Payson
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 83.3377Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 305 A Salem Hills (19- 2, 88.7) 8-12 307 H Cedar Valley (13- 8, 82.4) 9-11 311 A Skyridge (17- 4, 88.8) 3-17 313 H Spanish Fork ( 3-12, 77.5) 21- 1 319 H Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 14- 4 324 A Provo (16- 4, 83.7) 11-12 326 A Woods Cross (16- 3, 85.7) 6- 8 327 H Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 16- 0 408 A Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 7-15 410 H Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 25- 2 414 H Provo (16- 4, 83.7) 10-11 417 A Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 10- 6 421 A Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 19- 2 424 A Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 13- 4 428 A Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 22- 0 505 H Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 15- 9 508 H Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 26- 1 515 A Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 15- 6 517 H Hillcrest ( 9-12, 77.3) 17- 8 520 A Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Salem Hills 8-12 -4 -6 1.00
307 H Cedar Valley 9-11 -2 1 - -3.44
311 A Skyridge 3-17 -14 -6 0.00
313 H Spanish Fork 21- 1 20 6 0.00
319 H Judge Memorial 14- 4 10 4 1.02
324 A Provo 11-12 -1 -1 -0.05
326 A Woods Cross 6- 8 -2 -3 0.89
327 H Orem 16- 0 16 8 0.00
408 A Waterford 7-15 -8 -4 -1.32
410 H Uintah 25- 2 23 12 0.00
414 H Provo 10-11 -1 0 -1.14
417 A Timpanogos 10- 6 4 3 0.75
421 A Uintah 19- 2 17 11 0.00
424 A Orem 13- 4 9 6 0.00
428 A Mountain View 22- 0 22 16 0.00
505 H Timpanogos 15- 9 6 4 0.65
508 H Mountain View 26- 1 25 18 0.00
515 A Judge Memorial 15- 6 9 3 + 2.12
517 H Hillcrest 17- 8 9 7 0.00
520 A Waterford 6-11 -5 -4 -1.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Cedar Valley 9-11 -2 1 - -3.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Judge Memorial 15- 6 9 3 + 2.12 |
Payson Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alta | Payson | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Payson | |
| American Fork | Payson | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Payson | |
| Bear River | Bear River | Bear River 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bingham | Bingham | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bingham | |
| Bonneville | Payson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Bountiful | Payson | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Payson | |
| Box Elder | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Payson | |
| Brighton | Brighton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Canyon View | Payson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Cedar | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Cedar Valley | Cedar Valley | Cedar Valley | ||
| Clearfield | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Payson | |
| Copper Hills | Payson | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Payson | |
| Corner Canyon | Corner Canyon | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Corner Canyon | |
| Crimson Cliffs | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Davis | Davis | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Davis | |
| Desert Hills | Payson | Payson | ||
| East | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Payson | |
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Fremont | Fremont | Fremont | ||
| Green Canyon | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Herriman | Payson | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Payson | |
| Highland | Highland | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Highland | |
| Hillcrest | Payson | Payson | ||
| Hurricane | Payson | Payson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jordan | Payson | Payson 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Juan Diego Catholic | Payson | Payson 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Judge Memorial | Payson | Payson | ||
| Layton | Payson | Payson | ||
| Lehi | Lehi | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Lehi | |
| Logan | Payson | Payson | ||
| Lone Peak | Lone Peak | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lone Peak | |
| Maple Mountain | Payson | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Payson | |
| Mountain Crest | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Mountain Ridge | Mountain Ridge | Mountain Ridge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mountain View | Payson | Payson | ||
| Northridge | Payson | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Payson | |
| Olympus | Olympus | Olympus 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Orem | Payson | Payson | ||
| Park City | Park City | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Park City | |
| Pine View | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Pleasant Grove | Pleasant Grove | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Pleasant Grove | |
| Provo | Provo | Provo | ||
| Ridgeline | Payson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| Riverton | Riverton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Riverton | |
| Roy | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Payson | |
| Salem Hills | Salem Hills | Salem Hills | ||
| Sky View | Payson | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Payson | |
| Skyline | Skyline | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Skyline | |
| Skyridge | Skyridge | Skyridge | ||
| Snow Canyon | Payson | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Payson | |
| Spanish Fork | Payson | Payson | ||
| Springville | Payson | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Payson | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Timpanogos | Payson | Payson | ||
| Timpview | Payson | Payson 4- 4 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Uintah | Payson | Payson | ||
| Viewmont | Payson | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Payson | |
| Wasatch | Wasatch | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Wasatch | |
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Weber | Payson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| West | Payson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| West Field | Payson | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Payson | |
| West Jordan | West Jordan | West Jordan 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Westlake | Payson | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Payson | |
| Woods Cross | Woods Cross | Woods Cross |
PowerWise = 41
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Salem Hills (19- 2, 88.7) 8-12 -11.24 26.71 0.55 0.89 -9.51
0 H Cedar Valley (13- 8, 82.4) 9-11 -17.46 20.49 -0.55 0.89 -16.02
0 A Skyridge (17- 4, 88.8) 3-17 -11.09 26.86 0.55 0.89 -9.37
0 H Spanish Fork ( 3-12, 77.5) 21- 1 -22.44 15.51 -0.55 0.89 13.31
0 H Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 14- 4 -19.99 17.96 -0.55 0.89 15.48
0 A Provo (16- 4, 83.7) 11-12 -16.16 21.79 0.55 0.89 -13.88
0 A Woods Cross (16- 3, 85.7) 6- 8 -14.22 23.73 0.55 0.89 -12.16
0 H Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 16- 0 -23.59 14.36 -0.55 0.89 12.29
0 A Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 7-15 -13.43 24.52 0.55 0.89 -11.46
0 H Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 25- 2 -28.04 9.90 -0.55 0.89 8.32
0 H Provo (16- 4, 83.7) 10-11 -16.16 21.79 -0.55 0.89 -14.86
0 A Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 10- 6 -20.37 17.58 0.55 0.89 16.13
0 A Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 19- 2 -28.04 9.90 0.55 0.89 9.30
0 A Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 13- 4 -23.59 14.36 0.55 0.89 13.26
0 A Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 22- 0 -33.54 4.41 0.55 0.89 4.41
0 H Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 15- 9 -20.37 17.58 -0.55 0.89 15.15
0 H Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 26- 1 -33.54 4.41 -0.55 0.89 3.43
0 A Judge Memorial ( 8- 8, 79.9) 15- 6 -19.99 17.96 0.55 0.89 16.46
0 H Hillcrest ( 9-12, 77.3) 17- 8 -22.59 15.36 -0.55 0.89 13.18
0 A Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 6-11 -13.43 24.52 0.55 0.89 -11.46
------
41.99
|
winning pts = 140.7149 losing points = -98.7245
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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