---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Hersey 1
  
Hersey                
W-L: (14- 9) PR = 88.7275

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Gurnee Warren ( 5-13, 79.8) 18- 3 403 A Loyola Academy (16- 1, 99.9) 1-19 405 H Oak Park-River Forest (13- 7, 91.3) 8-14 407 A Schaumburg ( 9-11, 82.2) 12- 4 410 H Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 16- 7 411 A Maine South (14- 5, 91.3) 6-14 412 A Lockport (13- 7, 91.9) 15-25 414 A Hoffman Estates ( 5-13, 78.1) 13- 2 416 A York (13- 7, 92.1) 8-11 417 H Rolling Meadows ( 3-14, 74.9) 16- 5 421 A Buffalo Grove ( 3-13, 73.2) 20- 2 424 H Prospect ( 9- 8, 82.2) 15- 4 426 H Marist (16- 4, 91.9) 6-10 428 H Fremd (14- 5, 86.3) 15- 9 501 A Conant (10-10, 83.6) 16- 7 502 A Huntley (19- 4, 91.2) 7-11 505 A Elk Grove ( 0-17, 67.2) 17- 3 507 A Glenbrook North ( 8-12, 84.0) 13- 6 510 H St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 10- 8 512 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 9- 8 516 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 5-14 526 N Deerfield ( 8-10, 81.7) 19-11 528 A Lake Forest HS (15- 5, 93.9) 6-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Gurnee Warren          18- 3      15     9           0.00
   403 A Loyola Academy          1-19     -18   -12           0.00
   405 H Oak Park-River Forest   8-14      -6    -2    -     -2.90
   407 A Schaumburg             12- 4       8     6           0.00
   410 H Palatine               16- 7       9     5           0.17
   411 A Maine South             6-14      -8    -3          -1.90
   412 A Lockport               15-25     -10    -4          -1.31
   414 A Hoffman Estates        13- 2      11    10           0.00
   416 A York                    8-11      -3    -4           0.89
   417 H Rolling Meadows        16- 5      11    14           0.00
   421 A Buffalo Grove          20- 2      18    15           0.00
   424 H Prospect               15- 4      11     7           0.00
   426 H Marist                  6-10      -4    -3          -1.29
   428 H Fremd                  15- 9       6     3    +      2.09
   501 A Conant                 16- 7       9     5           0.37
   502 A Huntley                 7-11      -4    -3          -0.99
   505 A Elk Grove              17- 3      14    21           0.00
   507 A Glenbrook North        13- 6       7     4           0.78
   510 H St Viator              10- 8       2     1           1.37
   512 H Barrington              9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.38
   516 H Barrington              5-14      -9    -3          -1.62
   526 N Deerfield              19-11       8     7           0.00
   528 A Lake Forest HS          6-19     -13    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Oak Park-River Forest   8-14      -6    -2    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Barrington              9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.38
   428 H Fremd                  15- 9       6     3    +      2.09

Hersey Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington tied - (11- 0) (11- 0) Barrington
Benet Academy Benet Academy insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Benet Academy
Bloomington Hersey   Hersey
Buffalo Grove Hersey Hersey  
Burlington Central Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Carmel Catholic Hersey insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) Hersey
Conant Hersey Hersey  
Crystal Lake Crystal Lake Crystal Lake   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Deerfield Hersey Hersey  
DePaul Prep Hersey Hersey   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Downers Grove Co-Op Downers Grove Co-Op Downers Grove Co-Op   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Dunlap Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Edwardsville Hersey   Hersey
Elk Grove Hersey Hersey  
Evanston Evanston Evanston   7- 1 vs 2- 5
Fenwick Hersey Hersey   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Fremd Hersey Hersey  
Geneva Hersey Hersey   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Glenbard West Glenbard West tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Glenbard West
Glenbrook North Hersey Hersey  
Glenbrook South Hersey insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 5) Hersey
Gurnee Warren Hersey Hersey  
Hampshire Hersey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hersey
Highland Park Hersey Hersey   4- 1 vs 2- 4
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Hoffman Estates Hersey Hersey  
Huntley Huntley Huntley  
Jones Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Kenwood Hersey   Hersey
Lake Forest Academy Hersey Hersey   3- 0 vs 0- 4
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS  
Lake Zurich Hersey Hersey   7- 1 vs 3- 4
Lane Tech Hersey tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Hersey
Latin School Hersey Hersey   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Libertyville Hersey Hersey   9- 2 vs 4- 8
Lincoln Park Hersey   Hersey
Lincoln-Way Co-Op Hersey insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hersey
Lockport Lockport Lockport  
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Loyola Academy  
Lyons Township Hersey tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Hersey
Maine South Maine South Maine South  
Marist Marist Marist  
Mather Hersey   Hersey
McHenry Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Metea Valley Hersey   Hersey
Minooka Hersey tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Hersey
Montini Catholic Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) Hersey
Mother McAuley Hersey tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 4) Hersey
Mundelein Hersey Hersey   6- 2 vs 2- 7
Naperville Central Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Naperville North Naperville North insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Naperville North
Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Neuqua Valley Hersey tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Hersey
New Trier New Trier New Trier   7- 1 vs 2- 5
Normal Community Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Northside Prep Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Oak Park-River Forest Oak Park-River Forest Oak Park-River Forest  
OFallon Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Palatine Hersey Hersey  
Payton College Prep Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) Hersey
Plainfield East Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Prospect Hersey Hersey  
Providence Catholic Hersey   Hersey
Regina Dominican Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Resurrection Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Hersey
Riverside-Brookfield Hersey   Hersey
Rolling Meadows Hersey Hersey  
Rosary Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hersey
Sandburg Hersey tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Hersey
Schaumburg Hersey Hersey  
St Charles Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
St Francis Hersey Hersey   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Ignatius Hersey insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) Hersey
St Laurence Hersey tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hersey
St Viator Hersey Hersey  
Stevenson Hersey insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 3) Hersey
Streamwood Hersey Hersey   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Taft HS Hersey   Hersey
Trinity Hersey insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hersey
Vernon Hills Hersey Hersey   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Washington Hersey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hersey
Wheaton United Hersey   Hersey
Whitney Young Hersey   Hersey
York York York  

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Gurnee Warren   ( 5-13, 79.8)    18- 3      -20.13      18.48      -0.50         0.74            13.22
   0 A Loyola Academy  (16- 1, 99.9)     1-19       -0.00      38.61       0.50         0.74            -0.37
   0 H Oak Park-River  (13- 7, 91.3)     8-14       -8.57      30.04      -0.50         0.74            -6.67
   0 A Schaumburg      ( 9-11, 82.2)    12- 4      -17.74      20.87       0.50         0.74            15.72
   0 H Palatine        (11- 8, 84.4)    16- 7      -15.50      23.11      -0.50         0.74            16.63
   0 A Maine South     (14- 5, 91.3)     6-14       -8.57      30.04       0.50         0.74            -5.94
   0 A Lockport        (13- 7, 91.9)    15-25       -7.98      30.63       0.50         0.74            -5.50
   0 A Hoffman Estate  ( 5-13, 78.1)    13- 2      -21.76      16.85       0.50         0.74            12.76
   0 A York            (13- 7, 92.1)     8-11       -7.78      30.83       0.50         0.74            -5.36
   0 H Rolling Meadow  ( 3-14, 74.9)    16- 5      -24.95      13.65      -0.50         0.74             9.67
   0 A Buffalo Grove   ( 3-13, 73.2)    20- 2      -26.67      11.93       0.50         0.74             9.15
   0 H Prospect        ( 9- 8, 82.2)    15- 4      -17.68      20.93      -0.50         0.74            15.03
   0 H Marist          (16- 4, 91.9)     6-10       -7.96      30.65      -0.50         0.74            -6.22
   0 H Fremd           (14- 5, 86.3)    15- 9      -13.58      25.03      -0.50         0.74            18.04
   0 A Conant          (10-10, 83.6)    16- 7      -16.31      22.30       0.50         0.74            16.77
   0 A Huntley         (19- 4, 91.2)     7-11       -8.66      29.95       0.50         0.74            -6.00
   0 A Elk Grove       ( 0-17, 67.2)    17- 3      -32.69       5.92       0.50         0.74             4.72
   0 A Glenbrook Nort  ( 8-12, 84.0)    13- 6      -15.89      22.72       0.50         0.74            17.08
   0 H St Viator       (13- 8, 88.6)    10- 8      -11.30      27.31      -0.50         0.74            19.72
   0 H Barrington      (21- 2, 92.6)     9- 8       -7.29      31.32      -0.50         0.74            22.67
   0 H Barrington      (21- 2, 92.6)     5-14       -7.29      31.32      -0.50         0.74            -5.73
   0 N Deerfield       ( 8-10, 81.7)    19-11      -18.18      20.43      -0.00         0.74            15.03
   0 A Lake Forest HS  (15- 5, 93.9)     6-19       -5.97      32.64       0.50         0.74            -4.02
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       160.40

winning pts = 206.2185 losing points = -45.8226

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------