---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Crofton 1
  
Crofton               
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 87.1983

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 7-16 324 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 17-10 325 A Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 3-14 328 H Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 8- 7 401 H Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 7-14 404 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 16- 3 411 A Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 8- 7 414 A Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 5-10 417 N St Marys ( 9- 8, 94.8) 7-15 423 H North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 17- 7 425 A Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 3-14 429 A South River (10- 4, 92.1) 11-15 502 H Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 17- 1 506 H Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 13- 6 509 A Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 5-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Severna Park            7-16      -9    -8           0.00
   324 H Annapolis              17-10       7     4           0.98
   325 A Centennial              3-14     -11    -2    -     -2.65
   328 H Southern                8- 7       1     2          -0.73
   401 H Howard                  7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.81
   404 H Old Mill               16- 3      13    11           0.00
   411 A Arundel                 8- 7       1    -1           1.75
   414 A Westminster             5-10      -5    -4          -1.38
   417 N St Marys                7-15      -8    -8           0.00
   423 H North County           17- 7      10     6           0.00
   425 A Broadneck               3-14     -11    -7           0.00
   429 A South River            11-15      -4    -5           1.00
   502 H Glen Burnie            17- 1      16    12           0.00
   506 H Arundel                13- 6       7     0    ++     4.85
   509 A Severna Park            5-20     -15    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Centennial              3-14     -11    -2    -     -2.65
   401 H Howard                  7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Arundel                13- 6       7     0    ++     4.85

Crofton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Crofton   Crofton
Anne Arundel County Crofton   Crofton
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Crofton   Crofton
Bishop McNamara Crofton   Crofton
Brookewood SG Crofton   Crofton
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Crofton   Crofton
Catholic High Baltimore Crofton   Crofton
Chapelgate Christian Crofton   Crofton
Concordia Prep Crofton   Crofton
Cristo Rey Jesuit Crofton   Crofton
DC International Crofton   Crofton
EL Haynes Charter Crofton   Crofton
Elizabeth Seton Crofton   Crofton
FCA Crofton   Crofton
Field School Crofton   Crofton
Friends School Crofton   Crofton
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Crofton   Crofton
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Crofton   Crofton
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Child
Holy Cross Crofton   Crofton
Indian Creek Crofton   Crofton
Jackson-Reed Crofton   Crofton
Jemicy Crofton   Crofton
John Carroll John Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) John Carroll
Key School Crofton   Crofton
KIPP College Prep Crofton   Crofton
Maret School Crofton   Crofton
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Crofton   Crofton
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Crofton   Crofton
Park School Crofton   Crofton
Rockbridge Academy Crofton   Crofton
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Crofton   Crofton
Sandy Spring Friends Crofton   Crofton
School Without Walls Crofton   Crofton
Severn School Severn School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severn School
Sidwell Friends Crofton   Crofton
St Andrews Episcopal Crofton   Crofton
St James School Crofton   Crofton
St Johns Catholic Prep Crofton   Crofton
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys St Marys  
St Marys Ryken Crofton   Crofton
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Crofton   Crofton
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Tome School Crofton   Crofton
Washington Latin Crofton   Crofton
Worcester Prep Crofton   Crofton
Aberdeen Crofton   Crofton
Academy for College & Ca Crofton   Crofton
Annapolis Crofton Crofton  
Arundel Crofton Crofton  
Atholton Crofton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Crofton
Baltimore Polytechnic Crofton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Crofton
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Crofton   Crofton
Bladensburg Crofton   Crofton
Blair Crofton   Crofton
Blake Crofton   Crofton
Bohemia Manor Crofton   Crofton
Boonsboro Crofton   Crofton
Bowie Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck  
Brunswick Crofton   Crofton
Calvert Crofton   Crofton
Cambridge SD Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Crofton
Carver A&T Crofton   Crofton
Catoctin Crofton   Crofton
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Central PG Crofton   Crofton
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Century
CH Flowers Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Crofton
Chesapeake AA Crofton insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) Crofton
Chesapeake BC Crofton   Crofton
Chopticon Crofton   Crofton
City College Crofton   Crofton
Clarksburg Crofton   Crofton
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Crofton   Crofton
Dr Henry Wise Crofton   Crofton
Dulaney Dulaney tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Crofton   Crofton
DuVal Crofton   Crofton
Eastern Technical Crofton   Crofton
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Crofton   Crofton
Einstein Crofton   Crofton
Eleanor Roosevelt Crofton   Crofton
Elkton Crofton   Crofton
Fairmont Heights Crofton   Crofton
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Crofton   Crofton
Franklin Crofton   Crofton
Frederick Crofton   Crofton
Frederick Douglass PG Crofton   Crofton
Gaithersburg Crofton   Crofton
Glen Burnie Crofton Crofton  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Gov Thomas Johnson Crofton   Crofton
Great Mills Crofton   Crofton
Guilford Park Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Gwynn Park Crofton   Crofton
Hammond Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Crofton
Harford Tech Crofton   Crofton
Havre De Grace Crofton   Crofton
Hereford Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Howard Howard Howard  
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Crofton   Crofton
Kennedy Crofton   Crofton
Kent County Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Crofton
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Crofton   Crofton
La Plata Crofton   Crofton
Lackey Crofton   Crofton
Lansdowne Crofton   Crofton
Laurel Crofton   Crofton
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Liberty
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Linganore
Loch Raven Crofton   Crofton
Long Reach Crofton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Crofton
Magruder Crofton   Crofton
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Meade Crofton Crofton   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Middletown Crofton   Crofton
Milford Mill Crofton   Crofton
MJ McDonough Crofton   Crofton
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Mount Hebron
New Town Crofton   Crofton
North Caroline Crofton   Crofton
North County Crofton Crofton  
North Dorchester Crofton   Crofton
North East Cecil Crofton   Crofton
North Hagerstown Crofton   Crofton
North Harford Crofton   Crofton
North Point Crofton   Crofton
Northeast Crofton Crofton   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Crofton   Crofton
Northwestern PG Crofton   Crofton
Northwood Crofton   Crofton
Oakdale Crofton   Crofton
Oakland Mills Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Crofton
Old Mill Crofton Crofton  
Overlea Crofton   Crofton
Owings Mills Crofton   Crofton
Oxon Hill Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Paint Branch Crofton   Crofton
Parkdale Crofton   Crofton
Parkside Crofton   Crofton
Parkville Crofton   Crofton
Patapsco Crofton   Crofton
Patterson Mill Crofton   Crofton
Patuxent Crofton   Crofton
Perry Hall Crofton   Crofton
Perryville Crofton   Crofton
Pikesville Crofton   Crofton
Poolesville Crofton   Crofton
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Crofton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Crofton
Randallstown Crofton   Crofton
Randallstown Crofton   Crofton
Reservoir Crofton insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Crofton
Richard Montgomery Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Rising Sun Crofton   Crofton
River Hill River Hill insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) River Hill
Rockville Crofton   Crofton
Seneca Valley Crofton   Crofton
Severn Run Crofton Crofton   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Crofton   Crofton
South Carroll South Carroll insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) South Carroll
South Hagerstown Crofton   Crofton
South River South River South River  
Southern Crofton Crofton  
Sparrows Point Crofton   Crofton
Springbrook Crofton   Crofton
St Charles Crofton   Crofton
Stephen Decatur Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Crofton
Suitland Crofton   Crofton
Thomas Stone Crofton   Crofton
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Crofton   Crofton
Urbana Urbana tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Urbana
Walkersville Crofton   Crofton
Walter Johnson Crofton   Crofton
Watkins Mill Crofton   Crofton
Western Baltimore Crofton   Crofton
Western STES Crofton   Crofton
Westlake Crofton   Crofton
Westminster Westminster Westminster  
Wheaton Crofton   Crofton
Whitman Crofton   Crofton
Wicomico Crofton   Crofton
Wilde Lake Crofton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Crofton
Winston Churchill Crofton   Crofton
Winters Mill Crofton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Crofton
Woodlawn Crofton   Crofton
Wootton Crofton   Crofton

PowerWise = 169


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     7-16       -4.93      32.99       0.45         0.80            -3.58
   0 H Annapolis       ( 8- 7, 83.6)    17-10      -16.27      21.65      -0.45         0.80            16.91
   0 A Centennial      ( 9- 5, 89.1)     3-14      -10.81      27.11       0.45         0.80            -8.26
   0 H Southern        ( 7- 9, 85.9)     8- 7      -13.98      23.94      -0.45         0.80            18.73
   0 H Howard          ( 9- 4, 88.8)     7-14      -11.06      26.85      -0.45         0.80            -9.18
   0 H Old Mill        ( 3-10, 76.2)    16- 3      -23.70      14.22      -0.45         0.80            10.99
   0 A Arundel         ( 6- 7, 87.5)     8- 7      -12.41      25.51       0.45         0.80            20.71
   0 A Westminster     ( 8- 8, 90.4)     5-10       -9.53      28.39       0.45         0.80            -7.24
   0 N St Marys        ( 9- 8, 94.8)     7-15       -5.09      32.83      -0.00         0.80            -4.06
   0 H North County    ( 4- 9, 82.0)    17- 7      -17.88      20.04      -0.45         0.80            15.63
   0 A Broadneck       (14- 2, 93.8)     3-14       -6.12      31.80       0.45         0.80            -4.52
   0 A South River     (10- 4, 92.1)    11-15       -7.83      30.09       0.45         0.80            -5.88
   0 H Glen Burnie     ( 4- 9, 75.4)    17- 1      -24.46      13.46      -0.45         0.80            10.38
   0 H Arundel         ( 6- 7, 87.5)    13- 6      -12.41      25.51      -0.45         0.80            19.99
   0 A Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     5-20       -4.93      32.99       0.45         0.80            -3.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        67.03

winning pts = 113.3358 losing points = -46.3044

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------