Willow Spring
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 86.4328Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-16 226 A Athens Drive (10-10, 82.8) 20-10 227 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 6-20 306 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 18- 6 307 A Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 17-10 311 A Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 8-15 312 H Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 14-13 319 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 19- 1 321 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 8- 9 327 H Cleveland ( 5- 6, 74.1) 16- 3 410 H Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 22- 6 421 A Corinth Holders ( 8- 9, 78.6) 24-13 424 H Cleveland ( 5- 6, 74.1) 20- 3 428 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 16-11 501 A Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 16- 4 505 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 15- 4 506 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 11-12 508 H Corinth Holders ( 8- 9, 78.6) 18- 8 516 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 2-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A Apex 10-16 -6 -6 0.00
226 A Athens Drive 20-10 10 3 1.66
227 H Holly Springs 6-20 -14 -7 0.00
306 H Green Hope 18- 6 12 2 + 2.53
307 A Middle Creek 17-10 7 0 ++ 5.44
311 A Broughton 8-15 -7 -1 -- -4.30
312 H Leesville Road 14-13 1 3 - -2.14
319 H Garner 19- 1 18 14 0.00
321 H Croatan 8- 9 -1 0 -0.58
327 H Cleveland 16- 3 13 13 0.00
410 H Clayton 22- 6 16 14 0.00
421 A Corinth Holders 24-13 11 8 0.00
424 H Cleveland 20- 3 17 13 0.00
428 H Fuquay-Varina 16-11 5 3 1.86
501 A Clayton 16- 4 12 14 0.00
505 H Garner 15- 4 11 14 0.00
506 H Fuquay-Varina 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.14
508 H Corinth Holders 18- 8 10 8 0.00
516 H Hoggard 2-17 -15 -5 -0.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Broughton 8-15 -7 -1 -- -4.30 506 H Fuquay-Varina 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.14 312 H Leesville Road 14-13 1 3 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Middle Creek 17-10 7 0 ++ 5.44 306 H Green Hope 18- 6 12 2 + 2.53 |
Willow Spring Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 3) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Asheville HS | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Asheville School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ashley | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Willow Spring | |
| Athens Drive | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Atkins | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cary Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cary HS | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Cleveland | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Community School Davidso | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Corinth Holders | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Davie | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| DH Conley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Durham Academy | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Enloe | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | ||
| Fike | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| First Flight | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Forsyth CDS | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 7- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Garner | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Glenn | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Green Hope | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Green Level | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Grimsley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Havelock | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Heritage | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) | Willow Spring | |
| Hickory | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| High Point Central | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hopewell | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Hough | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Hunt | Willow Spring | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Willow Spring | |
| Independence | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Jack Britt | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Jacksonville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | JH Rose | |
| Jordan | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Willow Spring | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Willow Spring | |
| Leesville Road | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Millbrook | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 3- 4 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Mooresville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Mount Tabor | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | Willow Spring | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | New Hanover | |
| North Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| North Davidson | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| North Lincoln | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Northern Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Northside | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Page | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Panther Creek | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Parkwood | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Patton | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pine Forest | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest 3- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Porter Ridge | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Providence | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ragsdale | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Riverside Durham | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| RJ Reynolds | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Rolesville | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Sanderson | Willow Spring | Willow Spring 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Seaforth | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| South Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Willow Spring | |
| South Iredell | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southlake Christian | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| St Davids School | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| St Marys | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| St Stephens | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Sun Valley | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Swansboro | Willow Spring | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Willow Spring | |
| TC Roberson | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Terry Sanford | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Union Pines | |
| Wake Forest | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Willow Spring | |
| Wakefield | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Willow Spring | |
| Watauga | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Willow Spring | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Willow Spring | |
| West Forsyth | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| West Stokes | Willow Spring | Willow Spring | ||
| White Oak | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 99
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-16 -7.84 31.96 0.31 0.89 -6.69
0 A Athens Drive (10-10, 82.8) 20-10 -17.11 22.70 0.31 0.89 20.42
0 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 6-20 -6.08 33.72 -0.31 0.89 -5.67
0 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 18- 6 -15.63 24.18 -0.31 0.89 21.19
0 A Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 17-10 -13.33 26.47 0.31 0.89 23.77
0 A Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 8-15 -13.07 26.73 0.31 0.89 -11.33
0 H Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 14-13 -16.31 23.50 -0.31 0.89 20.59
0 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 19- 1 -27.62 12.18 -0.31 0.89 10.55
0 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 8- 9 -12.74 27.07 -0.31 0.89 -11.58
0 H Cleveland ( 5- 6, 74.1) 16- 3 -25.76 14.04 -0.31 0.89 12.19
0 H Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 22- 6 -27.36 12.45 -0.31 0.89 10.78
0 A Corinth Holder ( 8- 9, 78.6) 24-13 -21.32 18.48 0.31 0.89 16.68
0 H Cleveland ( 5- 6, 74.1) 20- 3 -25.76 14.04 -0.31 0.89 12.19
0 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 16-11 -16.30 23.50 -0.31 0.89 20.59
0 A Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 16- 4 -27.36 12.45 0.31 0.89 11.32
0 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 15- 4 -27.62 12.18 -0.31 0.89 10.55
0 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 11-12 -16.30 23.50 -0.31 0.89 -14.74
0 H Corinth Holder ( 8- 9, 78.6) 18- 8 -21.32 18.48 -0.31 0.89 16.14
0 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 2-17 -8.36 31.45 -0.31 0.89 -7.69
------
149.25
|
winning pts = 206.9552 losing points = -57.7057
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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