New London/St Bernar
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 72.2995Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 9- 5 408 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 5-11 410 H Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 7- 6 412 A Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 7- 5 414 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 8-10 419 A Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 7-12 421 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 8-14 424 H Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 6- 9 429 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 4-11 502 A Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 13- 6 510 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 7-11 512 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 8- 2 513 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 5-15 515 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 18- 5 517 H Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 10- 5 521 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 5- 6 530 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 7-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Griswold-Norwich Tech 9- 5 4 2 + 2.17
408 H Montville 5-11 -6 -4 -0.89
410 H Woodstock Academy 7- 6 1 1 0.30
412 A Killingly 7- 5 2 2 0.22
414 A Cromwell 8-10 -2 0 - -2.40
419 A Bacon/East Hampton 7-12 -5 -4 -1.16
421 A Wheeler 8-14 -6 -6 0.00
424 H Bacon/East Hampton 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.61
429 A Valley Regional 4-11 -7 -2 - -2.84
502 A Windsor 13- 6 7 4 0.61
510 A Montville 7-11 -4 -6 1.00
512 H Griswold-Norwich Tech 8- 2 6 3 1.72
513 H Wheeler 5-15 -10 -5 -0.20
515 H Windsor 18- 5 13 6 0.00
517 H Killingly 10- 5 5 3 1.77
521 H Valley Regional 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.30
530 A Sheehan 7-14 -7 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Cromwell 8-10 -2 0 - -2.40 429 A Valley Regional 4-11 -7 -2 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Griswold-Norwich Tech 9- 5 4 2 + 2.17 |
New London/St Bernards Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | ||
| Berlin | Berlin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | New London/St Bernards | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New London/St Bernards | |
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | Canton | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Cromwell | Cromwell | ||
| Danbury | Danbury | Danbury | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Enfield | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Enfield | |
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hamden | |
| Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Immaculate Heart | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Jonathan Law | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jonathan Law | |
| Killingly | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Lakeview United | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Middletown-Coginchaug | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middletown-Coginchaug | |
| Montville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Haven | North Haven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Haven | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rockville | |
| Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Shelton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Shelton | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Watertown | Watertown | ||
| West Haven | West Haven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Haven | |
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wethersfield | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| Wolcott | New London/St Bernards | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New London/St Bernards | |
| Woodstock Academy | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 9- 5 -30.16 4.65 0.73 1.03 5.54
0 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 5-11 -22.77 12.04 -0.73 1.03 -24.19
0 H Woodstock Acad ( 3-13, 72.3) 7- 6 -27.57 7.24 -0.73 1.03 6.71
0 A Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 7- 5 -30.10 4.70 0.73 1.03 5.59
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 8-10 -28.72 6.09 0.73 1.03 -28.83
0 A Bacon/East Ham (11- 7, 75.4) 7-12 -24.48 10.33 0.73 1.03 -24.46
0 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 8-14 -22.07 12.74 0.73 1.03 -21.98
0 H Bacon/East Ham (11- 7, 75.4) 6- 9 -24.48 10.33 -0.73 1.03 -25.96
0 A Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 4-11 -26.17 8.64 0.73 1.03 -26.20
0 A Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 13- 6 -32.71 2.09 0.73 1.03 2.90
0 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 7-11 -22.77 12.04 0.73 1.03 -22.69
0 H Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 8- 2 -30.16 4.65 -0.73 1.03 4.04
0 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 5-15 -22.07 12.74 -0.73 1.03 -23.47
0 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 18- 5 -32.71 2.09 -0.73 1.03 1.41
0 H Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 10- 5 -30.10 4.70 -0.73 1.03 4.10
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 5- 6 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 1.03 -27.69
0 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 7-14 -21.60 13.21 0.73 1.03 -21.49
------
-216.68
|
winning pts = 30.2899 losing points = -246.9727
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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