---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:00 PDT

safe3step girls Evangelical Christian 1
  
Evangelical Christia  
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 91.0132

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Bartlett ( 2- 8, 83.0) 16- 7 325 A St Benedict ( 0-13, 73.3) 22- 0 327 A Arlington ( 1- 7, 78.8) 25- 2 328 H White Station ( 1-11, 83.5) 16- 6 401 A St Marys Episcopal ( 9- 5, 95.4) 9-20 404 A St Cecilia Academy ( 2- 7, 81.8) 18- 5 405 A Pope John Paul II ( 1-14, 84.1) 14-12 407 H Houston ( 9- 7, 90.7) 15-16 408 H Hutchison School (10- 6, 93.8) 6-10 414 A St Agnes Academy ( 2- 9, 82.6) 22- 3 415 A St Georges ( 5- 7, 86.2) 13- 9 422 A Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 16- 7 425 H Christ Presbyterian Ac ( 5- 7, 85.9) 17- 5 429 H Lausanne Collegiate ( 9- 8, 87.0) 17- 5 502 H St Benedict ( 0-13, 73.3) 12- 2 503 H Webb School Knoxville ( 5- 9, 83.6) 18- 4 510 H Christian Academy Knox (13- 5, 87.6) 23- 6 516 N University School Nash (11- 7, 88.0) 21- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Bartlett               16- 7       9     7           0.00
   325 A St Benedict            22- 0      22    17           0.00
   327 A Arlington              25- 2      23    12           0.00
   328 H White Station          16- 6      10     8           0.00
   401 A St Marys Episcopal      9-20     -11    -5          -0.02
   404 A St Cecilia Academy     18- 5      13     9           0.00
   405 A Pope John Paul II      14-12       2     6    -     -3.00
   407 H Houston                15-16      -1     1          -1.84
   408 H Hutchison School        6-10      -4    -2          -1.76
   414 A St Agnes Academy       22- 3      19     8           0.00
   415 A St Georges             13- 9       4     4          -0.25
   422 A Collierville           16- 7       9     0    ++     4.90
   425 H Christ Presbyterian Ac 17- 5      12     6           0.00
   429 H Lausanne Collegiate    17- 5      12     5           0.39
   502 H St Benedict            12- 2      10    18           0.00
   503 H Webb School Knoxville  18- 4      14     8           0.00
   510 H Christian Academy Knox 23- 6      17     4           0.98
   516 N University School Nash 21- 8      13     3    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Pope John Paul II      14-12       2     6    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Collierville           16- 7       9     0    ++     4.90
   516 N University School Nash 21- 8      13     3    +      2.00

Evangelical Christian Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Bartlett Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Baylor School Evangelical Christian tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Evangelical Christian
Bearden Evangelical Christian tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Evangelical Christian
Bradley Central Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Brentwood Brentwood tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Brentwood
Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian   8- 1 vs 6- 3
Centennial Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Evangelical Christian
Christ Presbyterian Acad Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Christian Academy Knoxvi Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Collierville Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Cookeville Cookeville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cookeville
Dobyns Bennett Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Ensworth Ensworth Ensworth   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Farragut Evangelical Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evangelical Christian
Father Ryan Father Ryan tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Father Ryan
Franklin Franklin Franklin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Franklin Road Academy Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Gatlinburg Pittman Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Girls Preparatory School Evangelical Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evangelical Christian
Green Hill Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Heritage Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hillsboro Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
Houston Houston Houston  
Hunters Lane Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
Hutchison School Hutchison School Hutchison School  
Independence Evangelical Christian tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Evangelical Christian
Knoxville Catholic Evangelical Christian tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Evangelical Christian
Lausanne Collegiate Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Maryville Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
Ooltewah Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Page Page insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Page
Pigeon Forge Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Pope John Paul II Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Ravenwood Ravenwood Ravenwood   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Science Hill Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
Sevier County Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Seymour Seymour tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Seymour
Signal Mountain Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Soddy Daisy Evangelical Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evangelical Christian
St Agnes Academy Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
St Benedict Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
St Cecilia Academy Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
St Georges Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Summit Evangelical Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Evangelical Christian
University School Nashvi Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
Upperman Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Walker Valley Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
Webb School Bell Buckle Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian
Webb School Knoxville Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
West Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Evangelical Christian
White Station Evangelical Christian Evangelical Christian  
William Blount Evangelical Christian insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Evangelical Christian
Wilson Central Evangelical Christian   Evangelical Christian

PowerWise = 43


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bartlett        ( 2- 8, 83.0)    16- 7      -16.95       9.87       0.56         0.72             7.46
   0 A St Benedict     ( 0-13, 73.3)    22- 0      -26.56       1.00       0.56         0.72             1.12
   0 A Arlington       ( 1- 7, 78.8)    25- 2      -21.15       5.67       0.56         0.72             4.46
   0 H White Station   ( 1-11, 83.5)    16- 6      -16.38      10.44      -0.56         0.72             7.06
   0 A St Marys Episc  ( 9- 5, 95.4)     9-20       -4.47      22.35       0.56         0.72            -2.79
   0 A St Cecilia Aca  ( 2- 7, 81.8)    18- 5      -18.09       8.73       0.56         0.72             6.65
   0 A Pope John Paul  ( 1-14, 84.1)    14-12      -15.83      10.99       0.56         0.72             8.26
   0 H Houston         ( 9- 7, 90.7)    15-16       -9.16      17.66      -0.56         0.72            -6.96
   0 H Hutchison Scho  (10- 6, 93.8)     6-10       -6.08      20.74      -0.56         0.72            -4.76
   0 A St Agnes Acade  ( 2- 9, 82.6)    22- 3      -17.35       9.48       0.56         0.72             7.18
   0 A St Georges      ( 5- 7, 86.2)    13- 9      -13.70      13.12       0.56         0.72             9.79
   0 A Collierville    ( 9- 8, 90.4)    16- 7       -9.55      17.27       0.56         0.72            12.76
   0 H Christ Presbyt  ( 5- 7, 85.9)    17- 5      -14.03      12.79      -0.56         0.72             8.75
   0 H Lausanne Colle  ( 9- 8, 87.0)    17- 5      -12.94      13.88      -0.56         0.72             9.53
   0 H St Benedict     ( 0-13, 73.3)    12- 2      -26.56       1.00      -0.56         0.72             0.31
   0 H Webb School Kn  ( 5- 9, 83.6)    18- 4      -16.31      10.51      -0.56         0.72             7.12
   0 H Christian Acad  (13- 5, 87.6)    23- 6      -12.34      14.48      -0.56         0.72             9.96
   0 N University Sch  (11- 7, 88.0)    21- 8      -11.88      14.94      -0.00         0.72            10.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        96.59

winning pts = 111.0992 losing points = -14.5075

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------