---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:38 PDT

safe3step girls Cactus Shadows 1
  
Cactus Shadows        
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 90.8749

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Salpoint Catholic ( 5- 8, 90.6) 10- 9 227 A Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 2-16 318 H Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 4-20 321 A Pinnacle ( 4- 9, 88.9) 16- 7 325 A Chaparral (11- 2, 96.4) 8-18 327 A Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 7-14 401 H Xavier College Prep ( 6- 6, 94.4) 4-14 409 H Higley ( 8- 5, 94.5) 4-16 414 A Notre Dame Prep ( 1-11, 86.9) 12- 8 416 H Chandler (14- 0, 99.9) 5-20 423 A Corona Del Sol ( 0-12, 86.0) 15- 6 430 A Desert Vista (11- 3, 95.3) 4-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Salpoint Catholic      10- 9       1     0           0.69
   227 A Chandler                2-16     -14    -9           0.00
   318 H Chaparral               4-20     -16    -5           0.00
   321 A Pinnacle               16- 7       9     2    +      3.01
   325 A Chaparral               8-18     -10    -6           0.00
   327 A Desert Vista            7-14      -7    -4          -0.53
   401 H Xavier College Prep     4-14     -10    -4          -1.49
   409 H Higley                  4-16     -12    -4          -1.35
   414 A Notre Dame Prep        12- 8       4     4           0.08
   416 H Chandler                5-20     -15    -9           0.00
   423 A Corona Del Sol         15- 6       9     5           0.10
   430 A Desert Vista            4-12      -8    -4          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Pinnacle               16- 7       9     2    +      3.01

Cactus Shadows Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Chandler Chandler Chandler  
Chaparral Chaparral Chaparral  
Corona Del Sol Cactus Shadows Cactus Shadows  
Desert Vista Desert Vista Desert Vista  
Higley Higley Higley  
Notre Dame Prep Cactus Shadows Cactus Shadows  
Pinnacle Cactus Shadows Cactus Shadows  
Salpoint Catholic Cactus Shadows Cactus Shadows  
Xavier College Prep Xavier College Prep Xavier College Prep  

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.80

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Salpoint Catho  ( 5- 8, 90.6)    10- 9       -9.32       4.61      -0.01         1.07             4.91
   0 A Chandler        (14- 0, 99.9)     2-16       -0.00      13.93       0.01         1.07            -0.01
   0 H Chaparral       (11- 2, 96.4)     4-20       -3.52      10.41      -0.01         1.07            -3.76
   0 A Pinnacle        ( 4- 9, 88.9)    16- 7      -11.02       2.91       0.01         1.07             3.11
   0 A Chaparral       (11- 2, 96.4)     8-18       -3.52      10.41       0.01         1.07            -3.74
   0 A Desert Vista    (11- 3, 95.3)     7-14       -4.56       9.37       0.01         1.07            -4.86
   0 H Xavier College  ( 6- 6, 94.4)     4-14       -5.50       8.43      -0.01         1.07            -5.88
   0 H Higley          ( 8- 5, 94.5)     4-16       -5.36       8.57      -0.01         1.07            -5.73
   0 A Notre Dame Pre  ( 1-11, 86.9)    12- 8      -12.95       1.00       0.01         1.07             1.08
   0 H Chandler        (14- 0, 99.9)     5-20       -0.00      13.93      -0.01         1.07            -0.01
   0 A Corona Del Sol  ( 0-12, 86.0)    15- 6      -13.93       1.00       0.01         1.07             1.08
   0 A Desert Vista    (11- 3, 95.3)     4-12       -4.56       9.37       0.01         1.07            -4.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -18.68

winning pts = 10.1736 losing points = -28.8551

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------