Overlake
W-L: ( 2- 6) PR = 84.0927Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 310 A Ballard (11- 4, 87.0) 6- 8 314 A Tahoma ( 7- 6, 85.3) 6- 9 318 A Shoreline ( 8- 4, 85.0) 6-14 408 H Garfield ( 4- 8, 81.0) 11- 5 410 H Holy Names Academy ( 4- 7, 86.4) 6- 6 415 A Bishop Blanchet ( 7- 8, 88.6) 4-12 417 H Kennedy ( 6- 8, 87.9) 10-14 422 A Lakeside School (11- 4, 95.9) 1-13 425 H Nathan Hale/Ingraham ( 7- 5, 83.9) 11-11 428 A Roosevelt ( 3- 8, 82.3) 19- 9 502 A Squalicum ( 2- 9, 81.6) 8- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
310 A Ballard 6- 8 -2 -3 1.43
314 A Tahoma 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.25
318 A Shoreline 6-14 -8 -1 - -3.56
408 H Garfield 11- 5 6 4 1.35
410 H Holy Names Academy 6- 6 0 -2 1.77
415 A Bishop Blanchet 4-12 -8 -5 0.00
417 H Kennedy 10-14 -4 -3 -0.72
422 A Lakeside School 1-13 -12 -12 0.00
425 H Nathan Hale/Ingraham 11-11 0 1 -0.77
428 A Roosevelt 19- 9 10 1 + 3.69
502 A Squalicum 8- 8 0 2 -1.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Shoreline 6-14 -8 -1 - -3.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Roosevelt 19- 9 10 1 + 3.69 |
Overlake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anacortes | Overlake | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 2) | Overlake | |
| Auburn-Riverside | Overlake | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Overlake | |
| Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island | Bainbridge Island 5- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Ballard | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bellevue | Bellevue | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bellevue | |
| Big Cat | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Bishop Blanchet | Bishop Blanchet | Bishop Blanchet | ||
| Camas | Camas | Camas | ||
| Curtis | Curtis | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Curtis | |
| Eastlake | Eastlake | Eastlake | ||
| Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic | Eastside Catholic 4- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Evergreen | Overlake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 3) | Overlake | |
| Garfield | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Gonzaga Prep | Gonzaga Prep | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Gonzaga Prep | |
| Graham-Kapowsin | Overlake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Overlake | |
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy 3- 3 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Issaquah | Issaquah | Issaquah | ||
| Kamiakin | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Kennedy | Kennedy | Kennedy | ||
| Klahowya | Overlake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Overlake | |
| Lakeside School | Lakeside School | Lakeside School | ||
| Lincoln | Overlake | Overlake 2- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Mercer Island | Mercer Island | Mercer Island | ||
| Mount Si | Mount Si | Mount Si 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Nathan Hale/Ingraham | Overlake | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 4) | Overlake | |
| Newport Sammamish Interl | Newport Sammamish Interl | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Newport Sammamish Interl | |
| Northshore | Northshore | Northshore 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Peninsula SD | Peninsula SD | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Peninsula SD | |
| Puyallup | Puyallup | Puyallup 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Richland Hanford | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Roosevelt | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Sandpoint | Overlake | Overlake | ||
| Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy | Seattle Academy 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep | Seattle Prep 4- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Shoreline | Shoreline | Shoreline | ||
| Snohomish | Snohomish | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Snohomish | |
| Spokane | Spokane | Spokane | ||
| Squalicum | Overlake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 5) | Overlake | |
| Stadium | Stadium | Stadium 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stanwood | Overlake | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 5) | Overlake | |
| Sumner | Sumner | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sumner | |
| Tahoma | Tahoma | Tahoma | ||
| West Seattle | Overlake | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 6) | Overlake | |
| Woodinville | Woodinville | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Woodinville |
PowerWise = 16
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.30
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Ballard (11- 4, 87.0) 6- 8 -12.92 10.85 0.53 1.12 -13.85
0 A Tahoma ( 7- 6, 85.3) 6- 9 -14.59 9.18 0.53 1.12 -15.73
0 A Shoreline ( 8- 4, 85.0) 6-14 -14.90 8.87 0.53 1.12 -16.07
0 H Garfield ( 4- 8, 81.0) 11- 5 -18.92 4.84 -0.53 1.12 4.82
0 A Bishop Blanche ( 7- 8, 88.6) 4-12 -11.33 12.43 0.53 1.12 -12.08
0 H Kennedy ( 6- 8, 87.9) 10-14 -11.99 11.78 -0.53 1.12 -14.01
0 A Lakeside Schoo (11- 4, 95.9) 1-13 -3.99 19.78 0.53 1.12 -3.87
0 A Roosevelt ( 3- 8, 82.3) 19- 9 -17.65 6.12 0.53 1.12 7.44
------
-63.34
|
winning pts = 12.2614 losing points = -75.6009
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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