.42 401 A TC Roberson 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.03 506 A Patton 18- 6 12 3 + 2.40 |
North Lincoln Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Arendell Parrott Academy | Arendell Parrott Academy | ||
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Asheville School | Asheville School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Asheville School | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Atkins | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Atkins | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ballantyne Ridge | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | Bishop McGuinness | |
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | North Lincoln | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | North Lincoln | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cape Fear HS | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | Carrboro | ||
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary HS | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christ the King | |
| Clayton | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Cleveland | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Community School Davidso | Community School Davidso | Community School Davidso | ||
| Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Enloe | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | ||
| Fike | Fike | Fike | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forsyth CDS | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Glenn | North Lincoln | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | North Lincoln | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Greensboro Day School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greensboro Day School | |
| Grimsley | Grimsley | Grimsley | ||
| Havelock | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | North Lincoln | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Lincoln | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hopewell | Hopewell | Hopewell | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hunt | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Independence | North Lincoln | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | North Lincoln | |
| Jack Britt | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Jacksonville | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | North Lincoln | insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 0- 6) | North Lincoln | |
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Mooresville | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Mooresville | |
| Mount Tabor | North Lincoln | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Lincoln | |
| Myers Park | Myers Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | North Brunswick | North Brunswick | ||
| North Davidson | North Lincoln | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | North Lincoln | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | Northside | Northside | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Panther Creek | Panther Creek | ||
| Parkwood | Parkwood | Parkwood | ||
| Patton | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Pine Forest | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Pine Lake Prep | |
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Porter Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Porter Ridge | |
| Providence | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | |
| Ragsdale | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | ||
| Riverside Durham | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Ronald Reagan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Ronald Reagan | |
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | South Brunswick | ||
| South Iredell | South Iredell | South Iredell | ||
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southeast Guilford | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Southwest Guilford | Southwest Guilford | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | St Davids School | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Stephens | St Stephens | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | St Stephens | |
| Sun Valley | North Lincoln | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | North Lincoln | |
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Terry Sanford | Terry Sanford | Terry Sanford | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | Wakefield | ||
| Watauga | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | West Brunswick | West Brunswick | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Forsyth | |
| West Stokes | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| White Oak | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 11-10 -23.26 16.55 -0.31 0.94 15.22
0 H Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 4- 9 -18.51 21.29 -0.31 0.94 -17.63
0 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 7-12 -22.41 17.40 0.31 0.94 -20.71
0 A Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 7 -32.38 7.42 0.31 0.94 7.24
0 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 4- 9 -24.56 15.25 0.31 0.94 -22.72
0 H Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 9- 6 -27.88 11.92 -0.31 0.94 10.89
0 A Community Scho (11- 7, 81.2) 9-16 -18.66 21.14 0.31 0.94 -17.20
0 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 9- 8 -23.26 16.55 0.31 0.94 15.79
0 H South Mecklenb (10- 6, 82.0) 6-17 -17.89 21.91 -0.31 0.94 -17.05
0 A Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 2-14 -18.51 21.29 0.31 0.94 -17.06
0 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 7-10 -22.41 17.40 -0.31 0.94 -21.28
0 H Southlake Chri ( 8- 5, 79.7) 6-16 -20.22 19.59 -0.31 0.94 -19.23
0 H Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 18- 2 -32.38 7.42 -0.31 0.94 6.67
0 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 7- 6 -24.56 15.25 -0.31 0.94 14.00
0 A Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 18- 6 -27.88 11.92 0.31 0.94 11.46
0 A South Iredell ( 8-12, 77.1) 5-12 -22.84 16.97 0.31 0.94 -21.11
0 A West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 8- 4 -30.97 8.84 0.31 0.94 8.57
0 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 11-12 -22.41 17.40 0.31 0.94 -20.71
------
-104.88
|
winning pts = 89.8281 losing points = -194.7071
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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