Tocoi Creek
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 83.1114Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Menendez ( 6- 9, 74.3) 11- 1 213 H Episcopal School (15- 4, 92.5) 6-19 218 A Fleming Island ( 7- 8, 74.6) 20- 3 221 H Forest (12- 6, 81.6) 16- 2 226 A Oak Hall (16- 2, 88.0) 4-12 227 H West Orange (12- 6, 82.4) 10- 9 304 H Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 6-11 306 H Beachside ( 5- 8, 74.5) 16- 4 311 A Nease ( 7-10, 78.9) 16-13 313 A Bartram Trail (12- 8, 92.1) 7-15 326 A St Augustine (12- 8, 83.2) 10-14 327 H Ponte Vedra (12- 4, 93.7) 4-19 401 H Atlantic Coast ( 4- 8, 67.5) 15- 0 403 A Creekside ( 7- 9, 79.1) 11- 6 410 A Bartram Trail (12- 8, 92.1) 4-20 422 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 12- 8 429 A Lake Mary HS (18- 3, 95.1) 4-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Menendez 11- 1 10 9 0.00
213 H Episcopal School 6-19 -13 -9 0.00
218 A Fleming Island 20- 3 17 8 0.00
221 H Forest 16- 2 14 2 + 3.05
226 A Oak Hall 4-12 -8 -5 0.00
227 H West Orange 10- 9 1 1 -0.13
304 H Bolles School 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.46
306 H Beachside 16- 4 12 9 0.00
311 A Nease 16-13 3 4 -0.73
313 A Bartram Trail 7-15 -8 -9 0.00
326 A St Augustine 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.50
327 H Ponte Vedra 4-19 -15 -10 0.00
401 H Atlantic Coast 15- 0 15 16 0.00
403 A Creekside 11- 6 5 4 1.43
410 A Bartram Trail 4-20 -16 -9 0.00
422 A Gulf Breeze 12- 8 4 1 + 3.41
429 A Lake Mary HS 4-18 -14 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Bolles School 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.46 326 A St Augustine 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Forest 16- 2 14 2 + 3.05 422 A Gulf Breeze 12- 8 4 1 + 3.41 |
Tocoi Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Alonso | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | American Heritage Planta | |
| Angeline Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Apopka | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Archbishop McCarthy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Barron Collier | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bartow | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Benjamin School | |
| Berkeley Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bloomingdale | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Boca Ciega | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Boca Raton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Buchholz | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Calvary Christian Academ | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Canterbury School | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cape Coral | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Celebration | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Colonial | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples | ||
| Cooper City | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Glades | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Reef | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Shores | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Coral Springs | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Countryside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Creekside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cypress Bay | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Cypress Lake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Discovery | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Durant | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Dwyer | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| East Lake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| East Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Eastside | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Edgewater | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Edgewood | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Estero | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Evans | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| First Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fleming Island | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fletcher | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Forest | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fort Myers | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gainesville | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Gateway | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gulf Coast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Hagerty | |
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Horizon | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | IMG Academy | ||
| IMG National | IMG National | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | IMG National | |
| Immokalee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Innovation | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jensen Beach | |
| Jupiter | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Key West | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Keys Gate | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Lake Buena Vista | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lake Howell | |
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | ||
| Lake Minneola | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Nona | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lake Wales | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakeland | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Land O Lakes | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Largo | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Leesburg | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lely | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Lyman | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Maclay | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Martin County | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Matanzas | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Melbourne | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Menendez | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Merritt Island | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Miami Country Day | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Milton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Mitchell | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Naples | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Navarre | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Nease | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Newberry | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newsome | |
| Niceville | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| North Bay Haven | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| North Broward Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Northside Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| NSU University School | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Okeechobee | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Olympia | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Olympic Heights | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Osceola | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Oviedo | |
| Oxbridge Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Park Vista | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Parrish Community | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Pasco | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Paxon Institute | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Pensacola | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic 4- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant 3- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Pompano Beach | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| River Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Riverdale | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Riverside | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Rockledge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sandalwood | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Santa Fe | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Sarasota | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Satellite | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Sebastian River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Seminole | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Seminole Ridge | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| South Lake | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| South Plantation | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | South Walton | |
| Spanish River | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| St Brendan | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Cloud | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Petersburg | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Thomas Aquinas | |
| Stanton Prep | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Sunlake | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Timber Creek | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Tohopekaliga | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Trinity Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Venice | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Viera | |
| Village School | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Washington | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Wekiva | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wellington | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Boca Raton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Broward | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| West Florida | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| West Orange | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Western | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Westminster Christian | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Wharton | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Windermere HS | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Windermere Prep | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Winter Haven | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Tocoi Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Wiregrass Ranch | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Wolfson | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
PowerWise = 185
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Menendez ( 6- 9, 74.3) 11- 1 -25.64 16.46 -0.45 0.84 13.50
0 H Episcopal Scho (15- 4, 92.5) 6-19 -7.39 34.71 -0.45 0.84 -6.61
0 A Fleming Island ( 7- 8, 74.6) 20- 3 -25.27 16.83 0.45 0.84 14.58
0 H Forest (12- 6, 81.6) 16- 2 -18.29 23.81 -0.45 0.84 19.70
0 A Oak Hall (16- 2, 88.0) 4-12 -11.86 30.24 0.45 0.84 -9.62
0 H West Orange (12- 6, 82.4) 10- 9 -17.46 24.64 -0.45 0.84 20.40
0 H Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 6-11 -14.79 27.31 -0.45 0.84 -12.86
0 H Beachside ( 5- 8, 74.5) 16- 4 -25.39 16.71 -0.45 0.84 13.71
0 A Nease ( 7-10, 78.9) 16-13 -20.97 21.13 0.45 0.84 18.20
0 A Bartram Trail (12- 8, 92.1) 7-15 -7.75 34.35 0.45 0.84 -6.15
0 A St Augustine (12- 8, 83.2) 10-14 -16.74 25.36 0.45 0.84 -13.74
0 H Ponte Vedra (12- 4, 93.7) 4-19 -6.22 35.88 -0.45 0.84 -5.63
0 H Atlantic Coast ( 4- 8, 67.5) 15- 0 -32.44 9.66 -0.45 0.84 7.76
0 A Creekside ( 7- 9, 79.1) 11- 6 -20.82 21.28 0.45 0.84 18.33
0 A Bartram Trail (12- 8, 92.1) 4-20 -7.75 34.35 0.45 0.84 -6.15
0 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 12- 8 -17.83 24.27 0.45 0.84 20.85
0 A Lake Mary HS (18- 3, 95.1) 4-18 -4.80 37.30 0.45 0.84 -3.66
------
82.60
|
winning pts = 147.0312 losing points = -64.4338
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------