Asheville HS
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 81.3859Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 8- 3 227 A Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 1 304 A North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 9- 4 311 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 7- 2 313 H Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 10- 2 318 A Davidson Day School ( 9-10, 82.3) 9-11 325 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 10- 3 327 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 4- 2 401 H Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 3 403 A Asheville School ( 7- 1, 84.1) 7-10 408 H North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 14- 2 429 A Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 17- 1 501 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 12-11 506 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 9- 3 507 A Rabun Gap-Nocoochee ( 0- 4, 76.2) 8- 3 508 H TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 4- 3 516 A Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 4- 3 520 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 1-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Hickory 8- 3 5 4 0.80
227 A Watauga 16- 1 15 14 0.00
304 A North Lincoln 9- 4 5 6 0.00
311 A TC Roberson 7- 2 5 4 0.56
313 H Patton 10- 2 8 10 0.00
318 A Davidson Day School 9-11 -2 -1 -0.76
325 H St Stephens 10- 3 7 6 0.00
327 A Hickory 4- 2 2 4 -1.59
401 H Watauga 16- 3 13 14 0.00
403 A Asheville School 7-10 -3 -3 -0.01
408 H North Lincoln 14- 2 12 7 0.00
429 A Patton 17- 1 16 9 0.00
501 A Forsyth CDS 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.28
506 A St Stephens 9- 3 6 6 0.00
507 A Rabun Gap-Nocoochee 8- 3 5 5 0.10
508 H TC Roberson 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.00
516 A Southeast Guilford 4- 3 1 0 0.74
520 A Northwest Guilford 1-14 -13 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H TC Roberson 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Forsyth CDS 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.28 |
Asheville HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Arendell Parrott Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arendell Parrott Academy | |
| Asheville School | Asheville School | Asheville School | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Asheville HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Bishop McGuinness | |
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Cape Fear HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Cary Academy | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Cary HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte Latin School | |
| Christ the King | Christ the King | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christ the King | |
| Clayton | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Cleveland | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Community School Davidso | Asheville HS | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Corinth Holders | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School | ||
| Davie | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| DH Conley | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Enloe | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fayetteville Academy | |
| Fike | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| First Flight | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Glenn | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Asheville HS | |
| Grimsley | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| Havelock | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Heritage | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Hickory | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| High Point Central | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hopewell | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Hough | Hough | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Independence | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Jack Britt | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Jacksonville | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| Mount Tabor | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| North Davidson | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Lincoln | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Northern Guilford | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| Northside | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Page | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Panther Creek | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Parkwood | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Patton | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Pine Forest | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Asheville HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Providence | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Ragsdale | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Riverside Durham | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| RJ Reynolds | Asheville HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Rolesville | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Sanderson | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | South Brunswick | ||
| South Iredell | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Mecklenburg | |
| Southeast Guilford | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Southlake Christian | Asheville HS | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Asheville HS | |
| Southwest Guilford | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Asheville HS | |
| St Davids School | Asheville HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Stephens | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Sun Valley | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Terry Sanford | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | Wakefield | ||
| Watauga | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | West Forsyth | |
| West Stokes | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| White Oak | Asheville HS | Asheville HS | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 71
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 8- 3 -22.41 17.40 -0.31 0.94 16.02
0 A Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 1 -32.38 7.42 0.31 0.94 7.24
0 A North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 9- 4 -24.98 14.83 0.31 0.94 14.18
0 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 7- 2 -23.26 16.55 0.31 0.94 15.79
0 H Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 10- 2 -27.88 11.92 -0.31 0.94 10.89
0 A Davidson Day S ( 9-10, 82.3) 9-11 -17.58 22.23 0.31 0.94 -16.18
0 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 10- 3 -24.56 15.25 -0.31 0.94 14.00
0 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 4- 2 -22.41 17.40 0.31 0.94 16.59
0 H Watauga ( 1-14, 67.5) 16- 3 -32.38 7.42 -0.31 0.94 6.67
0 A Asheville Scho ( 7- 1, 84.1) 7-10 -15.83 23.97 0.31 0.94 -14.55
0 H North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 14- 2 -24.98 14.83 -0.31 0.94 13.61
0 A Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 17- 1 -27.88 11.92 0.31 0.94 11.46
0 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 12-11 -14.54 25.27 0.31 0.94 23.96
0 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 9- 3 -24.56 15.25 0.31 0.94 14.57
0 A Rabun Gap-Noco ( 0- 4, 76.2) 8- 3 -23.72 16.08 0.31 0.94 15.36
0 H TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 4- 3 -23.26 16.55 -0.31 0.94 15.22
0 A Southeast Guil (15- 5, 80.8) 4- 3 -19.08 20.72 0.31 0.94 19.71
0 A Northwest Guil (16- 5, 88.2) 1-14 -11.67 28.14 0.31 0.94 -10.65
------
173.87
|
winning pts = 215.2480 losing points = -41.3773
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------