---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Jenison 1
  
Jenison               
W-L: ( 2-16) PR = 77.1774

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Grand Rapids Christian ( 7-10, 86.6) 5-20 321 A Kalamazoo Central ( 1- 9, 76.2) 11- 9 324 H Lowell ( 7-11, 87.4) 2-19 326 A Grand Haven ( 5-11, 83.4) 2-16 327 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 11-12 331 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 1-14 416 A Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 2-25 418 A Mona Shores (15- 7, 90.6) 3-18 423 A Holland West Ottawa ( 3-14, 79.4) 9-19 425 A Zeeland East ( 5-14, 82.3) 2-19 428 H Northview (13- 3, 93.4) 1-15 430 A Byron Center (12- 6, 89.6) 6-19 505 H Zeeland East ( 5-14, 82.3) 11-19 507 H Caledonia ( 9- 7, 89.5) 6-15 508 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 12-21 512 H Kalamazoo Central ( 1- 9, 76.2) 11-12 513 H Holland West Ottawa ( 3-14, 79.4) 12-11 516 A Zeeland East ( 5-14, 82.3) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Grand Rapids Christian  5-20     -15    -9           0.00
   321 A Kalamazoo Central      11- 9       2     0           1.68
   324 H Lowell                  2-19     -17   -10           0.00
   326 A Grand Haven             2-16     -14    -7           0.00
   327 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    11-12      -1    -3           1.83
   331 H Hudsonville             1-14     -13   -12           0.00
   416 A Grandville              2-25     -23   -10           0.00
   418 A Mona Shores             3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   423 A Holland West Ottawa     9-19     -10    -3    -     -2.14
   425 A Zeeland East            2-19     -17    -6           0.00
   428 H Northview               1-15     -14   -16           0.00
   430 A Byron Center            6-19     -13   -13           0.00
   505 H Zeeland East           11-19      -8    -5          -0.49
   507 H Caledonia               6-15      -9   -12           0.00
   508 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    12-21      -9    -4          -0.93
   512 H Kalamazoo Central      11-12      -1     2    -     -2.56
   513 H Holland West Ottawa    12-11       1    -2    +      2.62
   516 A Zeeland East            6-14      -8    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Holland West Ottawa     9-19     -10    -3    -     -2.14
   512 H Kalamazoo Central      11-12      -1     2    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Holland West Ottawa    12-11       1    -2    +      2.62

Jenison Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Jenison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jenison
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Jenison   Jenison
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center  
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia  
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Jenison   Jenison
Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley   Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Davison   Davison
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter   Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op   Fenton-Linden Co-Op
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic   Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Flushing   Flushing
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   5- 2 vs 2- 7
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven Grand Haven  
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian  
Grandville Grandville Grandville  
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haslett
Henry Ford II Jenison   Jenison
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa tied - ( 1-11) ( 1-10) Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Jenison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jenison
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holt
Howell Howell tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville  
Kalamazoo Central Jenison insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Jenison
Lake Fenton Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lakeview Jenison   Jenison
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Jenison   Jenison
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell  
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan   3- 3 vs 1- 8
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Midland insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores  
Northview Northview Northview  
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Okemos
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern Portage Northern   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United   South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake Spring Lake   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Catherine of Siena Jenison   Jenison
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens   Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Jenison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jenison
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Jenison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jenison
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East Zeeland East  

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Grand Rapids C  ( 7-10, 86.6)     5-20      -13.34      15.85      -0.62         0.89           -12.47
   0 A Kalamazoo Cent  ( 1- 9, 76.2)    11- 9      -23.66       5.53       0.62         0.89             5.49
   0 H Lowell          ( 7-11, 87.4)     2-19      -12.47      16.72      -0.62         0.89           -11.69
   0 A Grand Haven     ( 5-11, 83.4)     2-16      -16.50      12.69       0.62         0.89           -14.19
   0 H St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)    11-12      -19.27       9.92      -0.62         0.89           -17.77
   0 H Hudsonville     (16- 6, 89.6)     1-14      -10.25      18.94      -0.62         0.89            -9.72
   0 A Grandville      ( 8-12, 86.6)     2-25      -13.25      15.94       0.62         0.89           -11.28
   0 A Mona Shores     (15- 7, 90.6)     3-18       -9.28      19.91       0.62         0.89            -7.74
   0 A Holland West O  ( 3-14, 79.4)     9-19      -20.48       8.71       0.62         0.89           -17.74
   0 A Zeeland East    ( 5-14, 82.3)     2-19      -17.60      11.60       0.62         0.89           -15.17
   0 H Northview       (13- 3, 93.4)     1-15       -6.52      22.67      -0.62         0.89            -6.38
   0 A Byron Center    (12- 6, 89.6)     6-19      -10.34      18.85       0.62         0.89            -8.68
   0 H Zeeland East    ( 5-14, 82.3)    11-19      -17.60      11.60      -0.62         0.89           -16.28
   0 H Caledonia       ( 9- 7, 89.5)     6-15      -10.43      18.76      -0.62         0.89            -9.87
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)    12-21      -19.27       9.92       0.62         0.89           -16.66
   0 H Kalamazoo Cent  ( 1- 9, 76.2)    11-12      -23.66       5.53      -0.62         0.89           -21.70
   0 H Holland West O  ( 3-14, 79.4)    12-11      -20.48       8.71      -0.62         0.89             7.23
   0 A Zeeland East    ( 5-14, 82.3)     6-14      -17.60      11.60       0.62         0.89           -15.17
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -199.79

winning pts = 12.7239 losing points = -212.5126

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------