Heritage
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 80.6791Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 5- 8 228 H Science Hill ( 5- 9, 82.1) 4- 6 306 A Webb School Knoxville ( 5- 9, 83.6) 5- 9 317 A Pigeon Forge ( 8- 5, 83.8) 2- 8 321 H Pigeon Forge ( 8- 5, 83.8) 4- 8 325 H Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 10- 5 327 H Bearden (14- 2, 89.1) 4-14 403 H Christian Academy Knox (13- 5, 87.6) 2-15 404 H Knoxville Catholic (11- 3, 88.2) 3-14 407 A Gatlinburg Pittman (12- 5, 87.7) 2- 9 408 H Bradley Central ( 4- 6, 78.9) 0- 1 411 A William Blount ( 9- 7, 85.0) 8-14 417 H Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 14-12 422 A Christian Academy Knox (13- 5, 87.6) 6-21 424 A Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 13- 8 429 H Gatlinburg Pittman (12- 5, 87.7) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H West 5- 8 -3 -5 1.76
228 H Science Hill 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.14
306 A Webb School Knoxville 5- 9 -4 -3 -0.53
317 A Pigeon Forge 2- 8 -6 -4 -1.27
321 H Pigeon Forge 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.40
325 H Sevier County 10- 5 5 6 0.00
327 H Bearden 4-14 -10 -8 0.00
403 H Christian Academy Knox 2-15 -13 -6 0.00
404 H Knoxville Catholic 3-14 -11 -7 0.00
407 A Gatlinburg Pittman 2- 9 -7 -8 0.00
411 A William Blount 8-14 -6 -5 -0.17
417 H Maryville 14-12 2 -1 + 2.74
422 A Christian Academy Knox 6-21 -15 -7 0.00
424 A Sevier County 13- 8 5 4 0.56
429 H Gatlinburg Pittman 5-11 -6 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Maryville 14-12 2 -1 + 2.74 |
Heritage Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlington | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Bartlett | Bartlett | Bartlett | ||
| Baylor School | Baylor School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Baylor School | |
| Bearden | Bearden | Bearden | ||
| Bradley Central | Bradley Central | Bradley Central | ||
| Brentwood | Brentwood | Brentwood 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Briarcrest Christian | Briarcrest Christian | Briarcrest Christian | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Christ Presbyterian Acad | Christ Presbyterian Acad | Christ Presbyterian Acad | ||
| Christian Academy Knoxvi | Christian Academy Knoxvi | Christian Academy Knoxvi | ||
| Collierville | Collierville | Collierville | ||
| Cookeville | Cookeville | Cookeville 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dobyns Bennett | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Heritage | |
| Ensworth | Ensworth | Ensworth | ||
| Evangelical Christian | Evangelical Christian | Evangelical Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Farragut | Farragut | Farragut 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Father Ryan | Father Ryan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Father Ryan | |
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Franklin Road Academy | Franklin Road Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Franklin Road Academy | |
| Gatlinburg Pittman | Gatlinburg Pittman | Gatlinburg Pittman | ||
| Girls Preparatory School | Girls Preparatory School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Girls Preparatory School | |
| Green Hill | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Harpeth Hall | Harpeth Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Harpeth Hall | |
| Hillsboro | Heritage | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Hunters Lane | Heritage | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Hutchison School | Hutchison School | Hutchison School | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| Knoxville Catholic | Knoxville Catholic | Knoxville Catholic | ||
| Lausanne Collegiate | Lausanne Collegiate | Lausanne Collegiate | ||
| Maryville | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Ooltewah | Ooltewah | tied - ( 0- 8) ( 0- 8) | Ooltewah | |
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Pope John Paul II | Pope John Paul II | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Pope John Paul II | |
| Ravenwood | Ravenwood | Ravenwood | ||
| Science Hill | Science Hill | Science Hill | ||
| Sevier County | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Seymour | Seymour | Seymour 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Signal Mountain | Signal Mountain | Signal Mountain 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Soddy Daisy | Soddy Daisy | Soddy Daisy 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| St Agnes Academy | St Agnes Academy | St Agnes Academy | ||
| St Benedict | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| St Cecilia Academy | St Cecilia Academy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Cecilia Academy | |
| St Georges | St Georges | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Georges | |
| St Marys Episcopal | St Marys Episcopal | St Marys Episcopal | ||
| Summit | Summit | Summit | ||
| University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Upperman | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Walker Valley | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Heritage | |
| Webb School Bell Buckle | Webb School Bell Buckle | Webb School Bell Buckle | ||
| Webb School Knoxville | Webb School Knoxville | Webb School Knoxville | ||
| West | West | West | ||
| White Station | White Station | White Station | ||
| William Blount | William Blount | William Blount | ||
| Wilson Central | Wilson Central | Wilson Central |
PowerWise = 10
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 5- 8 -13.90 12.93 -0.56 0.80 -11.64
0 H Science Hill ( 5- 9, 82.1) 4- 6 -17.80 9.02 -0.56 0.80 -14.78
0 A Webb School Kn ( 5- 9, 83.6) 5- 9 -16.31 10.51 0.56 0.80 -12.68
0 A Pigeon Forge ( 8- 5, 83.8) 2- 8 -16.06 10.77 0.56 0.80 -12.47
0 H Pigeon Forge ( 8- 5, 83.8) 4- 8 -16.06 10.77 -0.56 0.80 -13.37
0 H Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 10- 5 -24.22 2.60 -0.56 0.80 1.64
0 H Bearden (14- 2, 89.1) 4-14 -10.80 16.02 -0.56 0.80 -9.14
0 H Christian Acad (13- 5, 87.6) 2-15 -12.34 14.48 -0.56 0.80 -10.39
0 H Knoxville Cath (11- 3, 88.2) 3-14 -11.73 15.09 -0.56 0.80 -9.90
0 A Gatlinburg Pit (12- 5, 87.7) 2- 9 -12.22 14.60 0.56 0.80 -9.38
0 H Bradley Centra ( 4- 6, 78.9) 0- 1 -21.02 5.80 -0.56 0.80 -17.37
0 A William Blount ( 9- 7, 85.0) 8-14 -14.95 11.87 0.56 0.80 -11.58
0 H Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 14-12 -17.92 8.91 -0.56 0.80 6.71
0 A Christian Acad (13- 5, 87.6) 6-21 -12.34 14.48 0.56 0.80 -9.48
0 A Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 13- 8 -24.22 2.60 0.56 0.80 2.55
0 H Gatlinburg Pit (12- 5, 87.7) 5-11 -12.22 14.60 -0.56 0.80 -10.29
------
-141.57
|
winning pts = 10.9025 losing points = -152.4686
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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