Bay Port
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 88.6684Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H West Bend ( 4- 8, 86.8) 9- 6 415 H Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 6-15 417 H Kimberly ( 3- 9, 81.8) 17- 6 418 H Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 7- 6 419 H Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 9- 2 422 A Central Wisconsin (11- 5, 88.0) 9-11 430 A Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 7-10 502 H Appleton ( 7- 9, 88.1) 7- 5 503 A Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 7-12 510 N Superior ( 0- 9, 80.0) 18- 0 510 A Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 6- 1 512 A Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 12- 1 514 A De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 5- 6 520 A Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 9- 4 522 H Pulaski ( 0-11, 79.0) 16- 2 529 H Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 7- 4 603 N Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 H West Bend 9- 6 3 2 0.54
415 H Notre Dame 6-15 -9 -2 - -2.65
417 H Kimberly 17- 6 11 8 0.00
418 H Waunakee 7- 6 1 1 0.13
419 H Middleton 9- 2 7 3 1.87
422 A Central Wisconsin 9-11 -2 0 - -2.02
430 A Notre Dame 7-10 -3 -4 0.55
502 H Appleton 7- 5 2 1 0.84
503 A Oregon 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.83
510 N Superior 18- 0 18 9 0.00
510 A Neenah 6- 1 5 2 + 3.21
512 A Sun Prairie 12- 1 11 8 0.00
514 A De Pere 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.81
520 A Neenah 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21
522 H Pulaski 16- 2 14 10 0.00
529 H Neenah 7- 4 3 3 0.00
603 N Notre Dame 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Notre Dame 6-15 -9 -2 - -2.65 422 A Central Wisconsin 9-11 -2 0 - -2.02 503 A Oregon 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.83 514 A De Pere 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Neenah 6- 1 5 2 + 3.21 520 A Neenah 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21 |
Bay Port Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Arrowhead | Arrowhead | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arrowhead | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Cedarburg | Cedarburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cedarburg | |
| Central Wisconsin | Central Wisconsin | Central Wisconsin | ||
| De Pere | De Pere | De Pere | ||
| DeForest | Bay Port | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Bay Port | |
| Divine Savior | Divine Savior | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Divine Savior | |
| Franklin | Bay Port | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bay Port | |
| Hamilton | Bay Port | Bay Port 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Homestead | Bay Port | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay Port | |
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Janesville | Bay Port | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Bay Port | |
| Kenosha | Kenosha | Kenosha | ||
| Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Kimberly | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison 8- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Middleton | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Mukwonago | Mukwonago | Mukwonago | ||
| Muskego | Muskego | Muskego | ||
| Neenah | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Oak Creek | Bay Port | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay Port | |
| Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Pulaski | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Sun Prairie | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Superior | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | ||
| Verona | Bay Port | Bay Port 4- 3 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Waukesha | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Waunakee | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Wauwatosa | Bay Port | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay Port | |
| West Bend | Bay Port | Bay Port | ||
| Whitefish Bay | Whitefish Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Whitefish Bay |
PowerWise = 18
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H West Bend ( 4- 8, 86.8) 9- 6 -13.09 7.81 -0.60 0.92 6.67
0 H Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 6-15 -8.28 12.62 -0.60 0.92 -8.22
0 H Kimberly ( 3- 9, 81.8) 17- 6 -18.15 2.75 -0.60 0.92 1.99
0 H Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 7- 6 -11.49 9.41 -0.60 0.92 8.14
0 H Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 9- 2 -13.76 7.14 -0.60 0.92 6.05
0 A Central Wiscon (11- 5, 88.0) 9-11 -11.85 9.05 0.60 0.92 -10.40
0 A Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 7-10 -8.28 12.62 0.60 0.92 -7.10
0 H Appleton ( 7- 9, 88.1) 7- 5 -11.79 9.11 -0.60 0.92 7.87
0 A Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 7-12 -9.67 11.23 0.60 0.92 -8.38
0 N Superior ( 0- 9, 80.0) 18- 0 -19.88 1.02 -0.00 0.92 0.95
0 A Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 6- 1 -13.62 7.28 0.60 0.92 7.29
0 A Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 12- 1 -19.79 1.11 0.60 0.92 1.59
0 A De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 5- 6 -13.64 7.26 0.60 0.92 -12.06
0 A Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 9- 4 -13.62 7.28 0.60 0.92 7.29
0 H Pulaski ( 0-11, 79.0) 16- 2 -20.90 1.00 -0.60 0.92 0.37
0 H Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 7- 4 -13.62 7.28 -0.60 0.92 6.17
0 N Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 4- 7 -8.28 12.62 -0.00 0.92 -7.66
------
0.55
|
winning pts = 54.3662 losing points = -53.8212
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------