---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Central Wisconsin 1
  
Central Wisconsin     
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 88.0490

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H DeForest ( 5- 8, 85.7) 8-10 410 H De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 11- 7 415 H Pulaski ( 0-11, 79.0) 14- 3 422 H Bay Port (11- 6, 88.7) 11- 9 424 A Appleton ( 7- 9, 88.1) 11-10 429 H Kimberly ( 3- 9, 81.8) 17- 4 501 A De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 14- 4 505 H Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 11- 1 508 H Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 11-13 510 A Wauwatosa ( 1-16, 81.9) 9- 4 510 A Madison (15- 4, 93.0) 4-12 517 H Superior ( 0- 9, 80.0) 16- 4 517 H Hamilton ( 4-13, 82.6) 14- 5 517 H Superior ( 0- 9, 80.0) 15- 4 522 A Neenah (10- 6, 86.3) 7- 8 530 H Verona ( 5-10, 87.2) 10-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H DeForest                8-10      -2     3    --    -4.91
   410 H De Pere                11- 7       4     2           1.60
   415 H Pulaski                14- 3      11    10           0.00
   422 H Bay Port               11- 9       2     0    +      2.02
   424 A Appleton               11-10       1    -1           1.67
   429 H Kimberly               17- 4      13     7           0.00
   501 A De Pere                14- 4      10     1    +      3.81
   505 H Sun Prairie            11- 1      10     9           0.00
   508 H Notre Dame             11-13      -2    -3           0.96
   510 A Wauwatosa               9- 4       5     6           0.00
   510 A Madison                 4-12      -8    -6           0.00
   517 H Superior               16- 4      12     9           0.00
   517 H Hamilton               14- 5       9     6           0.00
   517 H Superior               15- 4      11     9           0.00
   522 A Neenah                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.17
   530 H Verona                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H DeForest                8-10      -2     3    --    -4.91
   522 A Neenah                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.17
   530 H Verona                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Bay Port               11- 9       2     0    +      2.02
   501 A De Pere                14- 4      10     1    +      3.81

Central Wisconsin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Appleton Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Arrowhead Arrowhead   Arrowhead
Bay Port Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Brookfield
Cedarburg Cedarburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cedarburg
De Pere Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
DeForest DeForest DeForest  
Divine Savior Divine Savior tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Divine Savior
Franklin Central Wisconsin   Central Wisconsin
Hamilton Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Homestead Central Wisconsin   Central Wisconsin
Hudson Hudson Hudson   7- 0 vs 4- 3
Janesville Central Wisconsin insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) Central Wisconsin
Kenosha Kenosha tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kenosha
Kettle Moraine Kettle Moraine insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Kettle Moraine
Kimberly Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Madison Madison Madison  
Middleton Central Wisconsin tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) Central Wisconsin
Mukwonago Mukwonago insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mukwonago
Muskego Muskego insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Muskego
Neenah Neenah Neenah  
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Oak Creek Central Wisconsin tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Central Wisconsin
Oconomowoc Oconomowoc insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oconomowoc
Oregon Oregon Oregon   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Pulaski Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Sun Prairie Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
Superior Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
University Milwaukee University Milwaukee insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) University Milwaukee
Verona Verona Verona  
Waukesha Central Wisconsin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Wisconsin
Waunakee Waunakee insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 5- 4) Waunakee
Wauwatosa Central Wisconsin Central Wisconsin  
West Bend Central Wisconsin insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Central Wisconsin
Whitefish Bay Whitefish Bay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Whitefish Bay

PowerWise = 16


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H DeForest        ( 5- 8, 85.7)     8-10      -14.15       6.75      -0.60         0.98           -14.50
   0 H De Pere         ( 8-10, 86.3)    11- 7      -13.64       7.26      -0.60         0.98             6.54
   0 H Pulaski         ( 0-11, 79.0)    14- 3      -20.90       1.00      -0.60         0.98             0.39
   0 H Bay Port        (11- 6, 88.7)    11- 9      -11.23       9.67      -0.60         0.98             8.91
   0 A Appleton        ( 7- 9, 88.1)    11-10      -11.79       9.11       0.60         0.98             9.55
   0 H Kimberly        ( 3- 9, 81.8)    17- 4      -18.15       2.75      -0.60         0.98             2.11
   0 A De Pere         ( 8-10, 86.3)    14- 4      -13.64       7.26       0.60         0.98             7.73
   0 H Sun Prairie     ( 1-14, 80.1)    11- 1      -19.79       1.11      -0.60         0.98             0.50
   0 H Notre Dame      (14- 4, 91.6)    11-13       -8.28      12.62      -0.60         0.98            -8.73
   0 A Wauwatosa       ( 1-16, 81.9)     9- 4      -17.98       2.92       0.60         0.98             3.46
   0 A Madison         (15- 4, 93.0)     4-12       -6.94      13.96       0.60         0.98            -6.23
   0 H Superior        ( 0- 9, 80.0)    16- 4      -19.88       1.02      -0.60         0.98             0.41
   0 H Hamilton        ( 4-13, 82.6)    14- 5      -17.30       3.60      -0.60         0.98             2.94
   0 H Superior        ( 0- 9, 80.0)    15- 4      -19.88       1.02      -0.60         0.98             0.41
   0 A Neenah          (10- 6, 86.3)     7- 8      -13.62       7.28       0.60         0.98           -12.79
   0 H Verona          ( 5-10, 87.2)    10-11      -12.71       8.20      -0.60         0.98           -13.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -12.38

winning pts = 42.9519 losing points = -55.3344

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------