---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Big Lake 1
  
Big Lake              
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 73.3177

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Duluth Co-Op ( 9- 5, 84.4) 2-15 421 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 2-21 422 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 10-17 425 H Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 6-17 429 A Rocori ( 4-10, 74.3) 4-13 502 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids ( 0-14, 67.2) 19- 4 508 A Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 8-12 509 H Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 4-16 512 A Blaine ( 7- 5, 86.7) 1-21 515 H New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 4-16 517 H Buffalo (11- 4, 91.7) 5-23 522 A St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 5-15 523 A Osseo-Park Center ( 5- 9, 81.7) 3-13 527 A Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Duluth Co-Op            2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   421 H Chisago Lakes           2-21     -19   -16           0.00
   422 H Becker                 10-17      -7    -4          -0.86
   425 H Monticello              6-17     -11    -9           0.00
   429 A Rocori                  4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.46
   502 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids    19- 4      15     7           0.00
   508 A Becker                  8-12      -4    -5           1.00
   509 H Brainerd                4-16     -12    -6           0.00
   512 A Blaine                  1-21     -20   -14           0.00
   515 H New Prague              4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   517 H Buffalo                 5-23     -18   -18           0.00
   522 A St Cloud Area           5-15     -10    -5           0.00
   523 A Osseo-Park Center       3-13     -10    -9           0.00
   527 A Brainerd                9-13      -4    -7           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Rocori                  4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Big Lake Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover Andover   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Anoka Anoka Anoka   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Apple Valley Apple Valley   Apple Valley
Becker Becker Becker  
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Benilde-St Margarets
Blaine Blaine Blaine  
Blake School Blake School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Big Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Big Lake
Brainerd Brainerd Brainerd  
Breck School Breck School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Breck School
Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo  
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Chanhassen Chanhassen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Columbia Heights Big Lake   Big Lake
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op  
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Duluth Marshall
East Ridge East Ridge   East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastview/Eagan
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake Forest Lake tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Hastings   Hastings
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic   Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hopkins
Hutchinson Hutchinson Hutchinson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Irondale Irondale   Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi   Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Mankato Co-Op tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mankato Co-Op
Maple Grove Maple Grove insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Big Lake   Big Lake
Minnetonka Minnetonka tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Moorhead Moorhead Moorhead   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View   Mounds View
New Prague New Prague New Prague  
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Orono Orono Orono   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center  
Owatonna Owatonna   Owatonna
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove   Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Century
Rochester JM/Lourdes Big Lake   Big Lake
Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Mayo
Rocori Rocori Rocori  
Rogers Rogers Rogers   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Big Lake Big Lake  
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Simley   Simley
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian   Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra
St Cloud Area St Cloud Area St Cloud Area  
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Croix Prep
St Louis Park St Louis Park insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Louis Park
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   4- 1 vs 1- 4
St Paul Academy St Paul Academy   St Paul Academy
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Stillwater Stillwater   Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Big Lake tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Big Lake
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Totino-Grace
Visitation Visitation   Visitation
Waconia Waconia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury   Woodbury

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Duluth Co-Op    ( 9- 5, 84.4)     2-15      -15.50      17.56       0.59         1.05           -15.63
   0 H Chisago Lakes   (14- 4, 90.0)     2-21       -9.90      23.16      -0.59         1.05           -11.00
   0 H Becker          ( 6- 7, 78.0)    10-17      -21.85      11.21      -0.59         1.05           -23.54
   0 H Monticello      ( 6- 8, 82.6)     6-17      -17.26      15.80      -0.59         1.05           -18.72
   0 A Rocori          ( 4-10, 74.3)     4-13      -25.64       7.42       0.59         1.05           -26.27
   0 H Sartell-Sauk R  ( 0-14, 67.2)    19- 4      -32.70       1.00      -0.59         1.05             0.43
   0 A Becker          ( 6- 7, 78.0)     8-12      -21.85      11.21       0.59         1.05           -22.30
   0 H Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)     4-16      -20.17      12.89      -0.59         1.05           -21.78
   0 A Blaine          ( 7- 5, 86.7)     1-21      -13.22      19.84       0.59         1.05           -13.25
   0 H New Prague      ( 7- 8, 84.0)     4-16      -15.95      17.11      -0.59         1.05           -17.34
   0 H Buffalo         (11- 4, 91.7)     5-23       -8.20      24.86      -0.59         1.05            -9.22
   0 A St Cloud Area   ( 7- 8, 78.2)     5-15      -21.69      11.37       0.59         1.05           -22.12
   0 A Osseo-Park Cen  ( 5- 9, 81.7)     3-13      -18.16      14.90       0.59         1.05           -18.42
   0 A Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)     9-13      -20.17      12.89       0.59         1.05           -20.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -239.70

winning pts = 0.4277 losing points = -240.1290

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------