Telluride
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 82.2214Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 11-22 308 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 10-14 314 A Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 3-13 315 A St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 18- 5 324 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 15- 7 326 A Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 15-11 331 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 13-14 402 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 12-11 403 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 5 421 H Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 13-17 422 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 6-15 423 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 6- 8 426 H Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 8-12 429 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 2 503 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 9- 7 506 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 16- 9 508 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 2-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Arapahoe 11-22 -11 -6 0.00
308 A Mullen 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.14
314 A Golden 3-13 -10 -8 0.00
315 A St Marys Academy 18- 5 13 5 0.05
324 A Grand Junction 15- 7 8 0 ++ 4.99
326 A Fruita Monument 15-11 4 -1 ++ 4.89
331 A Durango 13-14 -1 -1 0.14
402 H Grand Junction 12-11 1 1 0.09
403 A Montrose 16- 5 11 10 0.00
421 H Fruita Monument 13-17 -4 0 -- -4.00
422 A Aspen 6-15 -9 -5 -0.43
423 H Durango 6- 8 -2 0 -1.75
426 H Fruita Monument 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.00
429 H Montrose 16- 2 14 11 0.00
503 H Durango 9- 7 2 0 + 2.25
506 H Rampart 16- 9 7 4 0.92
508 A Mead 2-20 -18 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Fruita Monument 13-17 -4 0 -- -4.00 426 H Fruita Monument 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.00 308 A Mullen 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Grand Junction 15- 7 8 0 ++ 4.99 326 A Fruita Monument 15-11 4 -1 ++ 4.89 503 H Durango 9- 7 2 0 + 2.25 |
Telluride Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cherry Creek | |
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Telluride | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) | Telluride | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Telluride | Telluride 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Denver South | |
| Durango | Durango | Durango | ||
| Eagle Valley | Telluride | Telluride 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Eaglecrest | Telluride | Telluride 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Golden | Golden | Golden | ||
| Grand Junction | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Grandview | Telluride | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Telluride | |
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Holy Family | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Telluride | |
| Horizon | Telluride | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Telluride | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Denver | |
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Telluride | Telluride 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead | ||
| Montrose | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Mullen | Mullen | Mullen | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Telluride | Telluride 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Palmer Ridge | |
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Telluride | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Telluride | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rampart | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Regis Jesuit | |
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork 5- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rock Canyon | |
| St Marys Academy | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Telluride | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | ThunderRidge | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 11-22 -12.52 18.20 0.45 0.90 -10.93
0 A Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 10-14 -17.27 13.46 0.45 0.90 -15.22
0 A Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 3-13 -10.20 20.52 0.45 0.90 -8.83
0 A St Marys Acade ( 5-10, 76.8) 18- 5 -23.07 7.65 0.45 0.90 7.33
0 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 15- 7 -18.14 12.58 0.45 0.90 11.79
0 A Fruita Monumen ( 9- 8, 82.7) 15-11 -17.23 13.49 0.45 0.90 12.61
0 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 13-14 -16.98 13.74 0.45 0.90 -14.96
0 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 12-11 -18.14 12.58 -0.45 0.90 10.98
0 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 5 -28.32 2.40 0.45 0.90 2.58
0 H Fruita Monumen ( 9- 8, 82.7) 13-17 -17.23 13.49 -0.45 0.90 -16.00
0 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 6-15 -13.56 17.16 0.45 0.90 -11.87
0 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 6- 8 -16.98 13.74 -0.45 0.90 -15.77
0 H Fruita Monumen ( 9- 8, 82.7) 8-12 -17.23 13.49 -0.45 0.90 -16.00
0 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 2 -28.32 2.40 -0.45 0.90 1.77
0 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 9- 7 -16.98 13.74 -0.45 0.90 12.03
0 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 16- 9 -21.32 9.41 -0.45 0.90 8.11
0 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 2-20 -8.63 22.09 0.45 0.90 -7.41
------
-49.79
|
winning pts = 67.2019 losing points = -116.9927
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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