All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.6900024 home-field advantage = -0.86 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 A Meridian (16- 3, 84.7) 9-16 314 A Battlefield (15- 6, 81.9) 7-12 319 H Freedom South Riding ( 6-10, 71.4) 17- 4 321 A Woodgrove (13- 6, 72.0) 13-14 402 A Heritage ( 3-12, 62.6) 17- 0 409 A Broad Run ( 2-13, 60.8) 17- 1 411 A Paul VI (11-11, 89.0) 7-20 412 H Kettle Run (11- 4, 71.5) 14- 4 424 H John Champe ( 8- 9, 68.7) 18- 4 426 H Stone Bridge (11- 5, 76.9) 13- 6 430 A Independence (11- 7, 78.4) 12-11 503 H Riverside (14- 6, 82.3) 13- 8 507 H Briar Woods ( 4-11, 63.9) 17- 3 509 H Potomac Falls (10- 6, 72.6) 13- 5 514 H Potomac Falls (10- 6, 72.6) 17- 5 515 H Independence (11- 7, 78.4) 12- 7 517 H Riverside (14- 6, 82.3) 8- 7 523 H Independence (11- 7, 78.4) 8- 7 528 H Riverside (14- 6, 82.3) 3- 7 531 A Patrick Henry Roanoke (14- 2, 77.2) 16- 6 604 N Riverside (14- 6, 82.3) 11-10 608 N Douglas Freeman (16- 2, 80.4) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Meridian 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.17 314 A Battlefield 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.96 319 H Freedom South Riding 17- 4 13 10 0.00 321 A Woodgrove 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00 402 A Heritage 17- 0 17 17 0.00 409 A Broad Run 17- 1 16 19 0.00 411 A Paul VI 7-20 -13 -9 0.00 412 H Kettle Run 14- 4 10 10 0.00 424 H John Champe 18- 4 14 12 0.00 426 H Stone Bridge 13- 6 7 4 + 2.34 430 A Independence 12-11 1 1 -0.46 503 H Riverside 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.77 507 H Briar Woods 17- 3 14 17 0.00 509 H Potomac Falls 13- 5 8 8 0.00 514 H Potomac Falls 17- 5 12 8 0.00 515 H Independence 12- 7 5 3 1.82 517 H Riverside 8- 7 1 0 1.77 523 H Independence 8- 7 1 3 - -2.18 528 H Riverside 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.23 531 A Patrick Henry Roanoke 16- 6 10 2 ++ 4.35 604 N Riverside 11-10 1 -1 + 2.63 608 N Douglas Freeman 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Woodgrove 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00 608 N Douglas Freeman 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.31 312 A Meridian 9-16 -7 -4 - -2.17 314 A Battlefield 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.96 523 H Independence 8- 7 1 3 - -2.18 528 H Riverside 3- 7 -4 0 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Riverside 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.77 531 A Patrick Henry Roanoke 16- 6 10 2 ++ 4.35 426 H Stone Bridge 13- 6 7 4 + 2.34 604 N Riverside 11-10 1 -1 + 2.63
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 80.69 Power Rank................. 24 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.11 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 25 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7365 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .6524 RPI Rank................... 8 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 89 Selection sum ........... 26 Selection Rank ............ 5 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 35 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 14 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3