---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Moorhead 1
  
Moorhead              
W-L: (12- 4) PR = 87.1383

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 14- 7 412 A Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 12- 6 415 H Rocori ( 4-10, 74.3) 16- 1 418 A Buffalo (11- 4, 91.7) 6-13 419 A Gentry/Mounds Park Aca ( 7- 3, 89.6) 2-21 424 A Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 14- 1 426 H Rogers ( 7- 7, 87.5) 9- 7 429 A St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 12- 1 508 H St Michael-Albertville ( 9- 6, 89.2) 8- 7 510 A Southwest Christian ( 8- 7, 85.1) 5- 7 513 H Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 10- 6 519 H St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 8- 2 520 A Grand Rapids-Greenway ( 8- 6, 84.9) 9- 6 529 H Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 17- 2 603 H St Michael-Albertville ( 9- 6, 89.2) 7- 6 605 H Elk River/Zimmerman (12- 6, 90.2) 2- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Mounds View            14- 7       7     4           0.89
   412 A Monticello             12- 6       6     4           1.10
   415 H Rocori                 16- 1      15    13           0.00
   418 A Buffalo                 6-13      -7    -5           0.00
   419 A Gentry/Mounds Park Aca  2-21     -19    -3          -1.92
   424 A Brainerd               14- 1      13     7           0.00
   426 H Rogers                  9- 7       2     0           1.77
   429 A St Cloud Area          12- 1      11     8           0.00
   508 H St Michael-Albertville  8- 7       1    -1    +      2.45
   510 A Southwest Christian     5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.49
   513 H Brainerd               10- 6       4     8          -1.00
   519 H St Cloud Area           8- 2       6    10           0.00
   520 A Grand Rapids-Greenway   9- 6       3     2           1.32
   529 H Brainerd               17- 2      15     8           0.00
   603 H St Michael-Albertville  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.45
   605 H Elk River/Zimmerman     2- 5      -3    -2          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Southwest Christian     5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H St Michael-Albertville  8- 7       1    -1    +      2.45
   603 H St Michael-Albertville  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.45

Moorhead Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Moorhead
Anoka Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Moorhead
Apple Valley Moorhead   Moorhead
Becker Moorhead Moorhead   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets   Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Moorhead Moorhead   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Blaine Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Blake School Blake School   Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Moorhead   Moorhead
Brainerd Moorhead Moorhead  
Breck School Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo  
Centennial Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Moorhead
Champlin Park Champlin Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen   Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska   Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Moorhead   Moorhead
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Moorhead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Moorhead
Duluth Marshall Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Moorhead
East Ridge East Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Moorhead   Moorhead
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Forest Lake Moorhead Moorhead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade  
Grand Rapids-Greenway Moorhead Moorhead  
Hastings Moorhead   Moorhead
Hermantown-Proctor Moorhead insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Moorhead
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray   Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Moorhead   Moorhead
Holy Family Catholic Moorhead tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Moorhead
Hopkins Moorhead tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Moorhead
Hutchinson Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Moorhead
Irondale Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Lakeville North Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Lakeville South Lakeville South   Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Moorhead   Moorhead
Maple Grove Maple Grove insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Moorhead   Moorhead
Minnetonka Minnetonka insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Minnetonka
Monticello Moorhead Moorhead  
Mound Westonka Moorhead insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Moorhead
Mounds View Moorhead Moorhead  
New Prague Moorhead   Moorhead
Northfield Moorhead   Moorhead
Orono Orono insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Moorhead
Owatonna Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Moorhead
Rochester Century Moorhead   Moorhead
Rochester JM/Lourdes Moorhead   Moorhead
Rochester Mayo Moorhead   Moorhead
Rocori Moorhead Moorhead  
Rogers Moorhead Moorhead  
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville Roseville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Moorhead Moorhead   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Shakopee Shakopee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shakopee
Simley Moorhead   Moorhead
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian Southwest Christian  
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Moorhead   Moorhead
St Cloud Area Moorhead Moorhead  
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   St Croix Prep
St Louis Park Moorhead   Moorhead
St Michael-Albertville Moorhead Moorhead  
St Paul Academy Moorhead   Moorhead
St Paul/Two Rivers Moorhead   Moorhead
Stillwater Stillwater tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Moorhead   Moorhead
Totino-Grace Moorhead insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Moorhead
Visitation Moorhead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moorhead
Waconia Moorhead   Moorhead
Wayzata Wayzata insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Moorhead tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Moorhead

PowerWise = 52


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mounds View     ( 4-10, 82.4)    14- 7      -17.47      15.59       0.59         0.92            14.85
   0 A Monticello      ( 6- 8, 82.6)    12- 6      -17.26      15.80       0.59         0.92            15.04
   0 H Rocori          ( 4-10, 74.3)    16- 1      -25.64       7.42      -0.59         0.92             6.27
   0 A Buffalo         (11- 4, 91.7)     6-13       -8.20      24.86       0.59         0.92            -6.98
   0 A Gentry/Mounds   ( 7- 3, 89.6)     2-21      -10.28      22.78       0.59         0.92            -8.89
   0 A Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)    14- 1      -20.17      12.89       0.59         0.92            12.37
   0 H Rogers          ( 7- 7, 87.5)     9- 7      -12.40      20.66      -0.59         0.92            18.41
   0 A St Cloud Area   ( 7- 8, 78.2)    12- 1      -21.69      11.37       0.59         0.92            10.98
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 9- 6, 89.2)     8- 7      -10.72      22.34      -0.59         0.92            19.95
   0 A Southwest Chri  ( 8- 7, 85.1)     5- 7      -14.84      18.22       0.59         0.92           -13.08
   0 H Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)    10- 6      -20.17      12.89      -0.59         0.92            11.28
   0 H St Cloud Area   ( 7- 8, 78.2)     8- 2      -21.69      11.37      -0.59         0.92             9.89
   0 A Grand Rapids-G  ( 8- 6, 84.9)     9- 6      -15.03      18.03       0.59         0.92            17.09
   0 H Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)    17- 2      -20.17      12.89      -0.59         0.92            11.28
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 9- 6, 89.2)     7- 6      -10.72      22.34      -0.59         0.92            19.95
   0 H Elk River/Zimm  (12- 6, 90.2)     2- 5       -9.70      23.36      -0.59         0.92            -9.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       128.98

winning pts = 167.3686 losing points = -38.3892

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------