Timberline
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 94.2380Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Vallivue ( 5- 6, 92.6) 11- 5 311 H Eagle ( 9- 3, 97.1) 3-16 313 A Owyhee ( 6- 7, 92.7) 6- 4 325 H Bishop Kelly ( 6- 7, 94.2) 16- 5 403 A Boise (11- 0, 99.9) 2-14 414 H Centennial ( 1- 7, 89.3) 17- 3 423 A Middleton ( 2- 9, 91.7) 9- 8 426 A Sun Valley ( 3- 9, 93.3) 8- 7 426 H Teton Valley ( 6- 5, 93.7) 7- 9 429 H Mountain View (10- 3, 97.0) 7-18 515 H Sun Valley ( 3- 9, 93.3) 17-16 517 N Rocky Mountain ( 7- 5, 94.5) 0- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Vallivue 11- 5 6 1 + 3.96
311 H Eagle 3-16 -13 -2 - -2.71
313 A Owyhee 6- 4 2 1 1.11
325 H Bishop Kelly 16- 5 11 1 ++ 4.34
403 A Boise 2-14 -12 -6 0.00
414 H Centennial 17- 3 14 6 0.00
423 A Middleton 9- 8 1 2 -0.88
426 A Sun Valley 8- 7 1 0 0.71
426 H Teton Valley 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.14
429 H Mountain View 7-18 -11 -2 - -2.89
515 H Sun Valley 17-16 1 2 -0.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Eagle 3-16 -13 -2 - -2.71 426 H Teton Valley 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.14 429 H Mountain View 7-18 -11 -2 - -2.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Bishop Kelly 16- 5 11 1 ++ 4.34 306 A Vallivue 11- 5 6 1 + 3.96 |
Timberline Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Kelly | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Boise | Boise | Boise | ||
| Capital | Timberline | Timberline 6- 3 vs 1- 8 | ||
| Centennial | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Eagle | Eagle | Eagle | ||
| Idaho Falls | Idaho Falls | insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 5- 4) | Idaho Falls | |
| Middleton | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Owyhee | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Rocky Mountain | Rocky Mountain | Rocky Mountain | ||
| Sun Valley | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Teton Valley | Teton Valley | Teton Valley | ||
| Vallivue | Timberline | Timberline |
PowerWise = 7
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.43
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Vallivue ( 5- 6, 92.6) 11- 5 -7.31 3.96 0.61 0.95 4.35
0 H Eagle ( 9- 3, 97.1) 3-16 -2.76 8.51 -0.61 0.95 -3.21
0 A Owyhee ( 6- 7, 92.7) 6- 4 -7.16 4.11 0.61 0.95 4.49
0 H Bishop Kelly ( 6- 7, 94.2) 16- 5 -5.71 5.56 -0.61 0.95 4.71
0 A Boise (11- 0, 99.9) 2-14 -0.00 11.27 0.61 0.95 -0.58
0 H Centennial ( 1- 7, 89.3) 17- 3 -10.57 1.00 -0.61 0.95 0.37
0 A Middleton ( 2- 9, 91.7) 9- 8 -8.16 3.11 0.61 0.95 3.55
0 A Sun Valley ( 3- 9, 93.3) 8- 7 -6.56 4.71 0.61 0.95 5.06
0 H Teton Valley ( 6- 5, 93.7) 7- 9 -6.19 5.08 -0.61 0.95 -6.48
0 H Mountain View (10- 3, 97.0) 7-18 -2.94 8.33 -0.61 0.95 -3.38
0 H Sun Valley ( 3- 9, 93.3) 17-16 -6.56 4.71 -0.61 0.95 3.90
0 N Rocky Mountain ( 7- 5, 94.5) 0- 1 -5.37 5.90 -0.00 0.95 -5.12
------
7.68
|
winning pts = 26.4433 losing points = -18.7648
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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