Mount Blue
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 88.5383Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 422 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 6-17 425 H Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 15- 5 429 A Fryeburg Academy ( 8- 6, 91.2) 9-14 501 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 7- 3 506 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 8-18 513 A Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 19-11 516 A Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 17- 5 519 A MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 13- 2 520 H Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 9- 6 521 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 10-14 527 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 7-14 529 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 12-11 530 A Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 15-16 604 A Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 5-21 611 N Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 A Lincoln Academy 6-17 -11 -4 -0.52
425 H Winslow/Lawrence 15- 5 10 7 0.00
429 A Fryeburg Academy 9-14 -5 -3 -1.82
501 H Lewiston 7- 3 4 2 1.63
506 H Erskine Academy 8-18 -10 -1 -- -4.01
513 A Edward Little 19-11 8 5 0.00
516 A Brewer/Hampden 17- 5 12 3 + 2.47
519 A MCI/Nokomis 13- 2 11 7 0.00
520 H Bangor 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.61
521 H Mount Ararat 10-14 -4 -7 1.00
527 H Messalonskee 7-14 -7 -1 - -3.68
529 H Morse-Boothbay 12-11 1 -2 + 2.62
530 A Oxford Hills Comp 15-16 -1 -1 0.15
604 A Camden Hills Regional 5-21 -16 -5 -0.48
611 N Messalonskee 6-14 -8 -2 - -3.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H Erskine Academy 8-18 -10 -1 -- -4.01 527 H Messalonskee 7-14 -7 -1 - -3.68 611 N Messalonskee 6-14 -8 -2 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Brewer/Hampden 17- 5 12 3 + 2.47 520 H Bangor 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.61 529 H Morse-Boothbay 12-11 1 -2 + 2.62 |
Mount Blue Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Biddeford | Biddeford | Biddeford | ||
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | ||
| Brewer/Hampden | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) | Brunswick | |
| Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cheverus | |
| Cony | Cony | Cony 7- 3 vs 4- 6 | ||
| Deering | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Edward Little | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Falmouth | |
| Freeport | Freeport | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Freeport | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | ||
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale 8- 2 vs 5- 5 | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | Gorham | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Houlton | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) | Mount Blue | |
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk | ||
| Lake Region | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Lewiston | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Massabesic | |
| MCI/Nokomis | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Noble | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | ||
| Oceanside | Oceanside | Oceanside | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Oxford Hills Comp | Oxford Hills Comp | ||
| Portland | Mount Blue | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Sanford | Sanford | Sanford | ||
| Scarborough | Scarborough | Scarborough | ||
| South Portland | South Portland | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Portland | |
| St Dominic Academy | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Thornton Academy | |
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Traip Academy | |
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | Wells 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Westbrook | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Windham | Windham | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Windham | |
| Winslow/Lawrence | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth | ||
| York | York | York |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 6-17 -7.39 11.36 0.51 0.98 -6.77
0 H Winslow/Lawren ( 0-13, 82.2) 15- 5 -17.67 1.07 -0.51 0.98 0.55
0 A Fryeburg Acade ( 8- 6, 91.2) 9-14 -8.70 10.05 0.51 0.98 -8.05
0 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 7- 3 -13.22 5.53 -0.51 0.98 4.94
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 90.0) 8-18 -9.86 8.89 -0.51 0.98 -10.21
0 A Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 19-11 -16.96 1.78 0.51 0.98 2.26
0 A Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 17- 5 -14.41 4.34 0.51 0.98 4.78
0 A MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 13- 2 -18.75 1.00 0.51 0.98 1.49
0 H Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 9- 6 -10.23 8.51 -0.51 0.98 7.87
0 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 10-14 -3.64 15.11 -0.51 0.98 -4.09
0 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 7-14 -9.53 9.21 -0.51 0.98 -9.89
0 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 12-11 -9.23 9.52 -0.51 0.98 8.86
0 A Oxford Hills C ( 5-11, 89.2) 15-16 -10.72 8.02 0.51 0.98 -10.05
0 A Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 5-21 -7.36 11.39 0.51 0.98 -6.74
0 N Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 6-14 -9.53 9.21 -0.00 0.98 -9.38
------
-34.43
|
winning pts = 30.7418 losing points = -65.1673
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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