---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Oak Creek 1
  
Oak Creek             
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 83.0050

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Wauwatosa ( 1-16, 81.9) 4- 2 411 H Hamilton ( 4-13, 82.6) 12- 5 414 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 1-17 416 H Kenosha ( 8- 7, 89.9) 3-14 422 H Franklin ( 5-10, 87.7) 5-17 423 A Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 7- 6 428 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 3-17 430 A University Milwaukee (16- 2, 96.8) 0-16 503 H University Milwaukee (16- 2, 96.8) 2-20 507 A Kenosha ( 8- 7, 89.9) 3-18 509 A Cedarburg ( 8- 5, 89.5) 1-19 513 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 0-17 521 H Homestead ( 2-12, 83.6) 12-13 528 H Homestead ( 2-12, 83.6) 7- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Wauwatosa               4- 2       2     2           0.31
   411 H Hamilton               12- 5       7     1    +      3.99
   414 H Muskego                 1-17     -16    -8           0.00
   416 H Kenosha                 3-14     -11    -6           0.00
   422 H Franklin                5-17     -12    -4          -0.95
   423 A Sun Prairie             7- 6       1     2          -1.29
   428 A Waukesha                3-17     -14    -5           0.00
   430 A University Milwaukee    0-16     -16   -14           0.00
   503 H University Milwaukee    2-20     -18   -13           0.00
   507 A Kenosha                 3-18     -15    -7           0.00
   509 A Cedarburg               1-19     -18    -7           0.00
   513 A Oconomowoc              0-17     -17    -9           0.00
   521 H Homestead              12-13      -1     0          -1.03
   528 H Homestead               7- 8      -1     0          -1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Hamilton               12- 5       7     1    +      3.99

Oak Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Appleton Appleton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Appleton
Arrowhead Arrowhead Arrowhead   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Bay Port Bay Port tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bay Port
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Cedarburg Cedarburg Cedarburg  
Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Central Wisconsin
De Pere De Pere   De Pere
DeForest DeForest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) DeForest
Divine Savior Divine Savior Divine Savior   5- 4 vs 2- 7
Franklin Franklin Franklin  
Hamilton Oak Creek Oak Creek  
Homestead Homestead Homestead  
Hudson Hudson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hudson
Janesville Janesville tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Janesville
Kenosha Kenosha Kenosha  
Kettle Moraine Kettle Moraine Kettle Moraine   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Kimberly Oak Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oak Creek
Madison Madison tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Madison
Middleton Middleton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Middleton
Mukwonago Mukwonago Mukwonago   7- 0 vs 2- 5
Muskego Muskego Muskego  
Neenah Neenah tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Neenah
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Oconomowoc Oconomowoc Oconomowoc  
Oregon Oregon insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Oregon
Pulaski Oak Creek   Oak Creek
Sun Prairie Oak Creek Oak Creek  
Superior Oak Creek Oak Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
University Milwaukee University Milwaukee University Milwaukee  
Verona Verona tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Verona
Waukesha Waukesha Waukesha  
Waunakee Waunakee tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Waunakee
Wauwatosa Oak Creek Oak Creek  
West Bend West Bend insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) West Bend
Whitefish Bay Whitefish Bay Whitefish Bay   5- 1 vs 0- 6

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Wauwatosa       ( 1-16, 81.9)     4- 2      -17.98       2.92      -0.60         1.12             2.60
   0 H Hamilton        ( 4-13, 82.6)    12- 5      -17.30       3.60      -0.60         1.12             3.36
   0 H Muskego         (10-10, 91.9)     1-17       -7.96      12.94      -0.60         1.12            -9.62
   0 H Kenosha         ( 8- 7, 89.9)     3-14      -10.02      10.88      -0.60         1.12           -11.93
   0 H Franklin        ( 5-10, 87.7)     5-17      -12.24       8.66      -0.60         1.12           -14.42
   0 A Sun Prairie     ( 1-14, 80.1)     7- 6      -19.79       1.11       0.60         1.12             1.93
   0 A Waukesha        ( 3-14, 87.8)     3-17      -12.12       8.78       0.60         1.12           -12.94
   0 A University Mil  (16- 2, 96.8)     0-16       -3.07      17.83       0.60         1.12            -2.77
   0 H University Mil  (16- 2, 96.8)     2-20       -3.07      17.83      -0.60         1.12            -4.13
   0 A Kenosha         ( 8- 7, 89.9)     3-18      -10.02      10.88       0.60         1.12           -10.58
   0 A Cedarburg       ( 8- 5, 89.5)     1-19      -10.40      10.51       0.60         1.12           -11.00
   0 A Oconomowoc      ( 8- 9, 91.0)     0-17       -8.95      11.96       0.60         1.12            -9.37
   0 H Homestead       ( 2-12, 83.6)    12-13      -16.32       4.58      -0.60         1.12           -19.01
   0 H Homestead       ( 2-12, 83.6)     7- 8      -16.32       4.58      -0.60         1.12           -19.01
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -116.87

winning pts = 7.8901 losing points = -124.7611

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------