Croatan
W-L: (13- 9) PR = 87.1611Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 16- 0 228 A JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 10-16 304 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 10-19 307 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 15- 6 311 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 12-13 313 H Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 10-12 314 A Wakefield (12- 9, 84.3) 18-14 319 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 13- 9 321 A Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 9- 8 322 A Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 12-14 328 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 9-18 408 H White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 16- 1 409 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 15-16 410 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 10- 7 415 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 12- 5 417 H New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 11-13 429 A Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 11- 5 502 A Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 10- 5 506 A White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 13- 5 516 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 18- 4 520 H South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 10- 7 523 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 A Northside 16- 0 16 11 0.00
228 A JH Rose 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.38
304 A Hoggard 10-19 -9 -5 -0.31
307 H First Flight 15- 6 9 8 0.00
311 A Laney 12-13 -1 1 -1.81
313 H Topsail 10-12 -2 -3 0.82
314 A Wakefield 18-14 4 3 1.40
319 A New Bern 13- 9 4 1 + 3.44
321 A Willow Spring 9- 8 1 0 0.58
322 A Pinecrest 12-14 -2 -3 1.16
328 H Union Pines 9-18 -9 -3 - -2.24
408 H White Oak 16- 1 15 17 0.00
409 A New Hanover 15-16 -1 -2 0.92
410 H Swansboro 10- 7 3 2 0.93
415 H Ashley 12- 5 7 3 1.86
417 H New Bern 11-13 -2 1 - -3.17
429 A Swansboro 11- 5 6 1 + 3.54
502 A Millbrook 10- 5 5 4 1.24
506 A White Oak 13- 5 8 17 0.00
516 H North Brunswick 18- 4 14 12 0.00
520 H South Brunswick 10- 7 3 5 - -2.00
523 A Union Pines 7-12 -5 -3 -1.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A JH Rose 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.38 328 H Union Pines 9-18 -9 -3 - -2.24 417 H New Bern 11-13 -2 1 - -3.17 520 H South Brunswick 10- 7 3 5 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A New Bern 13- 9 4 1 + 3.44 429 A Swansboro 11- 5 6 1 + 3.54 |
Croatan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Asheville HS | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Asheville School | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Ashley | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Athens Drive | Croatan | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Croatan | |
| Atkins | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Croatan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Croatan | |
| Broughton | Croatan | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Croatan | |
| Butler | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Croatan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | Croatan | |
| Cape Fear HS | Croatan | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Croatan | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Carrboro | Croatan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Cary Academy | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cary HS | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Clayton | Croatan | Croatan 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cleveland | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Community School Davidso | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Corinth Holders | Croatan | Croatan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Davie | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| DH Conley | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Croatan | |
| Durham Academy | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Enloe | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | ||
| Fike | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| First Flight | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Croatan | Croatan 4- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Garner | Croatan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Croatan | |
| Glenn | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Green Hope | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Green Level | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Greensboro Day School | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Grimsley | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Havelock | Croatan | Croatan 5- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Heritage | Croatan | Croatan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hickory | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| High Point Central | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Hopewell | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Hough | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Hunt | Croatan | Croatan 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Independence | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Jack Britt | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Croatan | |
| Jacksonville | Croatan | Croatan 4- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Croatan | Croatan 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Croatan | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Croatan | |
| Millbrook | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Mooresville | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Mount Tabor | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| North Davidson | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| North Lincoln | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Northern Guilford | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Northside | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Croatan | |
| Page | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Panther Creek | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Parkwood | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Patton | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Pine Forest | Croatan | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Croatan | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Providence | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Ragsdale | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| RJ Reynolds | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Rolesville | Croatan | Croatan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Sanderson | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Seaforth | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Croatan | |
| South Brunswick | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| South Iredell | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Southlake Christian | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| St Davids School | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| St Marys | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| St Stephens | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Sun Valley | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Swansboro | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| TC Roberson | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Terry Sanford | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Croatan | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Wake Forest | Croatan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Croatan | |
| Wakefield | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Watauga | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Croatan | Croatan 3- 4 vs 1- 7 | ||
| West Forsyth | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| West Stokes | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| White Oak | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Willow Spring | Croatan | Croatan |
PowerWise = 100
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 16- 0 -24.38 15.43 0.31 0.77 12.06
0 A JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 10-16 -12.43 27.38 0.31 0.77 -9.29
0 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 10-19 -8.36 31.45 0.31 0.77 -6.17
0 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 15- 6 -20.47 19.33 -0.31 0.77 14.59
0 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 12-13 -13.86 25.95 0.31 0.77 -10.39
0 H Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 10-12 -9.61 30.19 -0.31 0.77 -7.60
0 A Wakefield (12- 9, 84.3) 18-14 -15.65 24.16 0.31 0.77 18.75
0 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 13- 9 -13.60 26.20 0.31 0.77 20.32
0 A Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 9- 8 -13.47 26.34 0.31 0.77 20.43
0 A Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 12-14 -9.89 29.92 0.31 0.77 -7.34
0 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 9-18 -9.67 30.14 -0.31 0.77 -7.65
0 H White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 16- 1 -29.89 9.91 -0.31 0.77 7.37
0 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 15-16 -11.13 28.68 0.31 0.77 -8.30
0 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 10- 7 -14.51 25.30 -0.31 0.77 19.16
0 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 12- 5 -15.57 24.23 -0.31 0.77 18.34
0 H New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 11-13 -13.60 26.20 -0.31 0.77 -10.66
0 A Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 11- 5 -14.51 25.30 0.31 0.77 19.63
0 A Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 10- 5 -16.81 23.00 0.31 0.77 17.87
0 A White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 13- 5 -29.89 9.91 0.31 0.77 7.84
0 H North Brunswic ( 5-17, 75.3) 18- 4 -24.60 15.20 -0.31 0.77 11.42
0 H South Brunswic ( 6-11, 82.2) 10- 7 -17.65 22.15 -0.31 0.77 16.75
0 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 7-12 -9.67 30.14 0.31 0.77 -7.18
------
129.94
|
winning pts = 204.5218 losing points = -74.5851
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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