Horizon
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 81.9314Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 2-17 308 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 4-16 312 A Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 21- 2 313 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 6-19 318 H St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 13- 6 325 A Poudre District ( 7- 9, 89.5) 8-15 326 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 11-12 408 A Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 5-17 410 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 14-18 412 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 10-12 417 H St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 13- 2 422 A Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 14-11 424 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 14-13 425 H Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 10-12 430 A Holy Family ( 9- 6, 80.9) 14- 9 506 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16-15 508 A Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 4-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Denver South 2-17 -15 -4 -1.45
308 H Rock Canyon 4-16 -12 -3 - -2.04
312 A Eaglecrest 21- 2 19 4 0.89
313 A Chatfield 6-19 -13 -8 0.00
318 H St Marys Academy 13- 6 7 6 0.00
325 A Poudre District 8-15 -7 -8 0.00
326 A Mullen 11-12 -1 -1 0.15
408 A Golden 5-17 -12 -8 0.00
410 H Mead 14-18 -4 -9 1.00
412 H Dakota Ridge 10-12 -2 -1 -1.07
417 H St Marys Academy 13- 2 11 6 0.00
422 A Denver North 14-11 3 7 - -2.00
424 H Cherokee Trail 14-13 1 -1 + 2.50
425 H Grandview 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.16
430 A Holy Family 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.40
506 A Grand Junction 16-15 1 0 1.28
508 A Evergreen 4-19 -15 -14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Grandview 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.16 308 H Rock Canyon 4-16 -12 -3 - -2.04 422 A Denver North 14-11 3 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Holy Family 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.40 424 H Cherokee Trail 14-13 1 -1 + 2.50 |
Horizon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Air Academy | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Castle View | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Horizon | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Horizon | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Denver North | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Durango | Durango | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Durango | |
| Eagle Valley | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Eaglecrest | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden | ||
| Grand Junction | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Holy Family | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Horizon | Horizon 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead | ||
| Montrose | Horizon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Horizon | |
| Mullen | Mullen | Mullen | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Palmer | Horizon | Horizon 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Palmer Ridge | |
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Pueblo West | Horizon | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Horizon | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Rampart | Horizon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Horizon | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Roaring Fork | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| St Marys Academy | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Horizon | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Horizon | |
| Telluride | Telluride | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Telluride | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
PowerWise = 14
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 2-17 -13.97 16.76 -0.45 0.90 -13.05
0 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 4-16 -14.56 16.16 -0.45 0.90 -13.58
0 A Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 21- 2 -22.53 8.19 0.45 0.90 7.82
0 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 6-19 -10.84 19.88 0.45 0.90 -9.41
0 H St Marys Acade ( 5-10, 76.8) 13- 6 -23.07 7.65 -0.45 0.90 6.52
0 A Poudre Distric ( 7- 9, 89.5) 8-15 -10.41 20.31 0.45 0.90 -9.02
0 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 11-12 -17.27 13.46 0.45 0.90 -15.22
0 A Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 5-17 -10.20 20.52 0.45 0.90 -8.83
0 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 14-18 -8.63 22.09 -0.45 0.90 -8.22
0 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 10-12 -16.59 14.13 -0.45 0.90 -15.42
0 H St Marys Acade ( 5-10, 76.8) 13- 2 -23.07 7.65 -0.45 0.90 6.52
0 A Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 14-11 -25.79 4.93 0.45 0.90 4.87
0 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 14-13 -16.03 14.70 -0.45 0.90 12.90
0 H Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 10-12 -20.68 10.04 -0.45 0.90 -19.12
0 A Holy Family ( 9- 6, 80.9) 14- 9 -19.01 11.71 0.45 0.90 11.00
0 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16-15 -18.14 12.58 0.45 0.90 11.79
0 A Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 4-19 -4.59 26.13 0.45 0.90 -3.75
------
-54.19
|
winning pts = 61.4179 losing points = -115.6096
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------