---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:59 PDT

safe3step girls Northmont 1
  
Northmont             
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 78.0313

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Summit CDS ( 4- 8, 82.1) 6- 7 404 H Chaminade-Julienne (10- 9, 80.5) 11-13 408 H Waynesville ( 6- 8, 77.6) 6- 7 409 A Oakwood ( 8- 9, 78.9) 7- 8 412 A Hilliard Bradley ( 8-10, 82.1) 4-12 415 H Beavercreek ( 7- 9, 86.7) 4-12 422 H Miamisburg ( 5-14, 77.0) 7- 6 424 H Tippecanoe ( 8- 5, 78.8) 6- 3 425 A Carroll ( 3-16, 73.2) 9- 4 428 H Oakwood ( 8- 9, 78.9) 10- 7 501 A Bellbrook (11- 6, 83.9) 8-14 505 A Edgewood ( 2-15, 73.5) 14-10 507 H Fairmont ( 6-12, 78.6) 2- 4 510 A Springboro (18- 3, 91.7) 3-19 512 H Tippecanoe ( 8- 5, 78.8) 5-10 513 A Centerville (11- 5, 89.0) 5-15 514 A Lebanon (12- 5, 89.0) 2-19 515 A Dublin Coffman (15- 4, 93.6) 1-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Summit CDS              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.42
   404 H Chaminade-Julienne     11-13      -2    -2          -0.22
   408 H Waynesville             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.11
   409 A Oakwood                 7- 8      -1    -2           0.54
   412 A Hilliard Bradley        4-12      -8    -5          -0.31
   415 H Beavercreek             4-12      -8    -8           0.00
   422 H Miamisburg              7- 6       1     2          -0.67
   424 H Tippecanoe              6- 3       3     0    +      3.11
   425 A Carroll                 9- 4       5     4           0.80
   428 H Oakwood                10- 7       3     0    +      3.21
   501 A Bellbrook               8-14      -6    -7           0.00
   505 A Edgewood               14-10       4     4           0.14
   507 H Fairmont                2- 4      -2     0    -     -2.05
   510 A Springboro              3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   512 H Tippecanoe              5-10      -5     0    --    -4.89
   513 A Centerville             5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   514 A Lebanon                 2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   515 A Dublin Coffman          1-21     -20   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Tippecanoe              5-10      -5     0    --    -4.89
   408 H Waynesville             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.11
   507 H Fairmont                2- 4      -2     0    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Summit CDS              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.42
   424 H Tippecanoe              6- 3       3     0    +      3.11
   428 H Oakwood                10- 7       3     0    +      3.21

Northmont Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson Anderson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Anderson
Anthony Wayne Anthony Wayne insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Anthony Wayne
Archbishop Alter Northmont Northmont   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Archbishop Hoban Archbishop Hoban   Archbishop Hoban
Archbishop McNicholas Archbishop McNicholas insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Archbishop McNicholas
Aurora Northmont   Northmont
Avon Avon   Avon
Avon Lake Avon Lake   Avon Lake
Bay Bay   Bay
Beaumont School Northmont   Northmont
Beavercreek Beavercreek Beavercreek  
Bellbrook Bellbrook Bellbrook  
Bexley Bexley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bexley
Big Walnut Big Walnut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Big Walnut
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 4) Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Hartley Bishop Hartley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bishop Hartley
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Watterson
Boardman Boardman   Boardman
Brecksville-Broadview Brecksville-Broadview   Brecksville-Broadview
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Buckeye Valley Northmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northmont
Canfield Canfield   Canfield
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Carroll Northmont Northmont  
Centerville Centerville Centerville  
Chagrin Falls Chagrin Falls   Chagrin Falls
Chaminade-Julienne Chaminade-Julienne Chaminade-Julienne  
Chardon Chardon   Chardon
Chillicothe Northmont tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Northmont
Cincinnati CDS Cincinnati CDS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cincinnati CDS
Cincinnati Hills Christi Cincinnati Hills Christi Cincinnati Hills Christi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clay Clay   Clay
Cleveland Heights Cleveland Heights   Cleveland Heights
Columbus Academy Columbus Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Columbus Academy
Columbus SG Columbus SG tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Columbus SG
Copley Copley   Copley
Cuyahoga Valley Christia Cuyahoga Valley Christia   Cuyahoga Valley Christia
Delaware Hayes Delaware Hayes   Delaware Hayes
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman  
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Dublin Jerome
Dublin Scioto Dublin Scioto Dublin Scioto   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Edgewood Northmont Northmont  
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fairfield
Fairmont Fairmont Fairmont  
Findlay Northmont   Northmont
Gahanna Lincoln Gahanna Lincoln tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gahanna Lincoln
Gilmour Academy Gilmour Academy   Gilmour Academy
GlenOak GlenOak   GlenOak
Granville Granville Granville   3- 2 vs 1- 5
Green Northmont   Northmont
Grove City Grove City insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Grove City
Hathaway Brown Hathaway Brown   Hathaway Brown
Hathaway Brown B Hathaway Brown B   Hathaway Brown B
Hawken School Hawken School   Hawken School
Highland Highland   Highland
Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley Hilliard Bradley  
Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby Hilliard Darby   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson Hilliard Davidson   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Holy Name Northmont   Northmont
Hoover North Canton Hoover North Canton   Hoover North Canton
Hudson Hudson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudson
Indian Hill Indian Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indian Hill
Jackson Massillon Jackson Massillon   Jackson Massillon
Jonathan Alder Jonathan Alder   Jonathan Alder
Kenston Kenston   Kenston
Kent Roosevelt Kent Roosevelt   Kent Roosevelt
Kings Kings Kings   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lake Lake   Lake
Lake Catholic Lake Catholic   Lake Catholic
Lakewood Northmont   Northmont
Lakota East Lakota East   Lakota East
Lakota West Lakota West tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakota West
Laurel School Northmont   Northmont
Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon  
Lima Northmont Northmont   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Little Miami Little Miami insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Little Miami
Louisville Northmont   Northmont
Loveland Loveland insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Loveland
Madeira Madeira Madeira   4- 1 vs 2- 4
Magnificat Magnificat   Magnificat
Mariemont Mariemont insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mariemont
Marysville Marysville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Marysville
Mason Mason tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mason
Maumee Valley CDS Northmont   Northmont
Medina Medina   Medina
Mentor Mentor   Mentor
Mercy McAuley Northmont tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northmont
Miami Valley School Miami Valley School   Miami Valley School
Miamisburg Northmont Northmont  
Milford Milford Milford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mt Notre Dame Mt Notre Dame   Mt Notre Dame
New Albany New Albany insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) New Albany
Newark Northmont   Northmont
Notre Dame Academy Northmont   Northmont
Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat   Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat
Oak Hills Northmont tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northmont
Oakwood Oakwood Oakwood   6- 2 vs 4- 5
Olentangy Olentangy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Olentangy
Olentangy Berlin Olentangy Berlin   Olentangy Berlin
Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty Olentangy Liberty   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Olentangy Orange Olentangy Orange insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Olentangy Orange
Olmsted Falls Olmsted Falls   Olmsted Falls
Orange Orange   Orange
Ottawa Hills Ottawa Hills   Ottawa Hills
Padua Franciscan Padua Franciscan   Padua Franciscan
Perrysburg Perrysburg   Perrysburg
Pickerington Central Pickerington Central Pickerington Central   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Pickerington North Pickerington North insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Pickerington North
Poland Seminary Poland Seminary   Poland Seminary
Princeton Northmont Northmont   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Revere Revere   Revere
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Rocky River Rocky River   Rocky River
Roger Bacon Northmont insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Northmont
Seton School Seton School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Seton School
Seven Hills School Seven Hills School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Seven Hills School
Shaker Heights Shaker Heights   Shaker Heights
Solon Solon   Solon
Southeast Northmont   Northmont
Springboro Springboro Springboro  
St Francis DeSales St Francis DeSales   St Francis DeSales
St Joseph Academy St Joseph Academy   St Joseph Academy
St Ursula Cincinnati St Ursula Cincinnati tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Ursula Cincinnati
St Ursula Toledo St Ursula Toledo   St Ursula Toledo
St Vincent-St Mary St Vincent-St Mary   St Vincent-St Mary
Stow-Munroe Falls Stow-Munroe Falls   Stow-Munroe Falls
Strongsville Strongsville   Strongsville
Summit CDS Summit CDS Summit CDS  
Sycamore Sycamore insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sycamore
Sylvania Northview Sylvania Northview   Sylvania Northview
Sylvania Southview Northmont   Northmont
Thomas Worthington Thomas Worthington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Thomas Worthington
Tippecanoe Tippecanoe tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 3) Tippecanoe
Toledo Central Catholic Northmont   Northmont
Turpin Turpin insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Turpin
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Upper Arlington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Wadsworth Wadsworth   Wadsworth
Walnut Hills Walnut Hills Walnut Hills   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Walsh Jesuit Walsh Jesuit   Walsh Jesuit
Waynesville Waynesville Waynesville  
Wellington School Northmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northmont
West Geauga Northmont   Northmont
Western Reserve Academy Western Reserve Academy   Western Reserve Academy
Westerville Central Northmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northmont
Westerville North Northmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northmont
Westerville South Northmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northmont
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Worthington Kilbourne
Wyoming Wyoming insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Wyoming

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Summit CDS      ( 4- 8, 82.1)     6- 7      -17.79      13.90      -0.66         0.93           -17.16
   0 H Chaminade-Juli  (10- 9, 80.5)    11-13      -19.43      12.26      -0.66         0.93           -18.68
   0 H Waynesville     ( 6- 8, 77.6)     6- 7      -22.31       9.37      -0.66         0.93           -21.36
   0 A Oakwood         ( 8- 9, 78.9)     7- 8      -20.99      10.69       0.66         0.93           -18.90
   0 A Hilliard Bradl  ( 8-10, 82.1)     4-12      -17.84      13.84       0.66         0.93           -15.97
   0 H Beavercreek     ( 7- 9, 86.7)     4-12      -13.19      18.49      -0.66         0.93           -12.88
   0 H Miamisburg      ( 5-14, 77.0)     7- 6      -22.87       8.81      -0.66         0.93             7.58
   0 H Tippecanoe      ( 8- 5, 78.8)     6- 3      -21.10      10.59      -0.66         0.93             9.23
   0 A Carroll         ( 3-16, 73.2)     9- 4      -26.73       4.96       0.66         0.93             5.23
   0 H Oakwood         ( 8- 9, 78.9)    10- 7      -20.99      10.69      -0.66         0.93             9.32
   0 A Bellbrook       (11- 6, 83.9)     8-14      -16.00      15.68       0.66         0.93           -14.26
   0 A Edgewood        ( 2-15, 73.5)    14-10      -26.39       5.30       0.66         0.93             5.54
   0 H Fairmont        ( 6-12, 78.6)     2- 4      -21.25      10.43      -0.66         0.93           -20.38
   0 A Springboro      (18- 3, 91.7)     3-19       -8.22      23.46       0.66         0.93            -7.03
   0 H Tippecanoe      ( 8- 5, 78.8)     5-10      -21.10      10.59      -0.66         0.93           -20.23
   0 A Centerville     (11- 5, 89.0)     5-15      -10.92      20.77       0.66         0.93            -9.53
   0 A Lebanon         (12- 5, 89.0)     2-19      -10.91      20.77       0.66         0.93            -9.53
   0 A Dublin Coffman  (15- 4, 93.6)     1-21       -6.31      25.37       0.66         0.93            -5.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -154.28

winning pts = 36.8980 losing points = -191.1791

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------