---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Killingly 1
  
Killingly             
W-L: ( 2-14) PR = 69.7951

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 8-10 408 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 3-17 410 H Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 3-17 412 H New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 5- 7 417 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 2-13 422 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 3-13 426 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 5-12 428 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 10-17 501 A Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 2- 7 503 H Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 5-13 506 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 16-14 508 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 3-14 512 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 8-17 515 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 9- 5 517 A New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 5-10 521 A Rockville ( 3-13, 76.7) 3-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Woodstock Academy       8-10      -2    -2          -0.19
   408 H Waterford               3-17     -14   -11           0.00
   410 H Norwich Free Academy    3-17     -14    -9           0.00
   412 H New London/St Bernards  5- 7      -2    -2          -0.22
   417 A Stonington              2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   422 H Stonington              3-13     -10    -9           0.00
   426 H Ledyard                 5-12      -7    -8           0.00
   428 H Wheeler                10-17      -7    -7           0.00
   501 A Woodstock Academy       2- 7      -5    -3          -1.74
   503 H Rockville               5-13      -8    -6           0.00
   506 A Fitch                  16-14       2     1           0.66
   508 A Ledyard                 3-14     -11   -10           0.00
   512 A Wheeler                 8-17      -9    -9           0.00
   515 H Griswold-Norwich Tech   9- 5       4     1    +      3.22
   517 A New London/St Bernards  5-10      -5    -3          -1.77
   521 A Rockville               3-15     -12    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Griswold-Norwich Tech   9- 5       4     1    +      3.22

Killingly Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Berlin Berlin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Central Killingly   Killingly
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern   Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brookfield
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Cromwell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cromwell
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   3- 0 vs 1- 2
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Ellington Ellington Ellington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enfield Enfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Killingly Killingly  
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Killingly Killingly  
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Housatonic Regional Housatonic Regional   Housatonic Regional
Immaculate Heart Killingly   Killingly
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law   Jonathan Law
Lakeview United Killingly   Killingly
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Ledyard Ledyard  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Middletown-Coginchaug   Middletown-Coginchaug
Montville Montville Montville   3- 4 vs 1- 6
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards New London/St Bernards New London/St Bernards  
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven North Haven   North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Notre Dame Fairfield Killingly   Killingly
Old Lyme Old Lyme tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM RHAM   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Rockville Rockville  
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rocky Hill
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Somers
South Windsor South Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Joseph St Joseph   St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Killingly   Killingly
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington  
Stratford-Bunnell Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Suffield HS Suffield HS Suffield HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Valley Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Valley Regional
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
West Haven West Haven   West Haven
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wethersfield
Wheeler Wheeler Wheeler  
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Killingly tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Killingly
Wolcott Wolcott   Wolcott
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy  

PowerWise = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 3-13, 72.3)     8-10      -27.57       7.24      -0.73         1.09           -30.96
   0 H Waterford       (12- 7, 81.5)     3-17      -18.44      16.37      -0.73         1.09           -20.97
   0 H Norwich Free A  (12- 6, 80.0)     3-17      -19.91      14.90      -0.73         1.09           -22.57
   0 H New London/St   ( 7-10, 72.3)     5- 7      -27.60       7.21      -0.73         1.09           -30.99
   0 A Stonington      (12- 5, 79.9)     2-13      -20.01      14.80       0.73         1.09           -21.10
   0 H Stonington      (12- 5, 79.9)     3-13      -20.01      14.80      -0.73         1.09           -22.69
   0 H Ledyard         ( 9- 8, 78.7)     5-12      -21.24      13.56      -0.73         1.09           -24.04
   0 H Wheeler         (12- 6, 77.8)    10-17      -22.07      12.74      -0.73         1.09           -24.94
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 3-13, 72.3)     2- 7      -27.57       7.24       0.73         1.09           -29.37
   0 H Rockville       ( 3-13, 76.7)     5-13      -23.25      11.56      -0.73         1.09           -26.23
   0 A Fitch           ( 0-15, 67.7)    16-14      -32.17       2.64       0.73         1.09             3.68
   0 A Ledyard         ( 9- 8, 78.7)     3-14      -21.24      13.56       0.73         1.09           -22.45
   0 A Wheeler         (12- 6, 77.8)     8-17      -22.07      12.74       0.73         1.09           -23.35
   0 H Griswold-Norwi  ( 2-14, 69.7)     9- 5      -30.16       4.65      -0.73         1.09             4.30
   0 A New London/St   ( 7-10, 72.3)     5-10      -27.60       7.21       0.73         1.09           -29.40
   0 A Rockville       ( 3-13, 76.7)     3-15      -23.25      11.56       0.73         1.09           -24.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -345.72

winning pts = 7.9770 losing points = -353.6940

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------