Bristol Eastern
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 77.8456Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 10- 7 408 A Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 11- 8 422 H Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 6-11 425 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 8- 5 428 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 15- 3 501 H Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 13- 1 502 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 10-13 506 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 4-14 507 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 16-10 512 H St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 19- 3 514 H Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 14- 4 516 A Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 16- 7 519 A Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 11-10 520 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 17- 6 522 A EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 9- 8 523 A Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 11- 4 527 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 13- 4 603 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 2-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Canton 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.98
408 A Wethersfield 11- 8 3 2 0.96
422 H Lewis Mills 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.71
425 H Wethersfield 8- 5 3 3 -0.49
428 H Middletown-Coginchaug 15- 3 12 6 0.00
501 H Bristol Central 13- 1 12 9 0.00
502 H Bethel 10-13 -3 -3 -0.44
506 A Lewis Mills 4-14 -10 -3 - -2.25
507 H Watertown 16-10 6 5 0.42
512 H St Paul Catholic 19- 3 16 13 0.00
514 H Enfield 14- 4 10 5 0.00
516 A Middletown-Coginchaug 16- 7 9 4 0.74
519 A Enfield 11-10 1 4 - -2.94
520 H Windsor 17- 6 11 11 0.00
522 A EO Smith 9- 8 1 0 0.58
523 A Bristol Central 11- 4 7 8 0.00
527 H EO Smith 13- 4 9 2 + 3.13
603 A Masuk 2-15 -13 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Lewis Mills 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.71 506 A Lewis Mills 4-14 -10 -3 - -2.25 519 A Enfield 11-10 1 4 - -2.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Canton 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.98 527 H EO Smith 13- 4 9 2 + 3.13 |
Bristol Eastern Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Berlin | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Bristol Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Danbury | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| EO Smith | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Hall | Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hamden | |
| Housatonic Regional | Bristol Eastern | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Immaculate Heart | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Killingly | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Lakeview United | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Montville | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Morgan School | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| New Milford | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Newington | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bristol Eastern | |
| North Haven | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Pomperaug | |
| RHAM | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rocky Hill | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| West Haven | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Wheeler | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Wolcott | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern |
PowerWise = 42
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 10- 7 -20.35 14.46 -0.73 0.97 13.36
0 A Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 11- 8 -24.82 9.99 0.73 0.97 10.42
0 H Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 6-11 -20.04 14.77 -0.73 0.97 -20.19
0 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 8- 5 -24.82 9.99 -0.73 0.97 9.01
0 H Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 15- 3 -27.04 7.77 -0.73 0.97 6.85
0 H Bristol Centra ( 4-12, 69.1) 13- 1 -30.77 4.04 -0.73 0.97 3.22
0 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 10-13 -18.77 16.04 -0.73 0.97 -18.96
0 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 4-14 -20.04 14.77 0.73 0.97 -18.78
0 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 16-10 -25.90 8.90 -0.73 0.97 7.95
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 19- 3 -34.81 1.00 -0.73 0.97 0.27
0 H Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 14- 4 -26.72 8.08 -0.73 0.97 7.16
0 A Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 16- 7 -27.04 7.77 0.73 0.97 8.26
0 A Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 11-10 -26.72 8.08 0.73 0.97 8.57
0 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 17- 6 -32.71 2.09 -0.73 0.97 1.33
0 A EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 9- 8 -23.20 11.61 0.73 0.97 11.99
0 A Bristol Centra ( 4-12, 69.1) 11- 4 -30.77 4.04 0.73 0.97 4.63
0 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 13- 4 -23.20 11.61 -0.73 0.97 10.58
0 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 2-15 -10.87 23.94 0.73 0.97 -9.86
------
35.82
|
winning pts = 103.6030 losing points = -67.7876
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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