---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Cape Fear HS 1
  
Cape Fear HS          
W-L: ( 4- 7) PR = 72.6503

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 0-18 324 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 1-26 326 H Pine Forest ( 0-10, 64.4) 21- 0 331 H Terry Sanford ( 6- 9, 75.6) 5-18 407 A Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 1-26 408 H Jack Britt ( 4-16, 69.6) 8- 1 423 A Pine Forest ( 0-10, 64.4) 15- 2 424 A Jack Britt ( 4-16, 69.6) 6- 0 428 A Terry Sanford ( 6- 9, 75.6) 4-17 501 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 3-17 516 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 1-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Pinecrest               0-18     -18   -17           0.00
   324 A Union Pines             1-26     -25   -18           0.00
   326 H Pine Forest            21- 0      21     9           0.00
   331 H Terry Sanford           5-18     -13    -3    -     -2.31
   407 A Pinecrest               1-26     -25   -18           0.00
   408 H Jack Britt              8- 1       7     3           1.68
   423 A Pine Forest            15- 2      13     8           0.00
   424 A Jack Britt              6- 0       6     3    +      2.29
   428 A Terry Sanford           4-17     -13    -3          -1.70
   501 H Union Pines             3-17     -14   -17           0.00
   516 A Seaforth                1-19     -18   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Terry Sanford           5-18     -13    -3    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Jack Britt              6- 0       6     3    +      2.29

Cape Fear HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Broughton
Butler Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Cary HS Cape Fear HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cape Fear HS
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cleveland Cleveland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Glenn Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Hunt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hunt
Independence Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Jack Britt Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS  
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Jordan Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson   North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Pine Forest Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS  
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cape Fear HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear HS
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell   South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Swansboro Swansboro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford Terry Sanford  
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Watauga Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
White Oak Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 19


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Pinecrest       (17- 5, 90.0)     0-18       -9.89      29.92      -0.31         1.53           -15.62
   0 A Union Pines     (15- 6, 90.2)     1-26       -9.67      30.14       0.31         1.53           -14.36
   0 H Pine Forest     ( 0-10, 64.4)    21- 0      -35.45       4.35      -0.31         1.53             6.20
   0 H Terry Sanford   ( 6- 9, 75.6)     5-18      -24.26      15.55      -0.31         1.53           -37.66
   0 A Pinecrest       (17- 5, 90.0)     1-26       -9.89      29.92       0.31         1.53           -14.69
   0 H Jack Britt      ( 4-16, 69.6)     8- 1      -30.27       9.54      -0.31         1.53            14.16
   0 A Pine Forest     ( 0-10, 64.4)    15- 2      -35.45       4.35       0.31         1.53             7.14
   0 A Jack Britt      ( 4-16, 69.6)     6- 0      -30.27       9.54       0.31         1.53            15.09
   0 A Terry Sanford   ( 6- 9, 75.6)     4-17      -24.26      15.55       0.31         1.53           -36.72
   0 H Union Pines     (15- 6, 90.2)     3-17       -9.67      30.14      -0.31         1.53           -15.29
   0 A Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     1-19      -15.13      24.67       0.31         1.53           -22.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -114.49

winning pts = 42.5881 losing points = -157.0783

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------