---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Patton 1
  
Patton                
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 72.0182

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 14- 4 227 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 7- 9 304 H TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 5-15 313 A Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 2-10 318 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 7-10 325 A North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 6- 9 327 A Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 12- 6 408 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 2-14 415 A South Iredell ( 8-12, 77.1) 7-22 416 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 6-21 429 H Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 1-17 501 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 5-15 506 H North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 6-18 516 H Community School David (11- 7, 81.2) 2-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Watauga                14- 4      10     5           0.19
   227 H St Stephens             7- 9      -2    -3           1.02
   304 H TC Roberson             5-15     -10    -4          -0.68
   313 A Asheville HS            2-10      -8   -10           0.00
   318 H Hickory                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00
   325 A North Lincoln           6- 9      -3    -3           0.21
   327 A Watauga                12- 6       6     4           0.80
   408 A TC Roberson             2-14     -12    -5          -0.07
   415 A South Iredell           7-22     -15    -5           0.00
   416 A St Stephens             6-21     -15    -4          -1.37
   429 H Asheville HS            1-17     -16    -9           0.00
   501 A Hickory                 5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   506 H North Lincoln           6-18     -12    -3    -     -2.40
   516 H Community School David  2-20     -18    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H North Lincoln           6-18     -12    -3    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Hickory                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00

Patton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Asheville School Asheville School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Patton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Patton
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary HS Patton   Patton
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christ the King
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso Community School Davidso  
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Patton   Patton
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Patton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Patton
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central Patton   Patton
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough Hough   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hunt Hunt   Hunt
Independence Patton   Patton
Jack Britt Patton   Patton
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Patton tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Patton
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mooresville
Mount Tabor Patton   Patton
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Pine Forest Patton   Patton
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Patton   Patton
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham   Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Patton   Patton
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell South Iredell  
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga Patton Patton  
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Forsyth
West Stokes Patton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Patton
White Oak Patton   Patton
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 15


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Watauga         ( 1-14, 67.5)    14- 4      -32.38       7.42      -0.31         1.20             8.57
   0 H St Stephens     (10- 9, 75.3)     7- 9      -24.56      15.25      -0.31         1.20           -29.95
   0 H TC Roberson     ( 5- 7, 76.6)     5-15      -23.26      16.55      -0.31         1.20           -28.39
   0 A Asheville HS    (15- 3, 81.4)     2-10      -18.51      21.29       0.31         1.20           -21.94
   0 H Hickory         (12- 6, 77.5)     7-10      -22.41      17.40      -0.31         1.20           -27.36
   0 A North Lincoln   ( 8-10, 74.9)     6- 9      -24.98      14.83       0.31         1.20           -29.73
   0 A Watauga         ( 1-14, 67.5)    12- 6      -32.38       7.42       0.31         1.20             9.31
   0 A TC Roberson     ( 5- 7, 76.6)     2-14      -23.26      16.55       0.31         1.20           -27.65
   0 A South Iredell   ( 8-12, 77.1)     7-22      -22.84      16.97       0.31         1.20           -27.15
   0 A St Stephens     (10- 9, 75.3)     6-21      -24.56      15.25       0.31         1.20           -29.22
   0 H Asheville HS    (15- 3, 81.4)     1-17      -18.51      21.29      -0.31         1.20           -22.67
   0 A Hickory         (12- 6, 77.5)     5-15      -22.41      17.40       0.31         1.20           -26.63
   0 H North Lincoln   ( 8-10, 74.9)     6-18      -24.98      14.83      -0.31         1.20           -30.46
   0 H Community Scho  (11- 7, 81.2)     2-20      -18.66      21.14      -0.31         1.20           -22.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -306.10

winning pts = 17.8798 losing points = -323.9758

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------