---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Provo 1
  
Provo                 
W-L: (16- 4) PR = 83.7439

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Lehi (10- 8, 84.7) 4- 5 308 H Timpview ( 2-13, 76.4) 13- 1 308 H Woods Cross (16- 3, 85.7) 6- 9 318 H Alta ( 7-11, 81.5) 15-10 320 H Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 15- 2 324 H Payson (12- 8, 83.3) 12-11 327 A Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 15-10 407 H Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 25- 2 411 A Northridge ( 3-13, 75.2) 24- 7 414 A Payson (12- 8, 83.3) 11-10 421 A Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 17- 4 424 H Timpanogos (12- 6, 79.5) 16- 8 428 H Spanish Fork ( 3-12, 77.5) 18- 5 501 A Mountain View ( 0-15, 66.4) 19- 1 505 A Uintah ( 3-16, 71.9) 22- 2 507 H Orem ( 8-10, 76.3) 16- 7 509 H Highland (13- 5, 84.7) 17-20 515 H Snow Canyon ( 8- 9, 73.6) 21- 4 517 H Canyon View (11- 3, 76.6) 16- 9 520 A Bear River (21- 0, 88.0) 3-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Lehi                    4- 5      -1     0          -0.57
   308 H Timpview               13- 1      12     8           0.00
   308 H Woods Cross             6- 9      -3    -1          -1.61
   318 H Alta                   15-10       5     3    +      2.17
   320 H Uintah                 15- 2      13    12           0.00
   324 H Payson                 12-11       1     1           0.05
   327 A Timpanogos             15-10       5     4           1.34
   407 H Mountain View          25- 2      23    18           0.00
   411 A Northridge             24- 7      17     8           0.00
   414 A Payson                 11-10       1     0           1.14
   421 A Orem                   17- 4      13     7           0.00
   424 H Timpanogos             16- 8       8     5           0.24
   428 H Spanish Fork           18- 5      13     7           0.00
   501 A Mountain View          19- 1      18    17           0.00
   505 A Uintah                 22- 2      20    11           0.00
   507 H Orem                   16- 7       9     8           0.00
   509 H Highland               17-20      -3     0    -     -2.57
   515 H Snow Canyon            21- 4      17    11           0.00
   517 H Canyon View            16- 9       7     8           0.00
   520 A Bear River              3-13     -10    -5          -0.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Highland               17-20      -3     0    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Alta                   15-10       5     3    +      2.17

Provo Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Provo Provo  
American Fork Provo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Provo
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bingham
Bonneville Provo tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Provo
Bountiful Provo insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Provo
Box Elder Provo tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Provo
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brighton
Canyon View Provo Provo  
Cedar Provo Provo   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Cedar Valley Provo insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Provo
Clearfield Provo insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Provo
Copper Hills Provo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Provo
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Provo Provo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davis Davis   Davis
Desert Hills Provo Provo   3- 1 vs 0- 4
East Provo insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Provo
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fremont Fremont   Fremont
Green Canyon Provo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Provo
Herriman Provo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Provo
Highland Highland Highland  
Hillcrest Provo insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Provo
Hurricane Provo insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Provo
Jordan Provo Provo   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Juan Diego Catholic Provo Provo   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Judge Memorial Provo insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Provo
Layton Provo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Provo
Lehi Lehi Lehi  
Logan Provo insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Provo
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Provo tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Provo
Mountain Crest Provo Provo   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mountain View Provo Provo  
Northridge Provo Provo  
Olympus Olympus insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Olympus
Orem Provo Provo  
Park City Park City insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Park City
Payson Provo Provo  
Pine View Provo Provo   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Pleasant Grove
Ridgeline Provo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Provo
Riverton Riverton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverton
Roy Provo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Provo
Salem Hills Salem Hills insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) Salem Hills
Sky View Provo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Provo
Skyline Skyline tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Skyridge
Snow Canyon Provo Provo  
Spanish Fork Provo Provo  
Springville Provo tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Provo
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Timpanogos Provo Provo  
Timpview Provo Provo  
Uintah Provo Provo  
Viewmont Provo tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Provo
Wasatch Provo tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Provo
Waterford Waterford tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Waterford
Weber Provo   Provo
West Provo insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Provo
West Field Provo insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Provo
West Jordan West Jordan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) West Jordan
Westlake Provo insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Provo
Woods Cross Woods Cross Woods Cross  

PowerWise = 44


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lehi            (10- 8, 84.7)     4- 5      -15.18      22.77      -0.55         0.89           -13.99
   0 H Timpview        ( 2-13, 76.4)    13- 1      -23.51      14.43      -0.55         0.89            12.35
   0 H Woods Cross     (16- 3, 85.7)     6- 9      -14.22      23.73      -0.55         0.89           -13.13
   0 H Alta            ( 7-11, 81.5)    15-10      -18.44      19.51      -0.55         0.89            16.87
   0 H Uintah          ( 3-16, 71.9)    15- 2      -28.04       9.90      -0.55         0.89             8.32
   0 H Payson          (12- 8, 83.3)    12-11      -16.56      21.38      -0.55         0.89            18.53
   0 A Timpanogos      (12- 6, 79.5)    15-10      -20.37      17.58       0.55         0.89            16.13
   0 H Mountain View   ( 0-15, 66.4)    25- 2      -33.54       4.41      -0.55         0.89             3.43
   0 A Northridge      ( 3-13, 75.2)    24- 7      -24.68      13.27       0.55         0.89            12.29
   0 A Payson          (12- 8, 83.3)    11-10      -16.56      21.38       0.55         0.89            19.51
   0 A Orem            ( 8-10, 76.3)    17- 4      -23.59      14.36       0.55         0.89            13.26
   0 H Timpanogos      (12- 6, 79.5)    16- 8      -20.37      17.58      -0.55         0.89            15.15
   0 H Spanish Fork    ( 3-12, 77.5)    18- 5      -22.44      15.51      -0.55         0.89            13.31
   0 A Mountain View   ( 0-15, 66.4)    19- 1      -33.54       4.41       0.55         0.89             4.41
   0 A Uintah          ( 3-16, 71.9)    22- 2      -28.04       9.90       0.55         0.89             9.30
   0 H Orem            ( 8-10, 76.3)    16- 7      -23.59      14.36      -0.55         0.89            12.29
   0 H Highland        (13- 5, 84.7)    17-20      -15.18      22.77      -0.55         0.89           -13.99
   0 H Snow Canyon     ( 8- 9, 73.6)    21- 4      -26.28      11.67      -0.55         0.89             9.89
   0 H Canyon View     (11- 3, 76.6)    16- 9      -23.33      14.62      -0.55         0.89            12.52
   0 A Bear River      (21- 0, 88.0)     3-13      -11.86      26.08       0.55         0.89           -10.06
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       146.38

winning pts = 197.5562 losing points = -51.1789

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------