Holy Family
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 80.8857Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 H St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 14- 2 317 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 14-25 322 A Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 20- 6 401 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 7-19 407 H Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 21- 9 409 H Palmer ( 2-11, 73.2) 22- 1 411 A Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 19- 3 414 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 18- 2 416 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 16- 3 421 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 17- 4 425 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 6- 8 426 H Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 17- 9 428 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 7-11 430 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 9-14 506 H Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 H St Marys Academy 14- 2 12 5 0.49
317 H Northfield 14-25 -11 -7 0.00
322 A Pueblo West 20- 6 14 9 0.00
401 A Mead 7-19 -12 -11 0.00
407 H Conifer 21- 9 12 3 + 2.08
409 H Palmer 22- 1 21 8 0.00
411 A Denver North 19- 3 16 6 0.00
414 H Liberty 18- 2 16 8 0.00
416 H Summit 16- 3 13 6 0.00
421 A Grandview 17- 4 13 1 + 3.78
425 A Dakota Ridge 6- 8 -2 -3 0.87
426 H Eaglecrest 17- 9 8 4 1.04
428 A Mullen 7-11 -4 -2 -1.81
430 H Horizon 9-14 -5 -1 -- -4.40
506 H Air Academy 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Horizon 9-14 -5 -1 -- -4.40 506 H Air Academy 6-13 -7 -3 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Conifer 21- 9 12 3 + 2.08 421 A Grandview 17- 4 13 1 + 3.78 |
Holy Family Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Aspen | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cherry Creek | |
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Denver South | |
| Durango | Durango | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Durango | |
| Eagle Valley | Holy Family | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holy Family | |
| Eaglecrest | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Grandview | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Horizon | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead | ||
| Montrose | Holy Family | Holy Family 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mullen | Mullen | Mullen | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Palmer Ridge | |
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Pueblo West | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rampart | Holy Family | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Holy Family | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Roaring Fork | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Rock Canyon | |
| St Marys Academy | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Holy Family | Holy Family | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Telluride | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Marys Acade ( 5-10, 76.8) 14- 2 -23.07 7.65 -0.45 1.03 7.39
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 14-25 -11.35 19.37 -0.45 1.03 -12.10
0 A Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 20- 6 -28.00 2.72 0.45 1.03 3.25
0 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 7-19 -8.63 22.09 0.45 1.03 -8.39
0 H Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 21- 9 -21.49 9.24 -0.45 1.03 9.01
0 H Palmer ( 2-11, 73.2) 22- 1 -26.71 4.01 -0.45 1.03 3.65
0 A Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 19- 3 -25.79 4.93 0.45 1.03 5.52
0 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 18- 2 -26.30 4.42 -0.45 1.03 4.08
0 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 16- 3 -24.36 6.36 -0.45 1.03 6.07
0 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 17- 4 -20.68 10.04 0.45 1.03 10.76
0 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 6- 8 -16.59 14.13 0.45 1.03 -16.56
0 H Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 17- 9 -22.53 8.19 -0.45 1.03 7.95
0 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 7-11 -17.27 13.46 0.45 1.03 -17.25
0 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 9-14 -17.97 12.76 -0.45 1.03 -18.89
0 H Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 6-13 -15.63 15.10 -0.45 1.03 -16.49
------
-32.01
|
winning pts = 57.6683 losing points = -89.6795
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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