---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Lake Forest 1
  
Lake Forest           
W-L: ( 0- 9) PR = 69.6252

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 A Concord ( 9- 7, 83.2) 2-15 328 A Dover ( 4-11, 76.1) 6-16 402 A Indian River ( 6- 6, 82.9) 1-22 404 A Polytech ( 1-13, 74.4) 6-17 409 H Dover ( 4-11, 76.1) 7-15 411 A Smyrna (10- 7, 85.7) 2-20 414 H Sussex Academy (10- 6, 91.4) 0-19 428 H Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 4-23 509 A Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Concord                 2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   328 A Dover                   6-16     -10    -7           0.00
   402 A Indian River            1-22     -21   -13           0.00
   404 A Polytech                6-17     -11    -5          -0.13
   409 H Dover                   7-15      -8    -6           0.00
   411 A Smyrna                  2-20     -18   -16           0.00
   414 H Sussex Academy          0-19     -19   -22           0.00
   428 H Milford                 4-23     -19   -18           0.00
   509 A Milford                 2-21     -19   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Lake Forest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Glasglow Glasglow   Glasglow
Appoquinimink Appoquinimink insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Appoquinimink
Archmere Academy Archmere Academy Archmere Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brandywine Brandywine insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Brandywine
Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Caravel Academy Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Christiana Christiana   Christiana
Concord Concord Concord  
Conrad School Conrad School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Conrad School
Delaware Military Academ Delaware Military Academ insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Delaware Military Academ
Dover Dover Dover  
Hodgson Vo-Tech Hodgson Vo-Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hodgson Vo-Tech
Indian River Indian River Indian River  
Middletown Middletown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Middletown
Milford Milford Milford  
Mt Pleasant Lake Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Forest
Newark Lake Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Forest
Newark Charter School Newark Charter School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Newark Charter School
Odessa Odessa insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Odessa
Padua Academy Padua Academy insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Padua Academy
Polytech Polytech Polytech  
Sanford School Sanford School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sanford School
Smyrna Smyrna Smyrna  
St Andrews St Andrews St Andrews   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Georges Tech St Georges Tech tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) St Georges Tech
St Marks St Marks St Marks   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Sussex Academy Sussex Academy Sussex Academy  
Sussex Tech Sussex Tech   Sussex Tech
Tatnall School Tatnall School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tatnall School
Tower Hill School Tower Hill School Tower Hill School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ursuline Academy
Wilmington Charter Wilmington Charter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilmington Charter
Wilmington Friends Wilmington Friends insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilmington Friends

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Concord         ( 9- 7, 83.2)     2-15      -16.70      16.90       0.05         1.54           -25.58
   0 A Dover           ( 4-11, 76.1)     6-16      -23.77       9.84       0.05         1.54           -36.43
   0 A Indian River    ( 6- 6, 82.9)     1-22      -17.03      16.58       0.05         1.54           -26.08
   0 A Polytech        ( 1-13, 74.4)     6-17      -25.46       8.15       0.05         1.54           -39.03
   0 H Dover           ( 4-11, 76.1)     7-15      -23.77       9.84      -0.05         1.54           -36.60
   0 A Smyrna          (10- 7, 85.7)     2-20      -14.18      19.43       0.05         1.54           -21.70
   0 H Sussex Academy  (10- 6, 91.4)     0-19       -8.47      25.14      -0.05         1.54           -13.09
   0 H Milford         (11- 6, 88.1)     4-23      -11.84      21.76      -0.05         1.54           -18.28
   0 A Milford         (11- 6, 88.1)     2-21      -11.84      21.76       0.05         1.54           -18.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -234.91

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -234.9102

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------