---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Northwood 1
  
Northwood             
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 76.0594

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 A Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 6- 5 317 H Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 8-14 319 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 0-16 324 H Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 14- 7 410 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 1-20 414 H Jordan ( 3-12, 77.0) 7-11 416 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 7-12 417 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 2-20 421 H Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 0-19 430 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 0-19 505 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 4-19 507 A Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 12-10 516 A Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 4-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Jordan                  6- 5       1    -1    +      2.21
   317 H Carrboro                8-14      -6    -3          -1.80
   319 A Chapel Hill             0-16     -16   -22           0.00
   324 H Riverside Durham       14- 7       7     2    +      3.31
   410 H Seaforth                1-20     -19    -8           0.00
   414 H Jordan                  7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.40
   416 A Carrboro                7-12      -5    -4          -1.19
   417 H East Chapel Hill        2-20     -18   -18           0.00
   421 H Chapel Hill             0-19     -19   -21           0.00
   430 H East Chapel Hill        0-19     -19   -18           0.00
   505 A Seaforth                4-19     -15    -9           0.00
   507 A Riverside Durham       12-10       2     1           0.92
   516 A Swansboro               4-21     -17   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Jordan                  7-11      -4    -1    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Jordan                  6- 5       1    -1    +      2.21
   324 H Riverside Durham       14- 7       7     2    +      3.31

Northwood Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broughton
Butler Northwood   Northwood
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cary Academy
Cary HS Northwood   Northwood
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Northwood   Northwood
Cleveland Northwood   Northwood
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
Davie Northwood   Northwood
DH Conley Northwood   Northwood
Durham Academy Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Northwood   Northwood
Enloe Northwood   Northwood
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Northwood   Northwood
Glenn Northwood   Northwood
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Northwood   Northwood
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Northwood   Northwood
Independence Northwood   Northwood
Jack Britt Northwood   Northwood
Jacksonville Northwood   Northwood
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jordan Jordan tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Northwood   Northwood
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Northwood   Northwood
Mount Tabor Northwood   Northwood
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Northwood   Northwood
North Davidson Northwood   Northwood
North Lincoln Northwood   Northwood
Northern Guilford Northwood   Northwood
Northside Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Northwood   Northwood
Patton Northwood   Northwood
Pine Forest Northwood   Northwood
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Northwood   Northwood
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Northwood Northwood  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Northwood   Northwood
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell   South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Marys
St Stephens Northwood   Northwood
Sun Valley Northwood   Northwood
Swansboro Swansboro Swansboro  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga Northwood   Northwood
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Northwood   Northwood
White Oak Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Jordan          ( 3-12, 77.0)     6- 5      -22.94      16.87       0.31         1.30            22.28
   0 H Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     8-14      -20.33      19.47      -0.31         1.30           -26.78
   0 A Chapel Hill     (21- 1, 97.3)     0-16       -2.63      37.18       0.31         1.30            -3.02
   0 H Riverside Durh  ( 1-16, 74.7)    14- 7      -25.23      14.58      -0.31         1.30            18.52
   0 H Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     1-20      -15.13      24.67      -0.31         1.30           -20.03
   0 H Jordan          ( 3-12, 77.0)     7-11      -22.94      16.87      -0.31         1.30           -30.15
   0 A Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     7-12      -20.33      19.47       0.31         1.30           -25.98
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     2-20       -5.77      34.03      -0.31         1.30            -7.88
   0 H Chapel Hill     (21- 1, 97.3)     0-19       -2.63      37.18      -0.31         1.30            -3.81
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     0-19       -5.77      34.03      -0.31         1.30            -7.88
   0 A Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     4-19      -15.13      24.67       0.31         1.30           -19.24
   0 A Riverside Durh  ( 1-16, 74.7)    12-10      -25.23      14.58       0.31         1.30            19.31
   0 A Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)     4-21      -14.51      25.30       0.31         1.30           -18.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -103.08

winning pts = 60.1046 losing points = -163.1889

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------