Roaring Fork
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 87.0083Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 8-10 311 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 17- 1 313 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16- 7 321 A Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 8- 9 402 A Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 17- 4 405 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 19-12 407 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 21- 2 411 A Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 16-15 415 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 18- 3 419 H Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 12-11 422 A Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 13- 7 424 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 11-13 428 H Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 8-16 429 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 20- 4 502 H Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 22- 1 508 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 12- 4 510 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Steamboat Springs 8-10 -2 0 -1.55
311 H Montrose 17- 1 16 16 0.00
313 A Grand Junction 16- 7 9 5 0.20
321 A Steamboat Springs 8- 9 -1 -1 0.34
402 A Summit 17- 4 13 11 0.00
405 H Mullen 19-12 7 5 0.18
407 H Eagle Valley 21- 2 19 18 0.00
411 A Battle Mountain 16-15 1 -3 ++ 4.40
415 A Eagle Valley 18- 3 15 17 0.00
419 H Aspen 12-11 1 1 -0.12
422 A Fruita Monument 13- 7 6 4 1.11
424 A Aspen 11-13 -2 0 - -2.22
428 H Battle Mountain 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.50
429 H Summit 20- 4 16 12 0.00
502 H Denver North 22- 1 21 13 0.00
508 H Mullen 12- 4 8 5 0.18
510 A Green Mountain 7-20 -13 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Aspen 11-13 -2 0 - -2.22 428 H Battle Mountain 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Battle Mountain 16-15 1 -3 ++ 4.40 |
Roaring Fork Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Roaring Fork | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 2) | Roaring Fork | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Castle View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Castle View | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Roaring Fork | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Roaring Fork | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Roaring Fork | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Conifer | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Roaring Fork | |
| Dakota Ridge | Roaring Fork | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Roaring Fork | |
| Denver East | Denver East | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Denver South | Roaring Fork | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Durango | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Eagle Valley | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Eaglecrest | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fruita Monument | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Golden | Golden | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Grandview | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Horizon | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Liberty | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Mead | Mead | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Mead | |
| Montrose | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Mullen | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Pueblo West | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rampart | Roaring Fork | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Regis Jesuit | |
| Rock Canyon | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| St Marys Academy | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Telluride | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork 5- 1 vs 3- 2 | ||
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | ThunderRidge | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 8-10 -11.99 18.73 -0.45 0.90 -11.26
0 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 17- 1 -28.32 2.40 -0.45 0.90 1.77
0 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16- 7 -18.14 12.58 0.45 0.90 11.79
0 A Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 8- 9 -11.99 18.73 0.45 0.90 -10.45
0 A Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 17- 4 -24.36 6.36 0.45 0.90 6.16
0 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 19-12 -17.27 13.46 -0.45 0.90 11.77
0 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 21- 2 -30.72 1.00 -0.45 0.90 0.50
0 A Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 16-15 -9.94 20.78 0.45 0.90 19.21
0 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 18- 3 -30.72 1.00 0.45 0.90 1.31
0 H Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 12-11 -13.56 17.16 -0.45 0.90 15.13
0 A Fruita Monumen ( 9- 8, 82.7) 13- 7 -17.23 13.49 0.45 0.90 12.61
0 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 11-13 -13.56 17.16 0.45 0.90 -11.87
0 H Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 8-16 -9.94 20.78 -0.45 0.90 -9.40
0 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 20- 4 -24.36 6.36 -0.45 0.90 5.35
0 H Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 22- 1 -25.79 4.93 -0.45 0.90 4.06
0 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 12- 4 -17.27 13.46 -0.45 0.90 11.77
0 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-20 -8.14 22.58 0.45 0.90 -6.96
------
51.50
|
winning pts = 101.4427 losing points = -49.9419
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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