---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls EO Smith 1
  
EO Smith              
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 76.6975

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 8-11 408 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 10- 1 411 A Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 6- 5 415 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 9-10 422 H Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 12- 4 425 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 4- 7 429 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 12- 6 502 A Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 11- 8 503 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 2-14 507 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 7- 6 513 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 11- 6 516 H Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 8- 6 519 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 4- 7 521 A Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 16- 1 522 H Bristol Eastern (14- 4, 77.8) 8- 9 523 A Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 12- 2 527 A Bristol Eastern (14- 4, 77.8) 4-13 603 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 4-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Newington               8-11      -3    -2          -1.20
   408 H Windsor                10- 1       9    10           0.00
   411 A Enfield                 6- 5       1     3          -1.80
   415 A RHAM                    9-10      -1    -1           0.03
   422 H Bristol Central        12- 4       8     8           0.00
   425 A Lewis Mills             4- 7      -3    -4           0.89
   429 H Middletown-Coginchaug  12- 6       6     5           0.43
   502 A Wethersfield           11- 8       3     1    +      2.11
   503 A Somers                  2-14     -12    -5           0.00
   507 H Wethersfield            7- 6       1     2          -1.34
   513 H RHAM                   11- 6       5     0    ++     4.58
   516 H Enfield                 8- 6       2     4    -     -2.25
   519 A Tolland                 4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.00
   521 A Bristol Central        16- 1      15     7           0.00
   522 H Bristol Eastern         8- 9      -1     0          -0.58
   523 A Windsor                12- 2      10     9           0.00
   527 A Bristol Eastern         4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.13
   603 A Amity Regional          4-23     -19   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Enfield                 8- 6       2     4    -     -2.25
   527 A Bristol Eastern         4-13      -9    -2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H RHAM                   11- 6       5     0    ++     4.58
   502 A Wethersfield           11- 8       3     1    +      2.11
   519 A Tolland                 4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.00

EO Smith Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton EO Smith insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) EO Smith
Berlin Berlin insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Berlin
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bethel
Branford Branford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Central EO Smith EO Smith  
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern  
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Cromwell EO Smith insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) EO Smith
Danbury EO Smith   EO Smith
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ellington
Enfield EO Smith EO Smith  
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Farmington
Fitch EO Smith   EO Smith
Foran Foran tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech EO Smith tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) EO Smith
Guilford Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth EO Smith insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) EO Smith
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hall
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hamden
Housatonic Regional EO Smith   EO Smith
Immaculate Heart EO Smith   EO Smith
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law EO Smith   EO Smith
Killingly EO Smith   EO Smith
Lakeview United EO Smith insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) EO Smith
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk Masuk   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug EO Smith EO Smith  
Montville Montville   Montville
Morgan School EO Smith tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) EO Smith
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards EO Smith tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) EO Smith
New Milford EO Smith   EO Smith
Newington Newington Newington  
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford EO Smith tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EO Smith
North Haven EO Smith   EO Smith
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield EO Smith   EO Smith
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook EO Smith tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EO Smith
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgefield
Rockville EO Smith EO Smith   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Rocky Hill EO Smith tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) EO Smith
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton EO Smith tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EO Smith
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic EO Smith insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) EO Smith
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell EO Smith   EO Smith
Suffield HS Suffield HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional EO Smith   EO Smith
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown EO Smith tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) EO Smith
West Haven EO Smith   EO Smith
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield EO Smith EO Smith  
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor EO Smith EO Smith  
Wolcott EO Smith tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) EO Smith
Woodstock Academy EO Smith insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) EO Smith

PowerWise = 33


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)     8-11      -22.13      12.68       0.73         0.97           -20.82
   0 H Windsor         ( 0-16, 67.2)    10- 1      -32.71       2.09      -0.73         0.97             1.33
   0 A Enfield         ( 5-10, 73.2)     6- 5      -26.72       8.08       0.73         0.97             8.57
   0 A RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)     9-10      -22.90      11.91       0.73         0.97           -21.56
   0 H Bristol Centra  ( 4-12, 69.1)    12- 4      -30.77       4.04      -0.73         0.97             3.22
   0 A Lewis Mills     (14- 5, 79.9)     4- 7      -20.04      14.77       0.73         0.97           -18.78
   0 H Middletown-Cog  ( 6-11, 72.9)    12- 6      -27.04       7.77      -0.73         0.97             6.85
   0 A Wethersfield    ( 6-10, 75.1)    11- 8      -24.82       9.99       0.73         0.97            10.42
   0 A Somers          (13- 7, 81.3)     2-14      -18.63      16.18       0.73         0.97           -17.41
   0 H Wethersfield    ( 6-10, 75.1)     7- 6      -24.82       9.99      -0.73         0.97             9.01
   0 H RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)    11- 6      -22.90      11.91      -0.73         0.97            10.88
   0 H Enfield         ( 5-10, 73.2)     8- 6      -26.72       8.08      -0.73         0.97             7.16
   0 A Tolland         (14- 4, 81.2)     4- 7      -18.71      16.10       0.73         0.97           -17.48
   0 A Bristol Centra  ( 4-12, 69.1)    16- 1      -30.77       4.04       0.73         0.97             4.63
   0 H Bristol Easter  (14- 4, 77.8)     8- 9      -22.05      12.75      -0.73         0.97           -22.15
   0 A Windsor         ( 0-16, 67.2)    12- 2      -32.71       2.09       0.73         0.97             2.74
   0 A Bristol Easter  (14- 4, 77.8)     4-13      -22.05      12.75       0.73         0.97           -20.74
   0 A Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)     4-23      -10.74      24.07       0.73         0.97            -9.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -83.88

winning pts = 64.8097 losing points = -148.6899

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------