Hersey
W-L: (14- 9) PR = 88.7275
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
317 H Gurnee Warren ( 5-13, 79.8) 18- 3
403 A Loyola Academy (16- 1, 99.9) 1-19
405 H Oak Park-River Forest (13- 7, 91.3) 8-14
407 A Schaumburg ( 9-11, 82.2) 12- 4
410 H Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 16- 7
411 A Maine South (14- 5, 91.3) 6-14
412 A Lockport (13- 7, 91.9) 15-25
414 A Hoffman Estates ( 5-13, 78.1) 13- 2
416 A York (13- 7, 92.1) 8-11
417 H Rolling Meadows ( 3-14, 74.9) 16- 5
421 A Buffalo Grove ( 3-13, 73.2) 20- 2
424 H Prospect ( 9- 8, 82.2) 15- 4
426 H Marist (16- 4, 91.9) 6-10
428 H Fremd (14- 5, 86.3) 15- 9
501 A Conant (10-10, 83.6) 16- 7
502 A Huntley (19- 4, 91.2) 7-11
505 A Elk Grove ( 0-17, 67.2) 17- 3
507 A Glenbrook North ( 8-12, 84.0) 13- 6
510 H St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 10- 8
512 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 9- 8
516 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 5-14
526 N Deerfield ( 8-10, 81.7) 19-11
528 A Lake Forest HS (15- 5, 93.9) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Gurnee Warren 18- 3 15 9 0.00
403 A Loyola Academy 1-19 -18 -12 0.00
405 H Oak Park-River Forest 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.90
407 A Schaumburg 12- 4 8 6 0.00
410 H Palatine 16- 7 9 5 0.17
411 A Maine South 6-14 -8 -3 -1.90
412 A Lockport 15-25 -10 -4 -1.31
414 A Hoffman Estates 13- 2 11 10 0.00
416 A York 8-11 -3 -4 0.89
417 H Rolling Meadows 16- 5 11 14 0.00
421 A Buffalo Grove 20- 2 18 15 0.00
424 H Prospect 15- 4 11 7 0.00
426 H Marist 6-10 -4 -3 -1.29
428 H Fremd 15- 9 6 3 + 2.09
501 A Conant 16- 7 9 5 0.37
502 A Huntley 7-11 -4 -3 -0.99
505 A Elk Grove 17- 3 14 21 0.00
507 A Glenbrook North 13- 6 7 4 0.78
510 H St Viator 10- 8 2 1 1.37
512 H Barrington 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.38
516 H Barrington 5-14 -9 -3 -1.62
526 N Deerfield 19-11 8 7 0.00
528 A Lake Forest HS 6-19 -13 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Oak Park-River Forest 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.90
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
512 H Barrington 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.38
428 H Fremd 15- 9 6 3 + 2.09
|
Hersey Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Barrington |
Barrington |
|
tied - (11- 0) (11- 0) |
Barrington |
Benet Academy |
Benet Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Benet Academy |
Bloomington |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Buffalo Grove |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Burlington Central |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Hersey |
Carmel Catholic |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) |
Hersey |
Conant |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Crystal Lake |
Crystal Lake |
|
Crystal Lake   4- 1 vs 1- 5 |
|
Deerfield |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
DePaul Prep |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Downers Grove Co-Op |
Downers Grove Co-Op |
|
Downers Grove Co-Op   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Dunlap |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Edwardsville |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Elk Grove |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Evanston |
Evanston |
|
Evanston   7- 1 vs 2- 5 |
|
Fenwick |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Fremd |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Geneva |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Glenbard West |
Glenbard West |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Glenbard West |
Glenbrook North |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Glenbrook South |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 5) |
Hersey |
Gurnee Warren |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Hampshire |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Hersey |
Highland Park |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   4- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
Hinsdale Central |
Hinsdale Central |
|
Hinsdale Central   6- 1 vs 1- 6 |
|
Hoffman Estates |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Huntley |
Huntley |
Huntley |
 
| |
Jones |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Kenwood |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Lake Forest Academy |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Lake Forest HS |
Lake Forest HS |
Lake Forest HS |
 
| |
Lake Zurich |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   7- 1 vs 3- 4 |
|
Lane Tech |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Hersey |
Latin School |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Libertyville |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   9- 2 vs 4- 8 |
|
Lincoln Park |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Lincoln-Way Co-Op |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Hersey |
Lockport |
Lockport |
Lockport |
 
| |
Loyola Academy |
Loyola Academy |
Loyola Academy |
 
| |
Lyons Township |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) |
Hersey |
Maine South |
Maine South |
Maine South |
 
| |
Marist |
Marist |
Marist |
 
| |
Mather |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
McHenry |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Metea Valley |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Minooka |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) |
Hersey |
Montini Catholic |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) |
Hersey |
Mother McAuley |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 4) |
Hersey |
Mundelein |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   6- 2 vs 2- 7 |
|
Naperville Central |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hersey |
Naperville North |
Naperville North |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) |
Naperville North |
Nazareth Academy |
Nazareth Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Nazareth Academy |
Neuqua Valley |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Hersey |
New Trier |
New Trier |
|
New Trier   7- 1 vs 2- 5 |
|
Normal Community |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Northside Prep |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hersey |
Oak Park-River Forest |
Oak Park-River Forest |
Oak Park-River Forest |
 
| |
OFallon |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Palatine |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Payton College Prep |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) |
Hersey |
Plainfield East |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Prospect |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Providence Catholic |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Regina Dominican |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hersey |
Resurrection |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) |
Hersey |
Riverside-Brookfield |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Rolling Meadows |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Rosary |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Sandburg |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Hersey |
Schaumburg |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
St Charles |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
St Francis |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
St Ignatius |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) |
Hersey |
St Laurence |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Hersey |
St Viator |
Hersey |
Hersey |
 
| |
Stevenson |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 3) |
Hersey |
Streamwood |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Taft HS |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Trinity |
Hersey |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Hersey |
Vernon Hills |
Hersey |
|
Hersey   4- 1 vs 1- 5 |
|
Washington |
Hersey |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Hersey |
Wheaton United |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
Whitney Young |
Hersey |
|
 
| Hersey |
York |
York |
York |
 
| |
PowerWise = 66

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Gurnee Warren ( 5-13, 79.8) 18- 3 -20.13 18.48 -0.50 0.74 13.22
0 A Loyola Academy (16- 1, 99.9) 1-19 -0.00 38.61 0.50 0.74 -0.37
0 H Oak Park-River (13- 7, 91.3) 8-14 -8.57 30.04 -0.50 0.74 -6.67
0 A Schaumburg ( 9-11, 82.2) 12- 4 -17.74 20.87 0.50 0.74 15.72
0 H Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 16- 7 -15.50 23.11 -0.50 0.74 16.63
0 A Maine South (14- 5, 91.3) 6-14 -8.57 30.04 0.50 0.74 -5.94
0 A Lockport (13- 7, 91.9) 15-25 -7.98 30.63 0.50 0.74 -5.50
0 A Hoffman Estate ( 5-13, 78.1) 13- 2 -21.76 16.85 0.50 0.74 12.76
0 A York (13- 7, 92.1) 8-11 -7.78 30.83 0.50 0.74 -5.36
0 H Rolling Meadow ( 3-14, 74.9) 16- 5 -24.95 13.65 -0.50 0.74 9.67
0 A Buffalo Grove ( 3-13, 73.2) 20- 2 -26.67 11.93 0.50 0.74 9.15
0 H Prospect ( 9- 8, 82.2) 15- 4 -17.68 20.93 -0.50 0.74 15.03
0 H Marist (16- 4, 91.9) 6-10 -7.96 30.65 -0.50 0.74 -6.22
0 H Fremd (14- 5, 86.3) 15- 9 -13.58 25.03 -0.50 0.74 18.04
0 A Conant (10-10, 83.6) 16- 7 -16.31 22.30 0.50 0.74 16.77
0 A Huntley (19- 4, 91.2) 7-11 -8.66 29.95 0.50 0.74 -6.00
0 A Elk Grove ( 0-17, 67.2) 17- 3 -32.69 5.92 0.50 0.74 4.72
0 A Glenbrook Nort ( 8-12, 84.0) 13- 6 -15.89 22.72 0.50 0.74 17.08
0 H St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 10- 8 -11.30 27.31 -0.50 0.74 19.72
0 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 9- 8 -7.29 31.32 -0.50 0.74 22.67
0 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 5-14 -7.29 31.32 -0.50 0.74 -5.73
0 N Deerfield ( 8-10, 81.7) 19-11 -18.18 20.43 -0.00 0.74 15.03
0 A Lake Forest HS (15- 5, 93.9) 6-19 -5.97 32.64 0.50 0.74 -4.02
------
160.40
|
winning pts = 206.2185 losing points = -45.8226
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------