---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:59 PDT

safe3step girls Forest Grove 1
  
Forest Grove          
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 70.4445

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Mountainside ( 7- 8, 81.6) 1-20 402 H Liberty ( 3-10, 68.3) 18-11 408 A Tigard ( 4- 5, 74.7) 2-13 411 A Hillsboro ( 0-10, 81.9) 1- 0 414 H Sherwood ( 5- 8, 77.8) 6-15 419 H Bend ( 7- 7, 79.5) 1-11 421 A Southridge ( 4-12, 70.4) 12-13 424 A Liberty ( 3-10, 68.3) 12-11 428 H Southridge ( 4-12, 70.4) 10- 9 430 H Newberg ( 0-11, 72.9) 1- 0 430 H Hillsboro ( 0-10, 81.9) 1- 0 503 A Roseburg ( 9- 5, 76.2) 3-16 503 A West Albany ( 9- 5, 73.2) 7-11 509 A Tualatin (11- 5, 84.1) 0-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Mountainside            1-20     -19   -11           0.00
   402 H Liberty                18-11       7     2    +      2.86
   408 A Tigard                  2-13     -11    -4          -0.78
   414 H Sherwood                6-15      -9    -7           0.00
   419 H Bend                    1-11     -10    -9           0.00
   421 A Southridge             12-13      -1     0          -1.02
   424 A Liberty                12-11       1     2          -1.12
   428 H Southridge             10- 9       1     0           0.96
   503 A Roseburg                3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   503 A West Albany             7-11      -4    -3          -1.20
   509 A Tualatin                0-18     -18   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Liberty                18-11       7     2    +      2.86

Forest Grove Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Beaverton Beaverton Beaverton   5- 0 vs 2- 4
Bend Bend Bend  
Central Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Cleveland Cleveland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cleveland
Corvallis Forest Grove insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Forest Grove
Eugene United Eugene United tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eugene United
Grant Grant   Grant
Hillsboro Forest Grove Forest Grove  
Hood River Hood River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hood River
Ida B Wells Ida B Wells insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Ida B Wells
Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Lake Oswego Lake Oswego tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Lake Oswego
Lakeridge Lakeridge Lakeridge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Liberty Forest Grove Forest Grove  
Lincoln Lincoln insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln
Marist Marist Marist   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mountainside Mountainside Mountainside  
Newberg Forest Grove Forest Grove  
North Clackamas North Clackamas insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) North Clackamas
Oregon City Oregon City Oregon City   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal   Oregon Episcopal
Roseburg Roseburg Roseburg  
Sheldon Sheldon Sheldon   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood  
Sisters/Redmond Sisters/Redmond tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sisters/Redmond
South Salem South Salem tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) South Salem
Southridge Forest Grove tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Forest Grove
St Marys Academy St Marys Academy   St Marys Academy
Summit Summit insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Summit
Sunset Sunset Sunset   4- 2 vs 2- 5
Tigard Tigard Tigard  
Tualatin Tualatin Tualatin  
West Albany West Albany West Albany  
West Linn West Linn   West Linn
Westview Westview Westview   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Wilsonville Wilsonville Wilsonville   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.00

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mountainside    ( 7- 8, 81.6)     1-20      -18.31      13.28       0.01         1.00           -18.30
   0 H Liberty         ( 3-10, 68.3)    18-11      -31.58       1.00      -0.01         1.00             0.99
   0 A Tigard          ( 4- 5, 74.7)     2-13      -25.24       6.34       0.01         1.00           -25.23
   0 A Hillsboro       ( 0-10, 81.9)     1- 0      -17.99      13.60       0.01         1.00            13.61
   0 H Sherwood        ( 5- 8, 77.8)     6-15      -22.10       9.48      -0.01         1.00           -22.11
   0 H Bend            ( 7- 7, 79.5)     1-11      -20.36      11.23      -0.01         1.00           -20.37
   0 A Southridge      ( 4-12, 70.4)    12-13      -29.48       2.10       0.01         1.00           -29.47
   0 A Liberty         ( 3-10, 68.3)    12-11      -31.58       1.00       0.01         1.00             1.01
   0 H Southridge      ( 4-12, 70.4)    10- 9      -29.48       2.10      -0.01         1.00             2.09
   0 H Newberg         ( 0-11, 72.9)     1- 0      -27.03       4.56      -0.01         1.00             4.55
   0 H Hillsboro       ( 0-10, 81.9)     1- 0      -17.99      13.60      -0.01         1.00            13.59
   0 A Roseburg        ( 9- 5, 76.2)     3-16      -23.74       7.84       0.01         1.00           -23.73
   0 A West Albany     ( 9- 5, 73.2)     7-11      -26.67       4.91       0.01         1.00           -26.66
   0 A Tualatin        (11- 5, 84.1)     0-18      -15.76      15.83       0.01         1.00           -15.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -145.80

winning pts = 35.8306 losing points = -181.6266

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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