---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Bear River 1
  
Bear River            
W-L: (21- 0) PR = 88.0371

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 310 A Bonneville ( 4-14, 76.8) 20- 3 311 H Hillcrest ( 9-12, 77.3) 18- 3 314 H Box Elder (11-10, 82.1) 24- 4 319 H Logan ( 8-11, 74.9) 18- 1 321 H Cedar Valley (13- 8, 82.4) 16- 4 326 H Mountain Crest ( 4-14, 73.7) 25- 0 328 A Green Canyon ( 3-13, 73.0) 22- 0 409 A Ridgeline (10- 7, 77.9) 22- 6 411 H West Field ( 2-17, 70.4) 28- 2 412 H Viewmont (15- 4, 82.2) 14- 6 416 A Sky View (10- 7, 77.0) 13- 5 418 A Logan ( 8-11, 74.9) 24- 4 425 A Mountain Crest ( 4-14, 73.7) 27- 1 430 H Green Canyon ( 3-13, 73.0) 22- 3 502 H Ridgeline (10- 7, 77.9) 18- 2 507 A West Field ( 2-17, 70.4) 24- 2 509 H Sky View (10- 7, 77.0) 13- 3 515 H Desert Hills ( 5-12, 72.3) 25- 2 517 H Sky View (10- 7, 77.0) 16- 3 520 H Provo (16- 4, 83.7) 13- 3 522 H Waterford (14- 4, 86.5) 8- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Bonneville             20- 3      17    11           0.00
   311 H Hillcrest              18- 3      15    11           0.00
   314 H Box Elder              24- 4      20     7           0.00
   319 H Logan                  18- 1      17    14           0.00
   321 H Cedar Valley           16- 4      12     6           0.00
   326 H Mountain Crest         25- 0      25    15           0.00
   328 A Green Canyon           22- 0      22    15           0.00
   409 A Ridgeline              22- 6      16    10           0.00
   411 H West Field             28- 2      26    18           0.00
   412 H Viewmont               14- 6       8     6           0.00
   416 A Sky View               13- 5       8    10           0.00
   418 A Logan                  24- 4      20    13           0.00
   425 A Mountain Crest         27- 1      26    14           0.00
   430 H Green Canyon           22- 3      19    16           0.00
   502 H Ridgeline              18- 2      16    11           0.00
   507 A West Field             24- 2      22    17           0.00
   509 H Sky View               13- 3      10    12           0.00
   515 H Desert Hills           25- 2      23    16           0.00
   517 H Sky View               16- 3      13    12           0.00
   520 H Provo                  13- 3      10     5           0.16
   522 H Waterford               8- 6       2     2          -0.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Bear River Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Bear River Bear River   3- 0 vs 1- 2
American Fork Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Bear River
Bingham Bear River   Bear River
Bonneville Bear River Bear River  
Bountiful Bear River Bear River   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Box Elder Bear River Bear River  
Brighton Brighton tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Brighton
Canyon View Bear River insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Bear River
Cedar Bear River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bear River
Cedar Valley Bear River Bear River  
Clearfield Bear River insuffient: ( 7- 0)( 6- 1) Bear River
Copper Hills Bear River insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Bear River
Corner Canyon Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bear River
Crimson Cliffs Bear River Bear River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davis Davis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Davis
Desert Hills Bear River Bear River  
East Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bear River
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Farmington
Fremont Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bear River
Green Canyon Bear River Bear River  
Herriman Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bear River
Highland Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bear River
Hillcrest Bear River Bear River  
Hurricane Bear River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bear River
Jordan Bear River Bear River   5- 0 vs 2- 4
Juan Diego Catholic Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Bear River
Judge Memorial Bear River insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) Bear River
Layton Bear River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bear River
Lehi Bear River tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bear River
Logan Bear River Bear River  
Lone Peak Lone Peak   Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Bear River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bear River
Mountain Crest Bear River Bear River  
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge   Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bear River
Northridge Bear River Bear River   7- 0 vs 2- 5
Olympus Olympus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Olympus
Orem Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Bear River
Park City Park City tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Park City
Payson Bear River Bear River   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Pine View Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bear River
Pleasant Grove Bear River tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bear River
Provo Bear River Bear River  
Ridgeline Bear River Bear River  
Riverton Riverton   Riverton
Roy Bear River Bear River   7- 0 vs 2- 5
Salem Hills Salem Hills tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Salem Hills
Sky View Bear River Bear River  
Skyline Bear River   Bear River
Skyridge Skyridge   Skyridge
Snow Canyon Bear River insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Bear River
Spanish Fork Bear River Bear River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Springville Bear River Bear River   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Syracuse Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bear River
Timpanogos Bear River Bear River   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Timpview Bear River Bear River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Uintah Bear River Bear River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Viewmont Bear River Bear River  
Wasatch Bear River tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 1) Bear River
Waterford Bear River Bear River  
Weber Bear River Bear River   3- 0 vs 1- 3
West Bear River   Bear River
West Field Bear River Bear River  
West Jordan Bear River tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) Bear River
Westlake Bear River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bear River
Woods Cross Bear River tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Bear River

PowerWise = 56


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.79

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bonneville      ( 4-14, 76.8)    20- 3      -23.15      14.80       0.55         0.85            13.00
   0 H Hillcrest       ( 9-12, 77.3)    18- 3      -22.59      15.36      -0.55         0.85            12.55
   0 H Box Elder       (11-10, 82.1)    24- 4      -17.82      20.12      -0.55         0.85            16.58
   0 H Logan           ( 8-11, 74.9)    18- 1      -25.03      12.92      -0.55         0.85            10.48
   0 H Cedar Valley    (13- 8, 82.4)    16- 4      -17.46      20.49      -0.55         0.85            16.89
   0 H Mountain Crest  ( 4-14, 73.7)    25- 0      -26.15      11.79      -0.55         0.85             9.53
   0 A Green Canyon    ( 3-13, 73.0)    22- 0      -26.93      11.02       0.55         0.85             9.80
   0 A Ridgeline       (10- 7, 77.9)    22- 6      -21.98      15.96       0.55         0.85            13.99
   0 H West Field      ( 2-17, 70.4)    28- 2      -29.45       8.49      -0.55         0.85             6.73
   0 H Viewmont        (15- 4, 82.2)    14- 6      -17.70      20.25      -0.55         0.85            16.69
   0 A Sky View        (10- 7, 77.0)    13- 5      -22.86      15.08       0.55         0.85            13.24
   0 A Logan           ( 8-11, 74.9)    24- 4      -25.03      12.92       0.55         0.85            11.41
   0 A Mountain Crest  ( 4-14, 73.7)    27- 1      -26.15      11.79       0.55         0.85            10.46
   0 H Green Canyon    ( 3-13, 73.0)    22- 3      -26.93      11.02      -0.55         0.85             8.87
   0 H Ridgeline       (10- 7, 77.9)    18- 2      -21.98      15.96      -0.55         0.85            13.06
   0 A West Field      ( 2-17, 70.4)    24- 2      -29.45       8.49       0.55         0.85             7.66
   0 H Sky View        (10- 7, 77.0)    13- 3      -22.86      15.08      -0.55         0.85            12.31
   0 H Desert Hills    ( 5-12, 72.3)    25- 2      -27.56      10.39      -0.55         0.85             8.34
   0 H Sky View        (10- 7, 77.0)    16- 3      -22.86      15.08      -0.55         0.85            12.31
   0 H Provo           (16- 4, 83.7)    13- 3      -16.16      21.79      -0.55         0.85            18.00
   0 H Waterford       (14- 4, 86.5)     8- 6      -13.43      24.52      -0.55         0.85            20.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       262.21

winning pts = 262.2074 losing points = 0.0000

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------